NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	133		Excitement	7.1 [75]		MVP	Cody Martin (CHA): +37.7%
Charlotte Hornets	138		Comeback	2.1 [126]		LVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): -11.1%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jakob Poeltl	0.13	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.03	0.02	14	71%	0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.04	0.00	10	65%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.06	0.11	0.01	0.06	18	65%	0.10	3	-0.04	12	58%	-0.09
Ochai Agbaji	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	6	67%	0.10	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Jonathan Mogbo	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.01	0.02	7	69%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Bruno Fernando	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gradey Dick	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.14	-0.07	0.09	17	71%	0.09	3	-0.11	8	75%	-0.01
Jamison Battle	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	11	46%	0.02	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Shead	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	6	47%	-0.00	1	-0.04	3	67%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.38	0.38	0.25	0.14	0.02	11	96%	0.38	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.07	0.02	6	106%	0.24	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.2	0.20	0.14	0.04	-0.02	19	66%	0.25	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.02
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.16	0.01	0.05	14	69%	0.15	1	-0.04	7	57%	-0.04
Josh Green	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.01	0.04	6	75%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	4	70%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Moussa Diabate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Miles Bridges	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.00	-0.02	11	29%	-0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	20	46%	0.02	6	-0.13	1	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	2.4	26.3	15.8	30.7	1.7	35.5	137.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +39.5%

CHA +9.7%

CHA +1.5%

TOR -1.1%

CHA +0.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	CHA	NBA	TOR	CHA	NBA
this game	12.9	15.0	14.4	129.1	134.0	112.0
season	14.0	14.8		110.7	109.5
opponent	14.3	14.7		114.2	116.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.3	12.1	13.7	11.6	12.9
CHA	13.9	17.2	13.5	15.6	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jakob Poeltl	76	75	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.29	18	-23	41	12.4	14.4	-2.00	15.5	13.8	1.71
Chris Boucher	37	35	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.18	4	-9	13	13.5	12.6	0.95	15.5	14.8	0.69
Gradey Dick	76	79	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.45	12	-17	29	12.2	14.9	-2.65	15.2	14.4	0.80
Jamal Shead	41	41	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.20	0	-5	5	13.7	12.5	1.21	15.2	14.9	0.24
Bruno Fernando	5	6	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.08	-10	5	-15	20.4	12.6	7.85	13.5	15.1	-1.62
Davion Mitchell	62	62	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.15	-5	0	-5	12.5	13.7	-1.21	14.9	15.2	-0.24
Jamison Battle	28	29	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.17	-19	14	-33	14.9	12.2	2.74	14.3	15.3	-0.95
Jonathan Mogbo	54	55	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.15	-9	4	-13	13.1	12.7	0.45	14.6	15.6	-1.00
RJ Barrett	74	72	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.30	-6	1	-7	12.6	13.9	-1.34	14.9	15.3	-0.37
Ochai Agbaji	62	61	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.31	-10	5	-15	12.8	13.1	-0.27	15.0	15.1	-0.11

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	51	49	0.79	-0.29	1.08	0.17	21	-16	37	14.6	15.4	-0.76	12.9	13.0	-0.10
Moussa Diabate	20	19	0.62	-0.12	0.75	-0.05	23	-18	41	12.6	15.6	-2.95	16.5	12.1	4.34
LaMelo Ball	73	71	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.27	8	-3	11	14.7	15.8	-1.13	12.2	14.5	-2.32
Tidjane Salaun	34	33	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-6	17	13.9	15.6	-1.67	14.2	12.3	1.93
Tre Mann	58	62	0.36	0.14	0.21	0.36	0	5	-5	15.0	15.1	-0.07	13.0	12.9	0.13
Cody Martin	52	53	0.24	0.26	-0.01	0.21	1	4	-3	14.6	15.4	-0.80	12.7	13.2	-0.48
Josh Green	50	50	0.06	0.44	-0.38	0.12	-2	7	-9	15.4	14.7	0.64	11.9	13.9	-1.97
Nick Richards	69	70	-0.12	0.62	-0.73	0.32	-15	20	-35	16.1	12.8	3.38	12.8	13.2	-0.41
Seth Curry	58	57	-0.14	0.64	-0.78	0.15	-10	15	-25	15.6	14.3	1.28	12.9	13.0	-0.08
Miles Bridges	50	51	-0.27	0.77	-1.04	0.08	-12	17	-29	15.5	14.5	0.99	13.2	12.7	0.56

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.82,0.87,0.89,0.9,0.87,0.79,0.76,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.39,0.52,0.78,0.87,0.88,0.86,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.93,0.83,0.99,0.97,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 75, UTA 82	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.62,0.66,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.75,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.73,0.7,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.48,0.57,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.82,0.84,0.63,0.86,0.85,0.93,0.97,0.93,0.97,0.91,1	91.0%
CHI 107, ATL 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	90.8%
ORL 96, PHI 101	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.59,0.66,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.77,0.75,0.74,0.76,0.8,0.79,0.79,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.84,0.77,0.79,0.82,0.8,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.37,0.52,0.49,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.76,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.82,0.89,0.79,0.84,0.82,1	90.7%