NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	118		Excitement	8.6 [225]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +39.7%
New Orleans Pelicans	125		Comeback	4.0 [195]		LVP	Myles Turner (IND): -8.6%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ben Sheppard	0.23	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23,0.23	0.18	0.05	0.00	12	83%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bennedict Mathurin	0.21	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.22,0.21	0.05	0.16	0.01	15	54%	0.24	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.02
Aaron Nesmith	0.13	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.01	0.01	5	120%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Jackson	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.07
Pascal Siakam	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.05,0,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.01	0.03	13	62%	0.10	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Obi Toppin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	6	58%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Jarace Walker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	6	42%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.04	-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.03
T.J. McConnell	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.01	-0.06	0.00	9	56%	-0.01	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	-0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.15,-0.22,-0.2,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	-0.05	-0.06	-0.03	12	50%	0.11	4	-0.20	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.28,0.24,0.33,0.4,0.4	0.40	0.18	0.23	0.02	20	71%	0.50	3	-0.10	8	62%	-0.04
Jordan Hawkins	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.08,0.17,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.08	0.17	0.01	17	55%	0.24	0	0.00	8	87%	0.05
Brandon Boston Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.11	0.04	0.01	9	78%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.03	-0.03	0.01	12	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yves Missi	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jamal Cain	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,0.02,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	0.01	25	49%	0.01	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	4	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	2.5	26.4	14.4	30.5	2.3	32.3	130.5
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -20.4%

NOP +9.4%

NOP +26.5%

NOP +27.5%

NOP +7.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	NOP	NBA	IND	NOP	NBA
this game	13.8	15.4	14.4	120.4	126.3	113.1
season	13.9	14.4		115.3	109.3
opponent	14.3	14.7		118.3	112.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.8	15.1	15.0	12.7	13.8
NOP	14.9	14.9	15.7	16.1	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Jackson	38	35	0.28	-0.78	1.05	0.07	7	-14	21	12.1	14.9	-2.84	13.9	16.2	-2.36
Aaron Nesmith	21	21	0.15	-0.65	0.81	-0.05	7	-14	21	14.3	13.7	0.56	16.1	15.2	0.90
T.J. McConnell	48	48	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.13	5	-12	17	12.8	14.9	-2.11	14.8	16.0	-1.19
Obi Toppin	40	40	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.05	-3	-4	1	13.1	14.4	-1.26	14.1	16.3	-2.20
Ben Sheppard	69	70	-0.08	-0.42	0.33	-0.29	7	-14	21	12.5	17.1	-4.58	15.3	15.6	-0.29
Jarace Walker	25	26	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	0.03	-8	1	-9	16.0	13.1	2.84	15.5	15.3	0.16
Pascal Siakam	61	62	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.39	1	-8	9	14.4	12.9	1.58	16.5	13.5	3.07
Bennedict Mathurin	64	65	-0.63	0.13	-0.77	-0.25	-13	6	-19	14.6	12.5	2.11	15.9	14.5	1.39
Tyrese Haliburton	67	67	-0.76	0.26	-1.01	-0.20	-19	12	-31	14.4	12.7	1.71	15.2	15.8	-0.63
Myles Turner	57	61	-0.89	0.39	-1.27	-0.33	-19	12	-31	14.9	12.4	2.50	16.0	14.5	1.48

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Brandon Ingram	70	70	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.19	17	-10	27	16.1	13.7	2.40	14.2	12.9	1.39
Zion Williamson	75	77	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.14	17	-10	27	14.5	18.0	-3.45	14.7	10.8	3.87
Jose Alvarado	64	64	0.59	-0.09	0.68	0.21	13	-6	19	15.7	14.7	1.04	14.3	12.9	1.43
Yves Missi	53	52	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.27	8	-1	9	16.4	14.2	2.18	13.9	13.8	0.08
Jordan Hawkins	77	76	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	-1	9	15.4	15.5	-0.09	13.7	14.4	-0.72
Daniel Theis	26	26	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.01	12	-5	17	14.5	15.7	-1.15	14.7	13.5	1.15
Javonte Green	41	37	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.22	-5	12	-17	15.9	15.0	0.89	11.9	15.0	-3.18
Brandon Boston Jr.	49	48	-0.01	0.51	-0.51	0.14	-5	12	-17	14.8	16.0	-1.24	13.6	14.1	-0.44
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	20	20	-0.37	0.87	-1.24	0.01	-13	20	-33	13.8	15.8	-1.98	12.6	14.2	-1.50
Jamal Cain	20	20	-0.40	0.90	-1.30	0.10	-17	24	-41	15.4	15.4	0.08	12.5	14.2	-1.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.29,0.22,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.6,0.61,0.73,0.67,0.62,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.67,0.56,0.74,0.66,0.62,0.61,0.58,0.47,0.6,0.67,0.86,0.64,0.84,0.95,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 75, UTA 83	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.8,0.79,0.97,1,1	92.1%
NYK 125, DEN 128	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.91,0.91,1	91.5%
SEA 93, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.37,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.59,0.6,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.68,0.69,0.6,0.83,0.85,0.85,0.84,0.95,1	91.5%