NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	118		Excitement	8.6 [81]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +26.4%
Boston Celtics	112		Comeback	7.0 [39]		LVP	Jrue Holiday (BOS): -10.8%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.22	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.16,0.21,0.28,0.36,0.22,0.22	0.11	0.10	-0.00	17	66%	0.27	3	-0.06	7	100%	0.08
Kevon Looney	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.17,0.17	0.03	0.13	-0.02	5	60%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Buddy Hield	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17	0.12	0.06	0.01	11	73%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.07	0.05	-0.00	5	75%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	14	47%	0.11	2	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Trayce Jackson-Davis	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.01	-0.01	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	10	50%	0.08	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Gary Payton II	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.03	-0.00	4	67%	0.05	2	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01
Lindy Waters III	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.04	-0.06	0.01	-0.01	8	41%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.32,0.28,0.26	0.26	0.13	0.13	-0.01	20	65%	0.36	4	-0.10	9	78%	0.01
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.22,0.22,0.21	0.21	0.15	0.08	0.01	19	63%	0.24	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Neemias Queta	0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.01	11	54%	0.12	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.04
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.04	-0.00	13	55%	0.11	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
Sam Hauser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	60%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Walsh	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	2	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Al Horford	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09	-0.09	-0.02	-0.07	0.00	9	56%	-0.03	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	11	27%	-0.08	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.2	3.4	25.6	15.4	25.4	3.3	38.6	140.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +19.6%

GSW +6.2%

GSW +25.4%

BOS -1.3%

GSW +0.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	BOS	NBA	GSW	BOS	NBA
this game	13.4	16.1	14.3	121.6	114.3	111.8
season	13.9	14.9		110.9	118.1
opponent	14.0	14.5		109.3	109.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.6	13.0	13.2	13.6	13.4
BOS	13.6	16.4	19.5	15.7	16.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	65	65	0.72	-0.22	0.93	0.51	7	-1	8	12.8	14.6	-1.81	15.9	16.7	-0.84
Stephen Curry	68	70	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.46	7	-1	8	12.8	14.7	-1.82	16.6	15.0	1.60
Buddy Hield	55	56	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.02	20	-14	34	13.9	12.7	1.18	16.5	15.6	0.88
Draymond Green	63	63	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	4	-2	13.6	13.0	0.63	15.4	17.5	-2.09
Kevon Looney	30	31	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.37	5	1	4	13.6	13.3	0.32	17.8	15.4	2.43
Gary Payton II	36	38	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.05	7	-1	8	11.0	14.8	-3.79	17.8	15.1	2.78
Moses Moody	28	29	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	11	-16	14.2	13.0	1.17	14.8	16.7	-1.97
Trayce Jackson-Davis	34	33	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.10	-9	15	-24	14.4	12.8	1.54	15.5	16.5	-1.04
Lindy Waters III	29	28	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.16	-1	7	-8	14.7	12.8	1.82	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Kyle Anderson	43	42	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.14	-2	8	-10	12.8	13.8	-1.02	15.3	16.8	-1.46
Jonathan Kuminga	34	35	-0.21	0.71	-0.93	-0.18	-1	7	-8	14.6	12.7	1.95	16.9	15.7	1.16

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Hauser	44	42	0.43	-0.93	1.36	0.31	4	-10	14	17.1	15.3	1.80	13.6	13.2	0.42
Jordan Walsh	15	15	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.03	6	-12	18	17.1	16.0	1.09	13.5	13.4	0.18
Neemias Queta	57	56	0.11	-0.61	0.72	-0.27	13	-19	32	16.3	15.9	0.41	14.2	12.3	1.89
Luke Kornet	29	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.11	-7	1	-8	16.9	15.8	1.02	13.1	13.5	-0.45
Payton Pritchard	65	65	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.10	-8	2	-10	16.7	15.1	1.63	12.8	14.5	-1.72
Jrue Holiday	68	66	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.35	-11	5	-16	15.4	17.7	-2.29	13.9	12.4	1.51
Jayson Tatum	75	75	-0.71	0.21	-0.92	-0.56	-5	-1	-4	15.9	17.0	-1.06	13.0	14.8	-1.80
Derrick White	75	75	-0.72	0.22	-0.94	-0.40	-11	5	-16	15.7	17.6	-1.86	13.6	12.6	0.96
Al Horford	62	62	-0.92	0.42	-1.34	-0.60	-11	5	-16	15.7	16.8	-1.09	12.9	14.2	-1.28

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.69,0.65,0.64,0.61,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.63,0.64,0.53,0.54,0.54,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.27,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.25,0.34,0.29,0.36,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.73,0.74,0.81,0.72,0.47,0.28,0.23,0.04,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 87, DEN 83	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.27,0.32,0.23,0.27,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.28,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.81,0.66,0.62,0.36,0.23,0.08,0	92.5%
UTA 98, NJN 92	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.26,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.29,0.42,0.41,0.31,0.37,0.33,0.28,0.5,0.43,0.53,0.62,0.81,0.79,0.65,0.54,0.54,0.37,0.31,0.15,0	90.8%
HOU 111, SEA 104	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.64,0.59,0.6,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.53,0.42,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.36,0.3,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.35,0.41,0.35,0.27,0.33,0.38,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.59,0.47,0.73,0.53,0.29,0.03,0.04,0	90.6%