NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	103		Excitement	4.8 [890]		MVP	Luol Deng (CHI): +18.4%
New York Knicks	90		Comeback	2.2 [865]		LVP	Carlos Boozer (CHI): -13.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luol Deng	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.05	-0.05	16	64%	0.20	2	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Joakim Noah	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	87%	0.10	2	-0.02	7	100%	0.02
Derrick Rose	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.02	-0.02	19	60%	0.11	4	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
CJ Watson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keith Bogans	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.00	6	67%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.02	4	40%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Ronnie Brewer	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Omer Asik	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.00
Carlos Boozer	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.12	-0.06	-0.04	19	33%	-0.11	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.00

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Henry Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	-0.00	0.04	12	67%	0.07	1	-0.00	3	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.03	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	0.00	0.03	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Toney Douglas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.04	15	38%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Shelden Williams	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Landry Fields	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawne Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	45%	0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	10	48%	0.02	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Anthony Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	19	50%	0.01	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	2.8	36.2	17.8	31.8	2.7	30.2	145.0
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.4	27.2	2.4	33.9	140.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +16.8%

CHI +6.9%

CHI +12.9%

CHI +10.7%

CHI +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	NYK	NBA	CHI	NYK	NBA
this game	16.8	14.2	15.5	110.8	96.8	105.7
season	15.7	14.3		106.5	108.6
opponent	15.5	15.9		108.4	99.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	15.6	18.0	14.6	19.7	16.8
NYK	14.4	13.3	13.1	16.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derrick Rose	74	74	0.57	-0.07	0.64	0.07	17	-4	21	16.2	19.1	-2.84	14.1	14.6	-0.58
Carlos Boozer	71	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.02	16	-3	19	16.3	18.5	-2.29	14.3	13.8	0.47
Joakim Noah	58	59	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	2	9	15.1	19.6	-4.54	13.6	15.2	-1.58
Keith Bogans	41	41	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.07	8	5	3	15.7	17.7	-1.95	13.1	15.0	-1.88
Luol Deng	87	87	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	9	-5	16.7	18.3	-1.64	13.8	20.2	-6.41
Kyle Korver	34	35	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.01	8	5	3	18.7	15.7	3.01	15.3	13.5	1.83
CJ Watson	26	26	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.03	5	8	-3	18.3	16.2	2.10	15.4	13.7	1.68
Taj Gibson	39	38	0.16	0.34	-0.19	0.10	2	11	-9	19.1	15.2	3.88	14.7	13.8	0.82
Omer Asik	18	17	-0.04	0.54	-0.57	0.05	-3	16	-19	19.6	16.1	3.42	14.6	14.1	0.58
Ronnie Brewer	17	16	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	16	-19	16.4	16.9	-0.54	15.2	14.0	1.23

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	8	7	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.04	4	-17	21	13.0	14.3	-1.28	17.1	16.8	0.38
Henry Walker	41	41	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.23	10	-23	33	15.1	13.4	1.70	18.2	15.7	2.50
Anthony Carter	29	28	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	-0.05	1	-14	15	15.3	13.7	1.65	19.1	15.8	3.26
Derrick Brown	12	12	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	-0.02	-1	-12	11	11.8	14.5	-2.69	16.2	16.9	-0.72
Jared Jeffries	42	42	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.08	-2	-11	9	14.6	13.8	0.86	16.4	17.1	-0.67
Toney Douglas	56	56	-0.21	-0.29	0.07	-0.12	-3	-10	7	14.5	13.7	0.82	17.1	16.4	0.69
Ronny Turiaf	42	43	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	0.03	-15	2	-17	14.2	14.1	0.12	17.4	16.3	1.12
Landry Fields	55	56	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.00	-14	1	-15	13.5	15.2	-1.76	16.7	17.0	-0.34
Shawne Williams	59	58	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	3	-19	15.2	12.3	2.91	17.3	15.9	1.41
Carmelo Anthony	64	64	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.10	-12	-1	-11	13.3	16.2	-2.91	15.5	19.6	-4.00
Chauncey Billups	57	58	-0.50	0.00	-0.51	-0.00	-17	4	-21	13.5	15.3	-1.85	15.3	19.2	-3.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.57,0.56,0.62,0.6,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.46,0.54,0.52,0.34,0.33,0.27,0.19,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.04,0.1,0.22,0.12,0.21,0.15,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 96, NYK 84	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.56,0.51,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.27,0.14,0.18,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.13,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.01,0,0,0	94.6%
UTA 91, PHI 79	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.54,0.56,0.57,0.59,0.66,0.65,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.35,0.4,0.3,0.19,0.16,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.11,0.1,0.14,0.07,0.06,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	93.7%
DET 94, GSW 79	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.6,0.64,0.62,0.56,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.44,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.18,0.12,0.16,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	93.6%