NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	75		Excitement	6.5 [532]		MVP	Bruce Bowen (SAS): +13.6%
Utah Jazz	83		Comeback	2.8 [406]		LVP	Michael Finley (SAS): -16.1%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Bowen	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.13	0.01	-0.00	12	71%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Francisco Elson	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.03	-0.00	2	100%	0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Beno Udrih	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.00	11	48%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Robert Horry	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	5	30%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Fabricio Oberto	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brent Barry	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	3	29%	-0.03	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.03
Tim Duncan	-0.12	0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.11	0.00	16	51%	0.02	3	-0.14	9	78%	-0.00
Tony Parker	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13	-0.07	-0.06	-0.00	15	44%	-0.00	3	-0.12	2	0%	-0.04
Michael Finley	-0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.13	-0.04	-0.01	8	18%	-0.12	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Deron Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.03	0.10	0.00	11	62%	0.19	3	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
Carlos Boozer	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.05	-0.00	16	61%	0.17	4	-0.10	6	50%	-0.02
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.01	0.07	-0.00	12	43%	0.06	0	0.00	6	50%	-0.06
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.03	-0.01	5	50%	0.05	1	-0.01	8	87%	0.02
Jarron Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	9	44%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gordan Giricek	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.02	6	29%	-0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.03	-0.07	0.04	9	53%	-0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.0	1.8	28.0	15.8	26.0	1.8	30.2	126.5
league avg	28.7	2.4	29.9	15.9	26.5	2.4	34.0	141.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +10.8%

UTA +10.1%

UTA +30.6%

UTA +7.4%

SAS -8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	17.0	18.2	15.4	91.5	101.2	104.5
season	16.2	15.9		107.5	107.4
opponent	15.0	15.4		104.9	98.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	16.6	17.2	18.0	16.0	17.0
UTA	17.7	17.9	18.0	19.1	18.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Beno Udrih	28	28	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-14	20	18.2	16.3	1.92	17.8	18.4	-0.53
Robert Horry	37	40	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.18	6	-14	20	16.4	17.4	-0.95	17.3	19.0	-1.65
Michael Finley	38	38	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.19	-8	0	-8	17.3	16.7	0.58	18.6	17.8	0.81
Fabricio Oberto	32	32	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.09	-9	1	-10	17.3	16.7	0.59	18.4	18.0	0.33
Francisco Elson	26	24	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.13	-6	-2	-4	17.2	16.8	0.35	20.0	17.4	2.65
Brent Barry	50	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.30	-3	-5	2	16.7	17.3	-0.59	18.1	18.2	-0.07
Bruce Bowen	72	72	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.33	-5	-3	-2	17.0	16.7	0.29	18.2	17.9	0.31
Tony Parker	61	62	-0.56	0.06	-0.62	-0.24	-11	3	-14	16.4	18.7	-2.31	18.1	18.4	-0.30
Tim Duncan	66	65	-0.73	0.23	-0.96	-0.44	-10	2	-12	16.9	17.0	-0.06	17.8	19.4	-1.57

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carlos Boozer	66	67	0.88	-0.38	1.25	0.44	15	-7	22	17.8	19.7	-1.96	16.8	17.7	-0.88
Andrei Kirilenko	58	58	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.31	15	-7	22	17.8	19.0	-1.17	16.5	18.0	-1.48
Deron Williams	63	63	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.26	8	0	8	18.0	18.8	-0.87	16.5	18.4	-1.91
Matt Harpring	53	53	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.29	7	1	6	18.2	18.1	0.10	16.7	17.4	-0.66
Mehmet Okur	49	49	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.17	3	5	-2	18.0	18.4	-0.32	16.6	17.5	-0.99
Jarron Collins	25	25	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.10	-2	10	-12	19.1	17.8	1.31	18.1	16.4	1.68
Gordan Giricek	33	32	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	-0.08	1	7	-6	17.8	18.4	-0.54	18.0	16.3	1.72
Derek Fisher	35	34	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.09	1	7	-6	18.8	17.7	1.05	18.2	16.1	2.14
Ronnie Brewer	15	16	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	12	-16	18.2	18.2	0.04	16.4	17.1	-0.64
Paul Millsap	13	13	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.10	-4	12	-16	20.4	17.8	2.63	16.8	17.0	-0.12

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.34,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.36,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.52,0.64,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.62,0.42,0.47,0.53,0.61,0.8,0.79,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 87, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	92.4%
MIA 89, BOS 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.35,0.42,0.51,0.64,0.67,0.71,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.47,0.52,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.6,0.81,0.93,1,1,1	92.3%
IND 93, MIL 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.53,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.4,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.68,0.66,0.57,0.7,0.79,0.74,0.78,0.66,0.52,0.37,0.64,0.6,0.53,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.96,1	92.2%