NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	112		Excitement	5.1 [745]		MVP	Kawhi Leonard (LAC): +13.6%
Orlando Magic	97		Comeback	2.6 [559]		LVP	Aaron Gordon (ORL): -12.4%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kawhi Leonard	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.10	0.03	-0.00	20	65%	0.21	4	-0.08	8	75%	0.01
Lou Williams	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.02	-0.04	10	54%	0.11	2	-0.04	8	87%	0.03
Patrick Patterson	0.05	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	-0.00	4	83%	0.09	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Maurice Harkless	0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Landry Shamet	0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.10	-0.01	0.06	14	61%	0.06	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.02
Montrezl Harrell	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	15	53%	0.04	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Terance Mann	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnathan Motley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Robinson	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.03	3	33%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.02	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
JaMychal Green	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Wes Iwundu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.02	0.05	5	86%	0.08	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Michael Carter-Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	0.02	0.04	11	62%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	6	62%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Khem Birch	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	64%	0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Vic Law	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Melvin Frazier Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amile Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
BJ Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	47%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	33%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	14	42%	-0.02	3	-0.06	3	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	19	29%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terrence Ross	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.11	-0.01	-0.02	15	24%	-0.10	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Aaron Gordon	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	12	32%	-0.11	1	-0.01	7	43%	-0.05

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.3	28.6	15.3	30.8	2.3	31.6	139.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.4	134.7

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +50.1%

LAC +10.8%

LAC +3.2%

ORL -18.7%

LAC +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	ORL	NBA	LAC	ORL	NBA
this game	14.3	16.1	14.2	117.9	102.1	109.6
season	13.8	14.7		113.2	107.1
opponent	14.2	14.4		108.9	107.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	14.5	16.4	12.5	13.7	14.3
ORL	14.9	15.7	19.3	14.5	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kawhi Leonard	63	65	0.71	-0.21	0.93	-0.05	26	-11	37	14.5	13.8	0.63	16.8	14.4	2.42
Maurice Harkless	60	61	0.61	-0.11	0.71	-0.10	24	-9	33	13.9	14.8	-0.85	17.0	14.3	2.78
Landry Shamet	69	71	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.03	17	-2	19	14.5	13.7	0.73	16.4	15.0	1.41
Patrick Patterson	41	41	0.52	-0.02	0.55	-0.12	22	-7	29	13.3	15.0	-1.62	17.9	14.6	3.25
Ivica Zubac	40	40	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.07	20	-5	25	14.0	14.4	-0.37	18.0	14.6	3.36
Terance Mann	11	10	0.04	0.46	-0.42	-0.02	2	13	-11	13.1	14.4	-1.33	15.6	16.1	-0.51
Johnathan Motley	4	4	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.03	1	14	-13	10.2	14.4	-4.19	12.0	16.2	-4.23
Montrezl Harrell	53	53	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	21	-27	14.6	13.8	0.86	14.6	17.9	-3.32
Lou Williams	53	53	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.18	-7	22	-29	15.5	12.7	2.73	14.6	17.9	-3.28
Rodney McGruder	27	25	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	17	-19	13.4	14.6	-1.20	15.4	16.3	-0.94
Jerome Robinson	20	20	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	21	-27	13.2	14.5	-1.28	13.9	16.6	-2.66
JaMychal Green	34	32	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.23	-16	31	-47	15.0	13.8	1.19	14.3	16.9	-2.58

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mo Bamba	40	41	0.15	-0.65	0.80	-0.29	15	-30	45	14.5	17.2	-2.64	15.1	13.6	1.47
Michael Carter-Williams	46	48	0.08	-0.58	0.67	-0.18	9	-24	33	14.5	17.5	-3.01	14.4	14.2	0.18
Vic Law	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	11.0	16.2	-5.22	12.3	14.3	-1.99
Melvin Frazier Jr.	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	11.0	16.2	-5.22	12.3	14.3	-1.99
Amile Jefferson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	11.0	16.2	-5.22	12.3	14.3	-1.99
BJ Johnson	3	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-16	17	11.0	16.2	-5.22	12.3	14.3	-1.99
Terrence Ross	59	57	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	0.10	-4	-11	7	15.0	17.7	-2.73	14.3	14.3	0.00
Wes Iwundu	41	42	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.21	5	-20	25	14.9	16.9	-2.07	14.9	13.7	1.19
Khem Birch	50	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-9	3	17.2	14.8	2.42	14.4	14.0	0.39
Evan Fournier	60	58	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.15	-19	4	-23	16.6	15.1	1.49	14.0	14.7	-0.68
Markelle Fultz	50	49	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	0.11	-25	10	-35	17.5	14.5	2.97	14.4	14.1	0.26
Aaron Gordon	65	64	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	0.03	-23	8	-31	17.1	13.9	3.19	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Nikola Vucevic	52	51	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	0.26	-31	16	-47	17.5	14.3	3.24	13.7	14.9	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.37,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.12,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 112, WAS 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.66,0.72,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.37,0.28,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.3%
MEM 96, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	95.1%
CHI 103, NYK 90	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.22,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0	94.8%