NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	94		Excitement	6.0 [579]		MVP	Carlos Boozer (UTA): +14.1%
Utah Jazz	100		Comeback	1.4 [1088]		LVP	Al Horford (ATL): -11.9%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.13,0.1	0.12	0.05	0.07	20	67%	0.19	3	-0.09	5	60%	-0.00
Josh Childress	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	1	100%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Williams	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	0.01	11	62%	0.12	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.03
Solomon Jones	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0	0%	0.00	1	0.01	0	0%	0.00
Mike Bibby	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.05,0,-0.05,0,0	0.03	-0.04	-0.00	14	60%	0.06	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Zaza Pachulia	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Jeremy Richardson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Salim Stoudamire	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	5	33%	-0.03	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Joe Johnson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	14	50%	0.01	4	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.08	-0.04	0.00	7	29%	-0.05	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Carlos Boozer	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.01	0.11	-0.02	19	54%	0.21	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Andrei Kirilenko	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.06	0.06	0.00	8	61%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ronnie Price	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.00	5	83%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Kyle Korver	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08	0.08	0.09	0.04	0.05	6	72%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.01
Ronnie Brewer	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	0.01	11	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarron Collins	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deron Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	0.01	-0.04	16	37%	0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Paul Millsap	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	3	37%	0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Mehmet Okur	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.12,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	6	47%	0.05	2	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Matt Harpring	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	9	56%	0.01	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.0	27.0	13.6	25.4	1.8	32.2	126.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +34.2%

ATL -8.8%

UTA +3.9%

UTA +14.0%

UTA +6.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	UTA	NBA	ATL	UTA	NBA
this game	14.6	15.5	15.4	97.9	105.3	105.7
season	15.4	15.5		104.2	111.2
opponent	15.0	15.7		105.0	107.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.9	13.3	15.5	14.2	14.6
UTA	14.8	13.9	18.0	15.8	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Johnson	76	76	0.13	-0.63	0.77	-0.48	21	-27	48	14.4	15.4	-0.97	16.6	11.1	5.59
Mike Bibby	66	68	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	-0.39	12	-18	30	14.0	16.0	-1.98	16.1	14.1	2.03
Josh Smith	72	72	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.40	12	-18	30	14.3	15.5	-1.21	16.4	12.8	3.62
Solomon Jones	6	4	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.08	-6	0	-6	17.5	14.4	3.06	11.2	15.7	-4.46
Al Horford	76	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.42	6	-12	18	14.6	14.9	-0.33	15.6	15.2	0.38
Jeremy Richardson	12	12	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.03	-10	4	-14	15.7	14.5	1.18	11.7	16.1	-4.42
Zaza Pachulia	27	27	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	0.11	-17	11	-28	16.1	14.1	2.05	14.7	15.8	-1.10
Josh Childress	45	43	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	0.05	-17	11	-28	14.8	14.5	0.35	14.2	16.6	-2.41
Salim Stoudamire	25	22	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	0.01	-17	11	-28	14.6	14.7	-0.10	10.8	16.9	-6.13
Marvin Williams	75	74	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.14	-14	8	-22	14.7	14.3	0.45	16.2	13.0	3.18

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matt Harpring	45	46	0.67	-0.17	0.84	0.32	12	-6	18	13.6	17.2	-3.58	14.7	14.5	0.20
Carlos Boozer	77	78	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	0	6	15.5	15.6	-0.04	14.8	13.8	0.99
Ronnie Price	30	32	0.47	0.03	0.44	-0.00	16	-10	26	13.2	16.6	-3.40	15.8	14.1	1.72
Ronnie Brewer	45	45	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.05	10	-4	14	16.3	14.8	1.45	15.7	13.7	2.02
Paul Millsap	43	43	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	3	0	14.6	16.3	-1.68	14.6	14.7	-0.14
Mehmet Okur	62	63	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.19	0	6	-6	16.5	13.6	2.94	14.4	15.0	-0.56
Andrei Kirilenko	60	59	0.09	0.41	-0.32	0.24	-5	11	-16	16.7	13.4	3.32	14.6	14.7	-0.11
Jarron Collins	8	8	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	3	0	12.6	15.8	-3.17	14.7	14.6	0.12
Deron Williams	65	64	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.32	-10	16	-26	16.6	13.2	3.40	14.1	15.8	-1.72
Kyle Korver	40	42	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.05	-5	11	-16	14.9	15.9	-1.00	13.4	15.6	-2.15

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.43,0.51,0.56,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.82,0.83,0.82,0.79,0.88,0.9,0.92,0.88,0.88,0.7,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.9,0.93,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.89,0.9,0.96,1
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 107, ATL 115	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.66,0.68,0.75,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.8,0.79,0.83,0.81,0.77,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.35,0.44,0.6,0.6,0.74,0.82,0.88,0.89,0.93,0.89,0.76,0.73,0.81,0.93,0.99,1,1	92.3%
SAS 94, LAC 97	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.55,0.65,0.64,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.74,0.8,0.77,0.76,0.84,0.84,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.82,0.73,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.52,0.62,0.69,0.71,0.75,0.85,0.85,0.88,0.92,0.85,0.79,0.76,0.67,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.96,1	91.9%
MIN 87, ORL 107	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.52,0.55,0.67,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.74,0.82,0.83,0.83,0.89,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.84,0.73,0.76,0.69,0.7,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.69,0.81,0.79,0.78,0.87,0.94,0.96,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	91.6%