NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	104		Excitement	6.0 [112]		MVP	Amir Coffey (LAC): +38.2%
LA Clippers	113		Comeback	11.2 [45]		LVP	Ivica Zubac (LAC): -9.7%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Julian Champagnie	0.14	0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.18	-0.01	0.04	12	78%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.09,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.08	0.00	4	62%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.04	7	44%	0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Castle	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	-0.01	10	46%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	4	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Victor Wembanyama	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	22	50%	0.04	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.04
Jeremy Sochan	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	3	67%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	5	29%	-0.03	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Chris Paul	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.00	-0.08	0.01	11	64%	0.06	4	-0.15	0	0%	0.00

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amir Coffey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.25,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.37,0.38	0.38	0.23	0.19	0.03	10	105%	0.38	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.19,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.14	0.11	-0.02	15	66%	0.31	1	-0.04	5	80%	0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.00	-0.01	10	71%	0.16	2	-0.05	4	50%	-0.02
Kris Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.04	-0.02	9	55%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Terance Mann	0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.00	0.01	4	62%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kai Jones	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	10	48%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.02
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.09	-0.04	-0.06	10	30%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ivica Zubac	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.14,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	0.02	0.03	17	44%	-0.06	4	-0.04	5	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	27.8	14.7	25.5	2.5	28.5	125.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +51.1%

SAS -8.7%

SAS -7.2%

LAC +15.7%

SAS -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	LAC	NBA	SAS	LAC	NBA
this game	15.3	16.2	14.4	114.3	122.8	112.0
season	14.6	15.2		109.7	109.3
opponent	13.9	14.4		108.6	110.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	12.5	19.3	15.6	14.5	15.3
LAC	16.3	15.0	17.9	15.5	16.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeremy Sochan	23	24	0.23	-0.66	0.89	-0.18	14	-23	37	14.2	16.2	-1.94	18.2	14.9	3.25
Chris Paul	53	52	0.17	-0.60	0.77	-0.12	10	-19	29	15.0	16.7	-1.64	16.9	14.1	2.84
Zach Collins	28	29	0.04	-0.47	0.51	-0.31	12	-21	33	13.4	16.8	-3.38	14.8	16.5	-1.66
Harrison Barnes	62	61	-0.06	-0.37	0.31	-0.32	9	-18	27	15.0	17.7	-2.72	15.9	15.7	0.27
Sandro Mamukelashvili	11	10	-0.25	-0.18	-0.07	-0.07	-6	-3	-3	15.5	15.6	-0.17	11.9	16.4	-4.52
Julian Champagnie	61	60	-0.41	-0.01	-0.40	0.06	-16	7	-23	16.1	14.1	1.93	16.4	14.5	1.87
Keldon Johnson	44	46	-0.44	0.01	-0.45	0.06	-17	8	-25	16.2	14.9	1.26	14.6	17.5	-2.91
Stephon Castle	37	40	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.06	-13	4	-17	16.3	14.6	1.69	15.6	16.6	-1.02
Victor Wembanyama	53	53	-0.47	0.04	-0.51	0.15	-21	12	-33	16.8	13.4	3.38	16.5	14.8	1.66
Malaki Branham	33	35	-0.51	0.08	-0.59	-0.01	-17	8	-25	16.3	15.1	1.18	14.9	16.6	-1.71

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Amir Coffey	46	46	0.98	-0.49	1.48	0.05	32	-25	57	15.8	17.7	-1.91	16.3	14.6	1.75
Kris Dunn	45	46	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.22	22	-15	37	15.4	18.0	-2.55	16.3	14.6	1.71
Ivica Zubac	70	68	0.71	-0.22	0.93	0.24	16	-9	25	16.3	18.0	-1.67	16.0	13.6	2.44
Kevin Porter Jr.	40	38	0.38	0.12	0.26	-0.03	14	-7	21	13.8	19.0	-5.22	16.2	15.0	1.22
Norman Powell	60	61	0.31	0.18	0.13	0.37	-2	9	-11	17.8	14.2	3.65	14.9	16.9	-2.07
Nicolas Batum	36	35	0.11	0.38	-0.27	-0.18	10	-3	13	15.4	17.5	-2.12	16.3	15.0	1.32
James Harden	58	59	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.40	-14	21	-35	18.9	12.4	6.48	14.7	17.1	-2.36
Kai Jones	9	9	-0.14	0.63	-0.78	0.12	-9	16	-25	15.4	16.8	-1.37	12.9	15.8	-2.90
Derrick Jones Jr.	39	41	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.07	-14	21	-35	18.0	15.6	2.39	14.8	16.1	-1.37
Terance Mann	37	37	-0.41	0.90	-1.31	0.18	-20	27	-47	17.8	15.8	1.97	14.7	16.1	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.43,0.34,0.35,0.29,0.25,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.27,0.24,0.34,0.22,0.13,0.17,0.11,0.2,0.16,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.34,0.3,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.64,0.71,0.93,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 88, NJN 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.24,0.2,0.24,0.32,0.25,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.23,0.18,0.23,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.08,0.18,0.26,0.15,0.21,0.17,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.61,0.86,0.89,0.95,0.91,1	90.3%
DET 87, BOS 99	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.32,0.32,0.24,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.18,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.23,0.25,0.21,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.24,0.15,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.26,0.3,0.34,0.53,0.73,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.96,0.96,0.94,1,1	90.2%
CLE 92, MIA 98	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.31,0.32,0.35,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.38,0.31,0.28,0.21,0.22,0.17,0.23,0.25,0.37,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.22,0.14,0.2,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.53,0.53,0.71,0.82,0.9,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	90.2%