NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	120		Excitement	6.2 [594]		MVP	Bilal Coulibaly (WAS): +21.4%
Washington Wizards	133		Comeback	3.8 [202]		LVP	Jalen Johnson (ATL): -15.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keaton Wallace	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	3	133%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.09	0.02	-0.01	28	56%	0.19	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.02
Clint Capela	0.04	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	7	75%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
David Roddy	0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	10	65%	0.09	4	-0.07	6	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	100%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Garrison Mathews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.03	5	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	5	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	15	55%	-0.01	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.13,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.07	-0.06	0.03	21	45%	-0.06	3	-0.10	5	40%	-0.05

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bilal Coulibaly	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.21	0.06	0.05	14	90%	0.27	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.12	0.06	0.05	10	85%	0.17	3	-0.04	6	83%	-0.01
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.04	0.02	14	57%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alexandre Sarr	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.01	0.07	-0.01	9	50%	0.10	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Kyshawn George	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.04	0.03	-0.00	10	55%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Carlton Carrington	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	0.02	0.05	8	76%	0.08	2	-0.04	5	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Davis	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.05	-0.01	17	57%	0.05	5	-0.10	8	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.4	37.5	15.3	26.4	2.5	32.5	145.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.2	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +35.9%

WAS +7.8%

ATL -9.6%

WAS +10.1%

WAS +5.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	WAS	NBA	ATL	WAS	NBA
this game	12.9	14.2	14.4	112.1	125.5	113.0
season	13.2	14.0		113.0	105.3
opponent	14.1	14.5		117.6	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.1	13.0	12.4	13.0	12.9
WAS	11.3	15.2	14.8	15.8	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	50	50	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.17	2	-15	17	12.9	12.8	0.11	14.9	13.6	1.35
Larry Nance Jr.	15	15	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.07	-2	-11	9	14.4	12.6	1.79	14.0	14.2	-0.22
Garrison Mathews	48	49	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	-0.03	-6	-7	1	13.5	12.3	1.20	14.4	14.0	0.37
Zaccharie Risacher	80	79	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.11	-4	-9	5	12.8	13.1	-0.39	13.9	15.1	-1.24
Keaton Wallace	30	29	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.10	-5	-8	3	14.4	12.3	2.09	15.4	13.7	1.69
David Roddy	73	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.21	-0.12	-8	-5	-3	12.3	14.0	-1.67	14.1	14.3	-0.18
Jalen Johnson	91	89	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.05	-11	-2	-9	12.5	14.6	-2.08	14.2	14.1	0.15
Clint Capela	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	0.05	-15	2	-17	12.8	12.9	-0.11	13.6	14.9	-1.35
Trae Young	91	89	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	0.01	-16	3	-19	12.6	14.4	-1.86	14.0	15.1	-1.11

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bilal Coulibaly	76	78	0.62	-0.12	0.74	-0.05	23	-10	33	13.9	14.9	-1.04	12.8	13.1	-0.38
Kyshawn George	70	71	0.52	-0.02	0.54	-0.13	22	-9	31	13.6	15.2	-1.61	13.3	12.0	1.25
Alexandre Sarr	55	55	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-4	21	13.1	15.4	-2.24	13.1	12.7	0.40
Johnny Davis	11	12	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.12	12	1	11	14.1	14.2	-0.11	17.0	12.3	4.66
Jordan Poole	71	74	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	-1	15	13.8	14.9	-1.13	12.6	13.5	-0.95
Carlton Carrington	75	75	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	10	-7	14.3	14.0	0.27	12.4	14.0	-1.63
Corey Kispert	78	78	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.25	1	12	-11	15.0	11.9	3.07	13.1	12.3	0.75
Jonas Valanciunas	51	52	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.13	-4	17	-21	15.4	13.1	2.24	12.7	13.1	-0.40
Patrick Baldwin Jr.	7	7	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	16	-19	11.3	14.4	-3.11	12.3	12.9	-0.61
Marvin Bagley III	13	12	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	0.06	-9	22	-31	15.9	13.9	1.98	11.4	13.0	-1.63
Jared Butler	23	21	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	0.08	-11	24	-35	14.9	14.0	0.93	12.5	13.0	-0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.61,0.61,0.71,0.66,0.61,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.27,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.24,0.28,0.26,0.29,0.41,0.56,0.67,0.56,0.54,0.7,0.79,0.92,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 89, ATL 104	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.52,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.34,0.33,0.28,0.21,0.27,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.29,0.45,0.59,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.92,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.5%
DET 87, OKC 103	0.5,0.49,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.6,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.24,0.28,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.7,0.7,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.92,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	93.1%
CLE 105, MEM 112	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.55,0.47,0.42,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.41,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.24,0.29,0.36,0.35,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.41,0.52,0.46,0.62,0.74,0.89,0.91,0.86,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	92.9%