NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	107		Excitement	6.8 [486]		MVP	Thabo Sefolosha (ATL): +15.1%
Atlanta Hawks	115		Comeback	2.3 [642]		LVP	Dennis Schroder (ATL): -31.9%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jimmy Butler	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.14	0.01	0.05	24	65%	0.23	4	-0.13	12	75%	0.05
Doug McDermott	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	6	67%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dwyane Wade	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.11	0.00	0.02	17	66%	0.15	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Canaan	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	9	44%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Taj Gibson	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	15	42%	0.00	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Nikola Mirotic	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Bobby Portis	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.07	-0.08	0.00	3	0%	-0.07	1	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Rajon Rondo	-0.21	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	0.00	10	27%	-0.17	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thabo Sefolosha	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.02	-0.02	9	100%	0.24	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	-0.00	9	67%	0.19	2	-0.04	9	67%	-0.02
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.06	-0.00	9	61%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.05	0.02	0.03	6	71%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.00	0.00	8	61%	0.05	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.06	-0.03	0.01	5	100%	0.10	3	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	1	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Kent Bazemore	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	4	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Paul Millsap	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.07	0.00	0.01	13	53%	0.07	6	-0.15	4	100%	0.01
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.25,-0.28,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32,-0.32	-0.32	-0.18	-0.12	0.02	19	32%	-0.21	4	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.5	31.2	15.7	28.4	2.6	39.0	143.8
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +31.8%

CHI -0.8%

ATL +32.3%

CHI -14.2%

ATL +0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	ATL	NBA	CHI	ATL	NBA
this game	14.1	13.9	14.8	101.9	113.9	107.7
season	15.1	14.4		105.9	104.2
opponent	14.9	14.8		104.6	105.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	16.0	12.8	14.6	13.3	14.1
ATL	15.3	13.4	12.5	14.4	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rajon Rondo	76	72	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	-0.21	6	-14	20	13.8	14.9	-1.11	14.3	12.7	1.69
Robin Lopez	61	61	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.18	4	-12	16	15.4	12.3	3.10	14.0	13.7	0.27
Jimmy Butler	82	81	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.31	8	-16	24	14.5	12.7	1.74	14.3	12.1	2.20
Taj Gibson	84	78	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-9	10	14.1	13.9	0.24	13.8	14.1	-0.35
Nikola Mirotic	26	26	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.07	-14	6	-20	11.8	14.8	-2.99	12.9	14.2	-1.32
Dwyane Wade	80	74	-0.35	-0.15	-0.19	-0.17	-6	-2	-4	13.6	15.8	-2.18	13.7	14.4	-0.75
Bobby Portis	30	28	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.10	-9	1	-10	14.1	14.1	-0.04	14.8	13.5	1.28
Doug McDermott	39	40	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.06	-15	7	-22	13.7	14.3	-0.64	14.2	13.6	0.56
Isaiah Canaan	47	45	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	7	-22	14.6	13.7	0.98	12.3	15.1	-2.80

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Malcolm Delaney	36	41	0.84	-0.34	1.18	0.11	25	-17	42	11.9	15.0	-3.06	13.3	14.6	-1.32
Paul Millsap	72	76	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.21	11	-3	14	14.2	12.9	1.31	13.3	16.1	-2.77
Thabo Sefolosha	62	64	0.52	-0.02	0.54	0.29	8	0	8	13.5	14.4	-0.94	13.2	15.5	-2.36
Tim Hardaway Jr.	42	46	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.08	12	-4	16	13.0	14.5	-1.56	13.6	14.5	-0.90
Kris Humphries	26	29	0.34	0.16	0.18	-0.01	12	-4	16	13.0	14.2	-1.16	13.0	14.5	-1.51
Dwight Howard	69	69	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.32	-3	11	-14	14.1	13.2	0.89	15.3	11.7	3.57
Kyle Korver	54	59	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.18	8	0	8	14.1	13.6	0.46	14.3	13.9	0.36
Kent Bazemore	45	44	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.24	-8	16	-24	14.7	13.2	1.45	15.2	13.3	1.91
Mike Muscala	34	33	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	0.11	-8	16	-24	13.5	14.0	-0.50	15.0	13.7	1.32
Dennis Schroder	65	64	-0.34	0.84	-1.18	0.16	-17	25	-42	15.0	11.9	3.06	14.6	13.3	1.32

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 94, UTA 100	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.89,0.9,0.96,1	92.3%
MIL 115, POR 119	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.53,0.53,0.59,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.76,0.73,0.75,0.8,0.86,0.81,0.8,0.82,0.83,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.58,0.56,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.68,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.87,0.81,0.94,0.97,0.95,0.86,0.88,0.99,0.98,1	91.5%
DEN 96, PHX 107	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.52,0.45,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.77,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.77,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.93,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	91.3%