NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	114		Excitement	9.7 [100]		MVP	Jusuf Nurkic (PHX): +70.2%
Dallas Mavericks	113		Comeback	4.8 [233]		LVP	Bradley Beal (PHX): -15.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jusuf Nurkic	0.70	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.7	0.04	0.68	0.02	12	58%	0.73	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.42,0.42,0.28	0.21	0.08	0.00	8	106%	0.28	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.03
Kevin Durant	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.32,0.45,0.45,0.35,0.21	0.18	0.03	0.01	14	74%	0.23	1	-0.02	7	100%	0.05
Josh Okogie	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	3	75%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Mason Plumlee	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.01	0.00	2	67%	0.00	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Tyus Jones	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	13	65%	0.09	3	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.01	13	46%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Grayson Allen	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	-0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.14	-0.01	17	42%	-0.04	1	-0.12	2	100%	0.01

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.27,0.27,0.45	0.45	0.12	0.33	-0.00	7	88%	0.47	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.04
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.03	-0.00	12	69%	0.15	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.39,0.33,0.27,0.09	0.09	0.13	-0.02	0.02	17	67%	0.30	2	-0.21	9	78%	0.00
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	1	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.02	0.06	-0.01	13	41%	0.07	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.02
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.06	0.01	25	57%	0.05	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Jaden Hardy	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.8	28.5	14.8	29.5	3.3	31.7	139.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL -10.2%

PHX +24.3%

PHX +27.6%

PHX +5.5%

PHX +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	DAL	NBA	PHX	DAL	NBA
this game	17.7	13.6	14.4	123.9	122.8	113.1
season	15.0	14.3		114.3	113.3
opponent	14.4	14.2		114.4	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.2	18.9	16.6	20.6	17.7
DAL	13.6	13.9	14.0	13.0	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Durant	71	72	0.87	-0.42	1.28	0.54	11	-10	21	16.9	20.3	-3.43	14.0	12.2	1.81
Royce O'Neale	55	54	0.75	-0.30	1.05	0.34	14	-13	27	17.8	17.5	0.38	13.8	13.3	0.52
Jusuf Nurkic	62	64	0.42	0.03	0.40	0.51	-3	4	-7	18.1	16.8	1.31	13.7	13.4	0.33
Tyus Jones	61	60	0.14	0.31	-0.17	-0.01	5	-4	9	16.8	19.5	-2.71	14.2	12.5	1.67
Grayson Allen	38	36	0.07	0.38	-0.32	-0.11	6	-5	11	16.8	18.3	-1.44	13.2	13.9	-0.61
Mason Plumlee	30	28	0.03	0.42	-0.40	-0.09	4	-3	7	16.8	18.1	-1.31	13.4	13.7	-0.33
Devin Booker	66	66	-0.01	0.46	-0.46	0.49	-17	18	-35	18.2	16.3	1.87	13.1	15.0	-1.98
Josh Okogie	10	10	-0.01	0.46	-0.46	0.02	-1	2	-3	19.2	17.5	1.70	13.0	13.7	-0.70
Bradley Beal	67	70	-0.01	0.46	-0.47	0.40	-14	15	-29	19.0	14.3	4.68	13.4	14.5	-1.10

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Grimes	18	19	0.21	-0.66	0.87	0.24	-1	0	-1	12.6	14.1	-1.44	18.4	17.5	0.93
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	6	6	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-2	3	14.2	13.6	0.59	18.5	17.6	0.87
Dwight Powell	47	48	-0.07	-0.38	0.31	-0.04	-1	0	-1	14.0	13.6	0.39	18.3	17.0	1.31
Jaden Hardy	6	7	-0.07	-0.38	0.31	-0.04	-1	0	-1	15.8	13.6	2.21	17.1	17.7	-0.59
Kessler Edwards	3	3	-0.18	-0.27	0.09	-0.06	-4	3	-7	18.3	13.6	4.72	6.7	18.1	-11.39
Kyrie Irving	77	78	-0.20	-0.25	0.05	-0.46	9	-10	19	13.5	15.3	-1.79	18.2	14.9	3.25
Naji Marshall	59	56	-0.32	-0.13	-0.19	-0.12	-7	6	-13	14.1	13.2	0.85	16.9	19.0	-2.12
Spencer Dinwiddie	52	54	-0.33	-0.11	-0.22	-0.28	-2	1	-3	13.6	14.1	-0.49	18.0	17.3	0.67
Daniel Gafford	44	44	-0.38	-0.07	-0.31	-0.38	0	-1	1	13.6	14.0	-0.39	17.0	18.3	-1.31
Klay Thompson	63	64	-0.43	-0.02	-0.40	-0.57	5	-6	11	14.0	13.2	0.80	18.0	17.1	0.88
Luka Doncic	80	81	-0.50	0.05	-0.54	-0.38	-4	3	-7	13.7	14.5	-0.88	17.6	18.3	-0.67

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.28,0.29,0.28,0.28,0.25,0.24,0.2,0.23,0.18,0.16,0.24,0.26,0.39,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.48,0.38,0.34,0.33,0.36,0.34,0.48,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.63,0.66,0.72,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 82, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.32,0.32,0.29,0.31,0.28,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.25,0.18,0.24,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.71,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.42,0	90.2%
LAL 108, WAS 104	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.56,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.29,0.36,0.38,0.48,0.47,0.53,0.58,0.64,0.46,0.27,0.53,0.54,0.31,0.58,0	90.1%
SAC 93, MIN 91	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.33,0.36,0.39,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.42,0.43,0.48,0.48,0.63,0.69,0.8,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.83,0.84,0	89.8%