NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	125		Excitement	9.0 [116]		MVP	Carmelo Anthony (DEN): +52.1%
Denver Nuggets	128		Comeback	2.5 [992]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (NYK): -14.5%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Al Harrington	0.24	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.24	0.25	0.02	0.03	24	67%	0.26	1	-0.02	13	69%	-0.06
Wilson Chandler	0.19	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.19	0.03	0.15	-0.01	12	50%	0.19	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nate Robinson	0.16	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.04	0.11	-0.01	9	55%	0.16	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
David Lee	0.16	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.16	0.09	0.06	-0.01	11	77%	0.25	4	-0.10	8	87%	0.02
Chris Duhon	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	10	57%	0.03	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Jared Jeffries	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	-0.00	0.00	3	55%	0.03	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.06
Larry Hughes	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	0.03	-0.13	0.01	13	57%	-0.08	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Danilo Gallinari	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.11	-0.04	-0.00	10	20%	-0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carmelo Anthony	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.47,0.52	0.52	0.30	0.21	-0.01	28	69%	0.68	3	-0.16	16	94%	0.16
J.R. Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.4,0.4,0.39	0.39	0.12	0.27	0.00	11	71%	0.39	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Chauncey Billups	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.16,0.1,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.05	0.01	17	67%	0.24	3	-0.08	14	71%	-0.04
Chris Andersen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	3	71%	0.07	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Nene	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.02	0.01	7	56%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Arron Afflalo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	62%	0.06	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Ty Lawson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kenyon Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	11	36%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.4	27.5	16.4	27.6	2.6	42.6	143.7
league avg	26.2	2.4	30.3	16.5	27.2	2.4	33.7	141.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DEN +45.3%

DEN +23.4%

NYK -8.8%

NYK -18.2%

DEN +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	DEN	NBA	NYK	DEN	NBA
this game	14.8	15.0	15.3	128.9	133.3	106.0
season	14.7	14.4		105.9	110.3
opponent	15.5	15.5		106.4	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	16.8	13.8	14.7	14.2	14.8
DEN	13.2	15.6	16.6	14.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	37	37	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.07	2	-5	7	15.9	14.2	1.66	18.4	12.9	5.48
Nate Robinson	34	33	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-1	-1	15.2	14.7	0.53	18.3	13.3	5.02
Danilo Gallinari	39	38	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	-0.07	-1	-2	1	15.3	14.5	0.79	13.3	16.1	-2.85
Al Harrington	75	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.36	0	-3	3	14.5	15.9	-1.39	16.1	11.1	5.01
Chris Duhon	77	78	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.43	1	-4	5	14.8	15.1	-0.33	14.0	19.3	-5.25
Wilson Chandler	82	79	-0.51	0.01	-0.51	-0.36	-5	2	-7	14.9	14.5	0.44	15.0	14.9	0.16
David Lee	70	70	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.42	-4	1	-5	14.7	15.3	-0.59	13.4	19.3	-5.95
Larry Hughes	71	70	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.51	-6	3	-9	14.4	16.1	-1.75	14.1	17.4	-3.31

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kenyon Martin	74	74	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.33	14	-11	25	15.6	12.9	2.79	15.3	13.3	2.06
Chauncey Billups	75	77	0.68	-0.18	0.86	0.48	7	-4	11	14.1	18.1	-4.01	14.6	15.9	-1.34
Carmelo Anthony	92	93	0.50	-0.00	0.51	0.42	3	0	3	15.2	11.0	4.18	14.7	18.0	-3.30
Nene	74	75	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.35	0	3	-3	13.9	18.9	-5.00	14.8	14.9	-0.04
J.R. Smith	47	48	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.44	-6	9	-15	16.4	13.7	2.69	14.7	14.9	-0.21
Arron Afflalo	42	43	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.09	0	3	-3	13.0	16.6	-3.62	15.7	14.1	1.59
Ty Lawson	32	31	0.00	0.49	-0.49	-0.14	5	-2	7	17.2	13.9	3.31	14.5	15.0	-0.47
Chris Andersen	44	44	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.10	-8	11	-19	15.9	14.3	1.58	14.3	15.3	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.42,0.32,0.34,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.65,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.7,0.82,0.82,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 95, DET 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.29,0.33,0.33,0.39,0.5,0.46,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.81,0.79,0.9,0.78,0.67,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.53,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.9,0.91,1	92.3%
MIA 101, UTA 110	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.43,0.36,0.4,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.78,0.79,0.71,0.68,0.62,0.74,0.67,0.71,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.6,0.75,0.79,0.98,1,1	92.2%
GSW 87, POR 92	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.46,0.4,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.41,0.44,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.59,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.66,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.55,0.72,0.85,0.98,1	92.1%