NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	103		Excitement	5.0 [154]		MVP	Anthony Davis (LAL): +12.3%
Detroit Pistons	115		Comeback	1.2 [80]		LVP	D'Angelo Russell (LAL): -7.9%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Davis	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.03	23	62%	0.17	3	-0.05	14	79%	0.01
Dalton Knecht	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.00	2	125%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaxson Hayes	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	5	38%	0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.03
Rui Hachimura	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	0.00	0.04	6	57%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Cam Reddish	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
LeBron James	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.05	-0.03	0.03	16	54%	0.01	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Austin Reaves	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	17	49%	0.04	4	-0.09	1	0%	-0.02
Max Christie	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
D'Angelo Russell	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	14	37%	-0.04	3	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jaden Ivey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.06	0.03	16	67%	0.19	4	-0.08	7	71%	-0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.15	0.00	0.04	12	76%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.01	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	50%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jalen Duren	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	7	73%	0.06	2	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.01	0.01	-0.03	15	50%	0.05	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0,0,0	0.00	-0.08	0.05	-0.04	17	44%	0.04	3	-0.04	5	40%	-0.02
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	-0.00	-0.03	10	32%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.4	29.0	14.7	30.4	2.5	32.5	135.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +27.6%

LAL -1.1%

DET +13.2%

DET +7.6%

DET +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	DET	NBA	LAL	DET	NBA
this game	14.1	15.0	14.4	105.1	115.0	112.0
season	14.7	14.6		117.5	110.2
opponent	14.7	14.2		111.5	116.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	15.0	13.6	15.5	12.5	14.1
DET	13.2	13.1	18.8	15.7	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Reddish	29	30	0.03	-0.46	0.48	-0.27	10	-20	30	13.1	15.5	-2.33	14.9	14.3	0.62
Max Christie	8	8	-0.11	-0.33	0.22	0.07	-6	-4	-2	17.4	14.4	3.02	11.4	14.9	-3.49
Anthony Davis	61	64	-0.11	-0.32	0.21	-0.14	1	-11	12	14.5	15.0	-0.48	15.3	12.0	3.33
D'Angelo Russell	51	51	-0.14	-0.29	0.16	-0.17	1	-11	12	14.8	14.5	0.31	15.0	13.8	1.28
Dalton Knecht	19	18	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.03	-8	-4	-4	14.9	13.9	1.01	13.2	15.4	-2.17
Gabe Vincent	35	37	-0.23	-0.20	-0.02	-0.08	-5	-5	0	15.4	14.1	1.36	14.0	14.9	-0.91
Rui Hachimura	52	53	-0.25	-0.19	-0.06	-0.10	-5	-5	0	15.7	12.9	2.75	15.5	12.9	2.64
Jaxson Hayes	21	20	-0.32	-0.11	-0.20	0.03	-12	2	-14	15.0	14.5	0.48	12.0	15.3	-3.33
Austin Reaves	66	68	-0.40	-0.03	-0.36	-0.05	-12	2	-14	14.1	16.9	-2.85	14.5	14.8	-0.34
LeBron James	68	71	-0.43	-0.00	-0.43	-0.02	-14	4	-18	14.2	16.9	-2.75	14.3	15.8	-1.55

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	70	67	0.51	-0.06	0.57	0.25	9	-2	11	14.8	14.8	0.04	14.4	13.9	0.44
Tobias Harris	58	57	0.46	-0.01	0.46	0.10	12	-5	17	14.7	15.1	-0.38	14.1	14.5	-0.38
Jaden Ivey	67	68	0.41	0.04	0.37	-0.03	15	-8	23	14.8	14.8	0.01	14.1	14.6	-0.50
Isaiah Stewart	50	49	0.26	0.19	0.08	0.12	5	2	3	14.8	14.8	-0.04	14.9	13.5	1.48
Ronald Holland II	36	37	0.17	0.28	-0.10	0.03	5	2	3	14.0	15.3	-1.33	13.4	14.8	-1.38
Malik Beasley	59	57	0.14	0.31	-0.17	0.32	-6	13	-19	15.0	14.5	0.53	14.3	14.2	0.07
Simone Fontecchio	24	25	0.13	0.32	-0.18	0.05	3	4	-1	13.6	15.2	-1.66	17.0	13.2	3.78
Jalen Duren	45	44	0.13	0.32	-0.19	0.13	0	7	-7	15.0	14.7	0.35	13.5	14.9	-1.48
Tim Hardaway Jr.	61	61	0.03	0.42	-0.38	0.27	-8	15	-23	15.6	13.4	2.24	13.7	15.2	-1.45

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.59,0.6,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.77,0.73,0.76,0.82,0.83,0.87,0.9,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.93,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.94,0.91,0.87,0.85,0.74,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.98,0.96,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, DEN 100	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.84,0.9,0.89,0.9,0.9,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.93,0.93,0.92,0.92,0.98,0.97,0.94,0.88,0.79,0.74,0.84,0.91,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.97,0.99,0.93,0.96,0.98,1,1	96.3%
PHX 92, MIN 97	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.56,0.62,0.61,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.56,0.68,0.76,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.89,0.9,0.86,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.89,0.92,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.88,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.87,0.91,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.87,0.94,0.99,1,0.99,1	95.6%
NJN 93, DET 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.8,0.84,0.87,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.94,0.95,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.92,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.88,0.83,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,0.99,1	95.6%