NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	3.5 [1096]		MVP	Dale Davis (POR): +6.1%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	1.0 [611]		LVP	Shawn Marion (PHX): -13.1%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dale Davis	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.05	0.00	-0.01	6	67%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Randolph	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.01	0.00	-0.06	17	54%	0.09	3	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Wesley Person	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.01	7	60%	0.04	0	0.00	6	67%	0.00
Damon Stoudamire	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04	-0.01	0.00	-0.05	12	56%	0.08	3	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Rasheed Wallace	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.05	0.00	0.02	5	80%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Derek Anderson	0.03	0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.01	11	59%	0.06	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Vladimir Stepania	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Omar Cook	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Darius Miles	0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0	-0.04	0.00	-0.04	11	58%	0.06	4	-0.06	4	75%	0.01
Qyntel Woods	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	8	44%	-0.00	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jake Voskuhl	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	0.00	0.02	7	57%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	100%	0.07	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.03	0.00	0.04	17	62%	0.05	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.01
Jahidi White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	67%	0.00	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.01
Howard Eisley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	10	61%	0.03	3	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	62%	0.01	3	-0.04	12	75%	-0.02
Casey Jacobsen	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shawn Marion	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13	-0.13	-0.15	-0.00	-0.02	18	33%	-0.12	1	-0.01	9	78%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	1.8	27.0	16.8	21.2	1.8	37.1	131.1
league avg	47.8	2.4	27.9	14.3	24.8	2.1	29.8	150.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +45.2%

PHX -10.3%

POR +11.2%

POR +0.2%

POR +3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	PHX	NBA	POR	PHX	NBA
this game	17.8	13.0	15.7	108.6	103.2	100.5
season	17.1	14.6		101.5	99.6
opponent	15.9	15.7		103.6	103.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	14.2	16.7	20.3	21.1	17.8
PHX	14.0	11.6	13.3	13.1	13.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Derek Anderson	55	56	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.13	9	-5	14	17.7	18.0	-0.25	13.5	12.3	1.24
Zach Randolph	78	79	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.36	1	3	-2	18.0	16.9	1.07	13.3	11.4	1.90
Rasheed Wallace	27	27	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.20	19	-15	34	14.3	19.3	-4.92	13.3	12.9	0.42
Darius Miles	61	62	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.17	6	-2	8	18.0	17.5	0.55	12.8	13.5	-0.71
Damon Stoudamire	74	75	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.39	-3	7	-10	17.8	18.1	-0.35	12.8	13.7	-0.86
Wesley Person	40	42	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	7	-10	17.6	18.0	-0.31	11.8	14.0	-2.24
Qyntel Woods	40	39	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.30	-4	8	-12	18.0	17.7	0.26	13.1	12.9	0.22
Dale Davis	41	43	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.09	3	1	2	17.8	17.8	0.00	12.8	13.2	-0.43
Omar Cook	22	21	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.08	1	3	-2	18.5	17.6	0.82	13.7	12.8	0.92
Vladimir Stepania	27	26	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.29	-9	13	-22	20.3	16.8	3.53	13.4	12.9	0.53

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jahidi White	24	22	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.20	4	-8	12	13.0	13.0	-0.00	18.3	17.7	0.58
Howard Eisley	40	41	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.43	11	-15	26	12.4	13.5	-1.09	19.4	16.6	2.88
Casey Jacobsen	58	59	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-5	6	13.8	11.7	2.03	18.9	15.9	2.97
Amar'e Stoudemire	62	61	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.23	-3	-1	-2	12.2	14.5	-2.27	17.0	19.4	-2.41
Jake Voskuhl	50	51	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	0.03	-13	9	-22	13.3	12.7	0.64	16.7	19.2	-2.57
Leandro Barbosa	61	59	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	0.03	-16	12	-28	13.2	12.6	0.65	16.8	19.6	-2.87
Joe Johnson	87	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.36	-3	-1	-2	13.1	11.4	1.70	17.8	18.4	-0.65
Shawn Marion	88	86	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.42	-1	-3	2	12.9	15.0	-2.14	18.2	12.7	5.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.42,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.27,0.24,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.12,0.09,0.1,0.17,0.12,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 111, PHX 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.31,0.32,0.26,0.3,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.5%
GSW 96, LAC 85	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.25,0.26,0.24,0.23,0.16,0.15,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.14,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.3%
HOU 99, LAL 87	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.25,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.15,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.13,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	96.3%