NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	134		Excitement	7.6 [94]		MVP	Myles Turner (IND): +27.1%
Dallas Mavericks	127		Comeback	1.2 [135]		LVP	P.J. Washington (DAL): -14.1%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Myles Turner	0.27	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.17,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.21	0.08	0.02	17	77%	0.34	2	-0.07	5	100%	0.04
Pascal Siakam	0.25	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.12	0.12	-0.01	16	68%	0.26	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.2	0.12	0.07	-0.01	16	66%	0.24	2	-0.05	6	50%	-0.05
Bennedict Mathurin	0.15	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.09	0.00	13	55%	0.15	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.05
Obi Toppin	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	8	69%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.03	0.06	-0.01	10	60%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Nembhard	0.06	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	0%	-0.04
Ben Sheppard	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27	0.27	0.13	0.14	0.00	8	87%	0.27	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.20	0.06	0.01	9	100%	0.25	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	21	61%	0.22	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.05	0.00	12	67%	0.16	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02	-0.02	0.09	-0.07	0.04	24	54%	0.05	2	-0.06	15	80%	-0.03
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	11	31%	-0.10	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.1	2.0	24.0	14.8	30.1	2.3	28.3	131.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +40.1%

DAL -1.2%

IND +14.3%

DAL -3.7%

IND +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DAL	NBA	IND	DAL	NBA
this game	13.2	14.2	14.4	126.4	121.0	112.0
season	13.7	13.8		111.8	116.3
opponent	14.7	14.7		110.2	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.2	14.3	12.2	13.9	13.2
DAL	15.0	12.9	14.5	14.3	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bennedict Mathurin	61	62	0.38	-0.15	0.53	0.09	10	-6	16	12.3	13.9	-1.57	13.9	14.3	-0.42
Pascal Siakam	70	68	0.35	-0.12	0.47	-0.03	13	-9	22	12.5	13.9	-1.45	14.4	13.1	1.29
Tyrese Haliburton	70	69	0.29	-0.06	0.35	0.12	6	-2	8	12.5	13.8	-1.25	14.2	13.6	0.60
Myles Turner	64	65	0.25	-0.01	0.26	0.07	6	-2	8	12.2	14.1	-1.84	14.2	13.7	0.51
Andrew Nembhard	54	56	0.08	0.15	-0.07	-0.04	4	0	4	12.5	13.3	-0.77	13.7	14.4	-0.74
Jarace Walker	29	31	0.02	0.21	-0.20	0.02	0	4	-4	14.1	12.4	1.75	14.1	14.0	0.16
T.J. McConnell	45	42	-0.05	0.28	-0.32	0.10	-5	9	-14	13.6	12.3	1.27	14.1	13.9	0.22
Obi Toppin	54	52	-0.07	0.30	-0.37	0.16	-8	12	-20	13.6	11.9	1.70	13.7	14.3	-0.59
Ben Sheppard	38	35	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.08	-6	13	-19	13.9	12.7	1.20	13.6	14.4	-0.87

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Quentin Grimes	22	21	0.11	-0.57	0.68	0.02	3	-11	14	12.8	14.7	-1.87	14.1	12.7	1.47
Dwight Powell	15	16	0.02	-0.49	0.51	-0.15	6	-14	20	13.1	14.5	-1.35	14.0	12.8	1.21
Naji Marshall	68	69	-0.07	-0.40	0.33	-0.19	4	-12	16	14.2	14.4	-0.19	12.8	13.5	-0.68
Spencer Dinwiddie	51	51	-0.18	-0.29	0.11	-0.09	-3	-5	2	13.3	15.3	-2.05	13.5	12.5	0.96
Daniel Gafford	36	32	-0.33	-0.14	-0.18	0.03	-12	4	-16	14.6	14.1	0.43	12.2	13.3	-1.07
P.J. Washington	68	71	-0.34	-0.13	-0.21	-0.13	-7	-1	-6	14.9	13.0	1.88	13.4	12.0	1.33
Luka Doncic	87	88	-0.48	0.01	-0.49	-0.36	-4	-4	0	14.5	12.9	1.56	13.3	10.8	2.44
Kyrie Irving	82	82	-0.50	0.04	-0.54	-0.15	-12	4	-16	14.8	12.1	2.71	12.1	16.9	-4.83
Klay Thompson	71	70	-0.57	0.10	-0.67	-0.13	-15	7	-22	14.2	14.4	-0.19	12.9	13.3	-0.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.52,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.42,0.35,0.35,0.24,0.28,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.36,0.41,0.35,0.16,0.07,0.01,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 99, ORL 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.35,0.24,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.54,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.35,0.28,0.1,0.02,0,0.01,0	93.3%
SAC 102, MIL 89	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.44,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.29,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.57,0.52,0.42,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.32,0.05,0.01,0,0	93.1%
IND 88, DET 77	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.42,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.33,0.33,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.38,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.38,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.36,0.24,0.14,0.03,0,0,0,0	93.1%