NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	144		Excitement	10.3 [14]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +49.1%
Brooklyn Nets	139		Comeback	17.1 [24]		LVP	Dorian Finney-Smith (BKN): -12.5%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0.49	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.49	0.15	0.36	0.01	16	64%	0.51	1	-0.02	13	85%	0.08
Aaron Gordon	0.46	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.23,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.46,0.46	0.19	0.29	0.02	11	83%	0.50	1	-0.03	7	100%	0.06
Russell Westbrook	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.23,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.11	0.09	0.02	12	65%	0.24	1	-0.05	10	100%	0.06
Michael Porter Jr.	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11	0.12	-0.02	-0.00	11	70%	0.11	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Peyton Watson	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.05	0.00	5	70%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Christian Braun	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02	0.06	-0.02	0.02	7	60%	0.02	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.03
Julian Strawther	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	58%	0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dario Saric	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamal Murray	-0.09	0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09	0.05	-0.10	0.04	19	52%	-0.05	1	-0.03	8	75%	0.02

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.32	0.32	0.14	0.20	0.02	9	89%	0.32	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cam Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.26,0.41,0.41,0.35,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.04	0.25	-0.01	22	49%	0.40	2	-0.10	9	100%	0.09
Ziaire Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.16	0.07	0.01	8	112%	0.29	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.14	0.14	0.13	0.02	0.01	18	70%	0.22	3	-0.08	4	75%	-0.03
Jalen Wilson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	6	73%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.15	-0.05	0.04	14	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Noah Clowney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	2	0%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	5	30%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13	-0.13	0.02	-0.14	0.01	11	52%	-0.06	1	-0.06	11	55%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	31.5	14.4	36.2	1.7	36.2	2.6	16.2	165.5
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.5	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -6.1%

DEN +23.8%

DEN +10.1%

DEN +27.7%

BKN -5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	BKN	NBA	DEN	BKN	NBA
this game	14.2	15.6	14.4	135.8	129.9	112.0
season	13.7	15.3		115.0	112.5
opponent	14.2	14.8		116.5	113.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	17.1	13.3	13.0	15.4	11.1	14.2
BKN	15.6	16.2	15.7	15.9	13.9	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Christian Braun	78	79	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.32	9	-4	13	14.1	14.5	-0.32	15.5	16.1	-0.65
Nikola Jokic	82	82	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.31	8	-3	11	14.1	14.8	-0.73	15.7	15.3	0.40
Michael Porter Jr.	80	82	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.28	6	-1	7	14.7	12.9	1.78	15.3	16.8	-1.58
Aaron Gordon	65	66	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.28	5	0	5	14.5	13.8	0.69	15.5	15.8	-0.29
Jamal Murray	71	72	0.38	0.12	0.25	0.29	3	2	1	14.9	12.9	2.00	16.1	14.7	1.40
Russell Westbrook	44	42	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.17	0	5	-5	13.3	14.9	-1.59	15.6	15.6	-0.01
Peyton Watson	41	41	0.08	0.42	-0.35	0.08	0	5	-5	13.8	14.5	-0.69	15.8	15.5	0.29
Dario Saric	24	25	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.04	-3	8	-11	14.8	14.1	0.73	15.3	15.7	-0.40
Julian Strawther	45	46	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.01	-3	8	-11	13.5	14.8	-1.32	15.9	15.4	0.43

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shake Milton	33	34	0.23	-0.73	0.96	-0.01	8	-13	21	15.2	15.8	-0.55	13.5	14.6	-1.07
Keon Johnson	14	14	0.23	-0.73	0.95	0.14	3	-8	11	16.9	15.4	1.42	14.7	14.2	0.56
Ziaire Williams	45	45	0.09	-0.59	0.68	0.06	1	-6	7	15.9	15.4	0.45	13.4	14.9	-1.51
Jalen Wilson	42	44	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.21	8	-13	21	15.8	15.5	0.30	13.5	14.7	-1.24
Noah Clowney	32	29	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	0.02	-4	-1	-3	16.2	15.4	0.76	14.5	14.1	0.35
Dorian Finney-Smith	72	72	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.24	-3	-2	-1	15.7	15.5	0.21	14.8	13.0	1.76
Cam Thomas	76	76	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.19	-5	0	-5	15.6	15.7	-0.07	14.6	13.4	1.15
Nic Claxton	55	54	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.39	-10	5	-15	15.5	15.8	-0.32	14.0	14.4	-0.39
Cameron Johnson	79	77	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.38	-12	7	-19	15.5	16.0	-0.51	14.7	13.1	1.59
Dennis Schroder	87	85	-0.89	0.39	-1.28	-0.57	-11	6	-17	15.3	16.9	-1.57	14.1	14.6	-0.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.63,0.67,0.71,0.75,0.81,0.8,0.8,0.79,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.75,0.68,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.64,0.68,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.56,0.68,0.62,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.47,0.64,0.6,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.45,0.57,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.09,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 104, MEM 93	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.57,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.77,0.81,0.8,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.75,0.71,0.67,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.69,0.77,0.63,0.68,0.54,0.48,0.25,0.38,0.47,0.47,0.59,0.46,0.31,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.46,0.32,0.15,0.02,0,0	91.2%
MEM 88, GSW 81	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.64,0.63,0.67,0.65,0.7,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.68,0.73,0.73,0.76,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.7,0.75,0.78,0.81,0.72,0.69,0.7,0.61,0.52,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.26,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.64,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.63,0.57,0.42,0.46,0.31,0.16,0.32,0.09,0	90.2%
NYK 118, MIL 113	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.57,0.67,0.71,0.73,0.74,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.69,0.74,0.66,0.68,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.71,0.6,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.34,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.37,0.43,0.42,0.5,0.38,0.21,0.24,0,0	90.2%