NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	107		Excitement	10.9 [15]		MVP	Brandon Miller (CHA): +53.5%
Charlotte Hornets	108		Comeback	7.5 [95]		LVP	Cade Cunningham (DET): -26.9%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ronald Holland II	0.40	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.4	0.05	0.35	0.00	5	80%	0.44	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Ivey	0.29	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.29	0.05	0.23	-0.01	16	62%	0.37	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.07
Paul Reed	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.10	0.14	0.00	6	93%	0.27	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.13,0.13,0.33,0.33,0.2	0.06	0.14	0.00	10	65%	0.23	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.00	4	87%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.01	12	56%	0.09	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.02
Jalen Duren	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Stewart	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	0.00	6	43%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Malik Beasley	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	11	23%	-0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.27	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.16,-0.16,-0.27,-0.27	-0.06	-0.17	0.03	23	42%	-0.16	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.08,0.54	0.54	0.00	0.53	-0.00	16	53%	0.76	3	-0.23	4	100%	0.02
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.05,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.19,0.08,0.52	0.52	0.05	0.46	-0.01	23	54%	0.57	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.39	0.39	0.20	0.19	0.01	14	73%	0.39	0	0.00	9	100%	0.09
Tidjane Salaun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	1	150%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.11	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Moussa Diabate	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.02	0.00	3	67%	0.05	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.06	-0.00	6	58%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	0.00	7	29%	-0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	4	0%	-0.06	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.12	-0.12	-0.00	-0.13	-0.01	9	60%	-0.04	3	-0.08	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	2.7	27.4	14.7	26.3	2.5	35.6	132.2
league avg	25.7	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.2	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +28.0%

CHA +18.0%

CHA +9.6%

DET -11.8%

CHA +6.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	13.8	14.5	14.4	105.9	105.9	112.2
season	14.3	14.9		111.0	108.2
opponent	14.2	14.6		112.7	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	12.7	14.7	14.5	13.4	13.8
CHA	15.5	13.0	14.3	15.4	14.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Simone Fontecchio	41	42	0.30	-0.80	1.11	0.13	6	-7	13	14.6	13.3	1.24	14.8	14.3	0.48
Malik Beasley	53	54	0.24	-0.74	0.99	-0.11	12	-13	25	13.5	14.2	-0.66	14.1	15.0	-0.85
Paul Reed	26	25	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.24	0	-1	1	13.3	14.0	-0.74	14.5	14.6	-0.09
Ronald Holland II	31	32	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.20	12	-13	25	15.1	13.2	1.89	14.5	14.6	-0.03
Jalen Duren	15	15	0.07	-0.57	0.65	-0.01	3	-4	7	13.6	13.9	-0.26	17.1	14.1	2.95
Cade Cunningham	82	81	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.26	-1	0	-1	13.6	14.6	-1.00	14.2	15.7	-1.47
Isaiah Stewart	54	56	-0.75	0.25	-1.00	-0.54	-7	6	-13	14.5	13.0	1.46	14.3	14.8	-0.47
Tim Hardaway Jr.	66	65	-0.76	0.26	-1.03	-0.53	-8	7	-15	13.5	14.5	-0.97	14.7	14.2	0.48
Tobias Harris	68	69	-0.79	0.29	-1.08	-0.56	-8	7	-15	13.2	15.1	-1.93	14.8	14.1	0.63
Jaden Ivey	69	71	-0.92	0.42	-1.33	-0.51	-14	13	-27	13.9	13.6	0.33	14.3	15.0	-0.69

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Green	52	51	1.08	-0.58	1.67	1.23	-5	6	-11	14.5	14.6	-0.18	14.7	12.9	1.83
Grant Williams	59	58	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.40	9	-8	17	13.8	15.6	-1.87	12.9	15.0	-2.13
Miles Bridges	73	73	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.48	6	-5	11	14.8	13.9	0.86	14.1	13.0	1.14
Brandon Miller	62	61	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.50	1	0	1	14.5	14.6	-0.08	13.3	14.6	-1.29
LaMelo Ball	64	65	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.53	-2	3	-5	15.3	13.3	2.05	14.6	12.5	2.05
Cody Martin	62	60	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.27	3	-2	5	13.9	15.5	-1.56	13.2	14.7	-1.49
Taj Gibson	29	31	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	5	-9	16.0	14.0	2.08	15.4	13.1	2.26
Tidjane Salaun	25	25	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.00	-6	7	-13	14.4	14.6	-0.20	13.6	13.9	-0.29
Moussa Diabate	14	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.06	-4	5	-9	14.8	14.5	0.27	14.2	13.8	0.39
Seth Curry	24	24	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	-0.49	3	-2	5	14.5	14.6	-0.01	13.8	13.8	0.02
Tre Mann	46	45	-0.52	1.02	-1.53	-0.63	4	-3	7	14.2	14.9	-0.72	12.8	14.6	-1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.35,0.47,0.56,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.63,0.52,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.43,0.37,0.36,0.4,0.34,0.25,0.45,0.43,0.27,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 109, LAC 111	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.41,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.49,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.52,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.48,0.47,0.47,0.29,0.34,0.47,0.36,0.43,0.42,1	91.4%
NJN 80, MIA 81	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.32,0.34,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.52,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.54,0.57,0.43,0.58,0.58,0.53,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.37,0.43,0.26,1	91.4%
DAL 105, SAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.43,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.46,0.41,0.41,0.5,0.43,0.39,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.51,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.53,0.33,0.23,0.36,0.41,0.46,0.32,0.23,0.45,0.42,1	91.1%