inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 107 Excitement3.5 [890] MVPHedo Turkoglu (ORL): +15.1%
Portland Trail Blazers 104 Comeback1.0 [525] LVPRaymond Felton (POR): -5.9%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Hedo Turkoglu0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.15,0.150.100.050.001173%0.171-0.0200%0.00
JJ Redick0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.10.090.030.011165%0.111-0.014100%0.03
Ryan Anderson0.080,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.011173%0.102-0.0200%0.00
Jason Richardson0.080,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.080.090.000.02975%0.091-0.02250%-0.01
Glen Davis0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.010.01-0.05958%0.082-0.011100%0.00
Jameer Nelson0.040,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.040.040.00-0.00989%0.115-0.0700%0.00
Chris Duhon0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.020.00-0.011150%0.031-0.0100%0.00
Von Wafer-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.00-0.0100%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Dwight Howard-0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.110.01-0.08943%0.034-0.041225%-0.06

Portland Trail Blazers
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.080.080.130.020.071764%0.0800.002100%0.01
Jamal Crawford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.080.080.170.020.111769%0.0800.001100%0.00
Nicolas Batum0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.040.040.10-0.030.04870%0.0400.004100%0.01
Gerald Wallace0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001258%0.062-0.042100%0.01
Wesley Matthews0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.010.010.06-0.000.051361%0.031-0.02250%-0.00
Kurt Thomas0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.000.000.00250%-0.0000.0000%0.00
Luke Babbitt0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0110%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Craig Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.07-0.00-0.03425%-0.032-0.0200%0.00
Raymond Felton0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.100.01-0.031129%-0.022-0.042100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.42.028.515.821.42.537.3131.9
league avg25.52.329.814.226.92.333.6136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +53.6%
POR -3.2%
ORL +7.8%
POR -9.1%
ORL +1.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLPORNBAORLPORNBA
this game15.415.615.6113.8113.0102.8
season16.215.7102.8104.1
opponent15.415.8104.7103.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.116.815.415.415.4
POR16.614.515.915.315.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Dwight Howard76740.450.050.390.276-3915.515.20.2415.515.9-0.48
Hedo Turkoglu70670.370.130.240.3121115.415.40.0515.316.1-0.78
Ryan Anderson57560.360.140.23-0.0213-102314.916.2-1.3216.214.51.73
Jameer Nelson63620.330.170.150.214-1515.116.0-0.9215.316.1-0.81
Jason Richardson70680.310.190.120.3103-314.916.8-1.9015.116.7-1.56
JJ Redick53520.270.230.030.44-69-1515.415.40.0015.215.9-0.70
Chris Duhon31300.170.33-0.150.20-14-516.015.10.9216.115.30.81
Glen Davis44440.130.37-0.240.39-912-2117.014.03.0215.915.30.59
Von Wafer670.110.39-0.27-0.066-3913.515.5-2.0517.415.42.03

Portland Trail Blazers
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Luke Babbitt990.00-0.500.50-0.093-6913.615.8-2.2215.615.40.16
Craig Smith55-0.08-0.420.330.03-41-519.215.33.8613.015.6-2.55
Nicolas Batum6668-0.19-0.310.13-0.6917-203715.017.0-2.0715.914.31.58
Kurt Thomas2322-0.22-0.280.060.04-96-1516.815.11.6414.515.7-1.19
Jamal Crawford5758-0.27-0.23-0.04-0.456-91515.715.30.3915.615.20.40
Wesley Matthews7172-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.362-5714.917.8-2.9215.116.5-1.48
Marcus Camby2626-0.31-0.19-0.130.27-2017-3717.015.02.0714.315.9-1.58
Gerald Wallace7173-0.34-0.16-0.19-0.340-3315.515.7-0.1515.315.7-0.39
LaMarcus Aldridge7679-0.35-0.15-0.21-0.474-71115.217.2-1.9815.912.92.95
Raymond Felton5658-0.43-0.07-0.36-0.02-1411-2516.214.51.7815.715.00.72


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.36,0.34,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.23,0.19,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.22,0.18,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.13,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.11,0.11,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 117, ATL 1060.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,095.9%
MIA 101, NJN 780.5,0.51,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.34,0.3,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.21,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.1,0.09,0.1,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.7%
PHX 114, SAC 1020.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.32,0.27,0.22,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.2,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.09,0.16,0.2,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.6%