NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	105		Excitement	7.3 [453]		MVP	Caris LeVert (CLE): +14.7%
Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Comeback	3.2 [937]		LVP	Andrew Nembhard (IND): -13.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
T.J. McConnell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.04	0.00	8	89%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.09	-0.01	-0.01	8	71%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.01	0.03	9	58%	0.04	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.04
Jordan Nwora	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	15	42%	0.01	1	-0.01	6	83%	-0.01
Buddy Hield	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0.00	8	53%	0.03	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Oshae Brissett	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	33%	-0.01	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	-0.06	0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.01	-0.04	0.03	12	59%	0.11	4	-0.17	8	100%	0.04
Isaiah Jackson	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	5	25%	-0.06	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Andrew Nembhard	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.02	14	46%	-0.03	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.07	-0.00	10	62%	0.15	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.11	0.02	0.06	25	65%	0.22	5	-0.15	12	75%	-0.03
Jarrett Allen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	0.01	-0.00	9	62%	0.10	1	-0.03	6	50%	-0.05
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	20	48%	0.08	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	2	50%	0.05	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.02	0.03	17	41%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.1	0.2	30.5	15.3	29.3	1.8	32.2	137.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +23.3%

IND -4.4%

CLE +10.4%

CLE +20.5%

CLE +0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	CLE	NBA	IND	CLE	NBA
this game	13.1	15.3	14.4	102.9	113.9	113.4
season	13.7	15.1		113.3	114.0
opponent	14.7	14.4		109.0	116.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.0	12.5	15.2	12.9	13.1
CLE	15.3	14.1	16.1	15.9	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
T.J. McConnell	39	39	0.03	-0.53	0.55	-0.18	7	-17	24	12.5	13.4	-0.93	16.9	14.3	2.64
Oshae Brissett	38	36	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.11	3	-13	16	13.2	13.0	0.24	16.2	14.9	1.31
Isaiah Jackson	46	44	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	-2	-6	14.1	12.2	1.95	14.9	15.7	-0.82
Bennedict Mathurin	68	69	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.01	-7	-3	-4	13.2	12.8	0.44	15.2	15.6	-0.39
Jalen Smith	56	57	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.25	-2	-8	6	12.2	14.1	-1.95	15.7	14.9	0.82
Buddy Hield	46	46	-0.34	-0.16	-0.17	-0.28	-2	-8	6	12.8	13.3	-0.50	16.5	14.3	2.15
Aaron Nesmith	70	70	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.03	-14	4	-18	13.1	12.9	0.22	14.7	16.8	-2.14
Jordan Nwora	77	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	1	-12	13.1	13.1	-0.03	15.2	15.8	-0.58
Andrew Nembhard	70	68	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.05	-16	6	-22	13.3	12.6	0.68	14.1	17.8	-3.70

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Caris LeVert	68	70	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.23	14	-4	18	15.6	14.7	0.94	13.2	12.7	0.45
Dean Wade	59	60	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.10	15	-5	20	14.4	16.6	-2.25	13.2	12.9	0.34
Donovan Mitchell	83	85	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.01	16	-6	22	14.7	18.3	-3.59	13.6	10.4	3.18
Evan Mobley	82	84	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-5	20	14.7	17.9	-3.23	13.3	11.9	1.42
Darius Garland	84	85	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.28	3	7	-4	15.3	15.6	-0.31	12.6	15.4	-2.82
Ricky Rubio	29	27	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	9	-8	17.6	14.4	3.12	13.0	13.1	-0.08
Jarrett Allen	57	57	0.06	0.44	-0.37	0.12	-2	12	-14	15.5	15.2	0.30	12.8	13.3	-0.49
Lamar Stevens	24	23	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	12	-14	17.6	14.6	3.01	13.0	13.1	-0.02
Cedi Osman	19	19	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.06	-10	20	-30	16.1	15.1	0.96	11.5	13.4	-1.95

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.34,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.49,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.86,0.94,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 71, PHI 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.4,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.4,0.42,0.45,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.52,0.41,0.37,0.44,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.75,0.76,0.73,0.87,0.93,0.98,0.98,1	92.8%
SAC 85, NJN 96	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.46,0.41,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.38,0.29,0.25,0.28,0.24,0.27,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.39,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.42,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.78,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1,1,1	92.3%
MIA 109, MIN 111	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.52,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.3,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.55,0.43,0.37,0.44,0.52,0.46,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.79,0.85,0.84,0.92,1	92.3%