NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	131		Excitement	5.9 [638]		MVP	Jose Alvarado (NOP): +14.0%
New Orleans Pelicans	122		Comeback	3.2 [686]		LVP	Jordan Hawkins (NOP): -3.6%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0.11	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	10	73%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Darius Garland	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.04	-0.02	10	70%	0.16	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	3	117%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	13	62%	0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Sam Merrill	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.05	-0.00	6	75%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Georges Niang	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	-0.00	8	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Craig Porter Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	3	83%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01	0.14	-0.03	0.11	20	63%	0.07	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.01
Evan Mobley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	0.00	0.02	16	43%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.26	0.00	0.12	14	96%	0.16	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	6	79%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Boston Jr.	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.01	0.01	11	54%	0.05	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.07	-0.03	0.03	18	59%	0.11	4	-0.10	13	85%	0.02
Jamal Cain	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	20	50%	0.05	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	8	53%	0.01	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.01
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	7	39%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	1.5	28.6	15.4	28.3	2.4	31.4	131.8
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +57.1%

NOP -21.5%

CLE +16.4%

NOP -2.8%

CLE +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	NOP	NBA	CLE	NOP	NBA
this game	12.9	15.9	14.4	127.2	124.5	113.0
season	13.7	14.4		120.5	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.9		118.3	110.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	12.3	11.7	13.0	14.6	12.9
NOP	14.5	17.1	15.9	16.0	15.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jarrett Allen	74	72	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.00	24	-15	39	13.3	11.7	1.65	15.3	17.3	-1.97
Darius Garland	66	62	0.50	0.00	0.50	0.09	14	-5	19	12.9	12.8	0.18	15.4	16.7	-1.28
Isaac Okoro	51	49	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.16	6	3	3	12.2	13.5	-1.26	16.7	15.0	1.63
Caris LeVert	57	55	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.14	6	3	3	13.9	11.6	2.29	14.9	17.1	-2.24
Donovan Mitchell	71	68	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.18	4	5	-1	12.6	13.5	-0.86	16.3	14.9	1.43
Evan Mobley	60	56	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.35	-7	16	-23	12.6	13.3	-0.74	16.5	15.0	1.58
Ty Jerome	33	33	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.07	1	8	-7	12.4	13.1	-0.71	17.5	15.0	2.41
Sam Merrill	44	40	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	9	-9	13.2	12.6	0.54	14.9	16.5	-1.53
Craig Porter Jr.	12	11	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.04	4	5	-1	9.7	13.3	-3.54	16.6	15.8	0.88
Georges Niang	47	44	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.14	-7	16	-23	13.1	12.6	0.51	15.6	16.1	-0.48

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Theis	12	13	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	0.01	-5	-4	-1	17.5	15.6	1.87	11.1	13.1	-2.06
Yves Missi	39	39	-0.14	-0.36	0.21	-0.08	-2	-7	5	15.7	15.9	-0.23	12.9	12.8	0.12
Javonte Green	60	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.21	1	-10	11	15.4	16.6	-1.14	13.2	12.3	0.87
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	53	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.03	-7	-2	-5	16.3	15.3	1.01	12.9	12.8	0.14
Jordan Hawkins	38	40	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	0.05	-10	1	-11	17.0	15.1	1.91	12.7	13.0	-0.24
Jose Alvarado	73	75	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-10	11	15.4	17.2	-1.80	12.9	12.9	0.02
Brandon Boston Jr.	76	83	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.23	-3	-6	3	16.2	14.7	1.46	12.7	13.4	-0.65
Zion Williamson	59	66	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.24	-3	-6	3	15.2	16.8	-1.56	13.1	12.5	0.56
Brandon Ingram	80	82	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.15	-17	8	-25	15.7	16.5	-0.79	12.9	13.0	-0.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.68,0.68,0.62,0.6,0.63,0.72,0.61,0.56,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.31,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.21,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.1,0.19,0.12,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 95, CLE 85	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.53,0.57,0.62,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.67,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.41,0.5,0.45,0.45,0.33,0.27,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.11,0.21,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0,0	94.2%
SAS 98, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.53,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.59,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.4,0.37,0.33,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.3%
LAC 112, ORL 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0,0	93.0%