NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	108		Excitement	4.8 [150]		MVP	Amen Thompson (HOU): +10.7%
Dallas Mavericks	102		Comeback	1.0 [85]		LVP	Fred VanVleet (HOU): -8.0%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Amen Thompson	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11	0.06	0.05	0.00	5	83%	0.11	1	-0.00	2	100%	0.00
Jabari Smith Jr.	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	10	58%	0.07	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Jalen Green	0.07	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07	-0.04	0.07	-0.03	21	51%	0.15	5	-0.08	3	67%	0.01
Tari Eason	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05	0.10	-0.03	0.01	10	65%	0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Reed Sheppard	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Whitmore	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	16	41%	0.00	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.01
Dillon Brooks	-0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02	0.04	-0.01	0.05	15	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.13	0.00	-0.05	13	15%	-0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	13	46%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luka Doncic	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	25	54%	0.12	1	-0.09	4	50%	-0.02
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	-0.01	3	67%	0.03	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	4	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.01	-0.03	5	29%	0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Dereck Lively II	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	0.00	0.02	4	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	20%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03	-0.03	0.10	-0.04	0.09	20	65%	0.01	3	-0.04	3	100%	0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01
Jaden Hardy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	2.4	28.7	15.4	29.3	1.7	31.5	139.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +0.7%

HOU +9.6%

HOU +32.2%

HOU +5.8%

HOU +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	DAL	NBA	HOU	DAL	NBA
this game	17.0	13.3	14.4	113.7	107.4	112.0
season	14.4	13.8		112.5	115.2
opponent	15.0	14.0		109.1	104.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.7	19.4	14.8	18.3	17.0
DAL	14.3	12.7	14.0	12.2	13.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tari Eason	38	40	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.16	12	-6	18	15.2	18.1	-2.93	13.3	13.4	-0.08
Jalen Green	73	72	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	-6	18	16.8	17.6	-0.87	13.5	12.9	0.63
Amen Thompson	36	37	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	-1	8	15.4	17.9	-2.50	13.4	13.3	0.05
Dillon Brooks	80	81	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.21	7	-1	8	17.5	14.3	3.21	13.6	12.1	1.41
Fred VanVleet	79	76	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.58	-12	18	-30	17.3	15.2	2.07	12.6	16.4	-3.84
Alperen Sengun	66	69	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.07	10	-4	14	17.1	16.7	0.40	14.2	11.1	3.07
Reed Sheppard	9	10	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.02	5	1	4	17.8	16.9	0.89	14.7	13.2	1.51
Cam Whitmore	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.14	-1	7	-8	17.3	16.9	0.35	12.9	13.4	-0.57
Steven Adams	22	20	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.17	-4	10	-14	16.2	17.2	-1.02	11.6	13.8	-2.21
Jabari Smith Jr.	57	55	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.17	-6	12	-18	18.1	15.2	2.93	13.4	13.3	0.08

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dwight Powell	14	14	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	-0.04	1	-7	8	12.1	13.6	-1.50	16.1	17.1	-0.97
Jaden Hardy	22	25	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.31	10	-16	26	12.6	13.6	-0.93	17.4	16.8	0.64
Quentin Grimes	22	20	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	0.00	-3	-3	0	13.6	13.3	0.32	14.5	17.6	-3.06
Dereck Lively II	31	29	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	-0.06	-2	-4	2	14.4	12.8	1.59	15.9	17.5	-1.59
Naji Marshall	42	44	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.43	9	-15	24	12.4	14.1	-1.73	17.4	16.6	0.82
Spencer Dinwiddie	25	23	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.19	-13	7	-20	15.2	12.7	2.46	15.9	17.3	-1.39
Daniel Gafford	28	28	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.14	-15	9	-24	14.0	13.1	0.93	17.4	16.8	0.60
P.J. Washington	74	73	-0.33	-0.17	-0.17	-0.24	-3	-3	0	13.4	13.0	0.38	17.0	17.0	0.02
Klay Thompson	60	58	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.11	-9	3	-12	13.3	13.4	-0.13	17.4	16.2	1.23
Luka Doncic	72	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.39	-2	-4	2	13.2	13.7	-0.40	17.5	15.0	2.49
Kyrie Irving	85	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.38	-3	-3	0	13.1	15.8	-2.74	17.0	16.3	0.70

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.22,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.08,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.06,0.09,0.1,0.16,0.15,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, POR 104	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0,0	95.9%
PHI 119, LAC 113	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.38,0.39,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.24,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.04,0.05,0	95.3%
POR 101, PHX 97	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0	95.2%