NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	102		Excitement	5.8 [121]		MVP	Luka Doncic (DAL): +15.7%
Phoenix Suns	114		Comeback	1.4 [91]		LVP	Naji Marshall (DAL): -7.4%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luka Doncic	0.16	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.22	0.03	0.09	25	65%	0.21	2	-0.05	12	92%	0.02
Klay Thompson	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.08	0.00	0.02	16	59%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dereck Lively II	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	83%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Kyrie Irving	0.00	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0	0.02	-0.02	-0.01	22	48%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Daniel Gafford	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.04	0.02	-0.02	7	44%	0.02	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.00
Dwight Powell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olivier-Maxence Prosper	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jazian Gortman	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	0	0%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Maxi Kleber	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden Hardy	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	4	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	-0.01	-0.05	10	25%	-0.05	1	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.00	0.04	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.03	-0.00	8	81%	0.16	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.14	0.01	0.04	21	61%	0.15	1	-0.03	9	78%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.08	0.02	0.03	12	58%	0.10	1	-0.03	12	92%	0.04
Collin Gillespie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.05	12	56%	0.14	5	-0.12	8	50%	-0.05
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	7	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Damion Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.9	2.0	26.4	16.2	31.5	2.4	32.6	140.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +41.9%

PHX +2.3%

PHX +10.4%

DAL -9.0%

PHX +4.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	PHX	NBA	DAL	PHX	NBA
this game	13.6	15.8	14.4	103.0	117.5	112.0
season	13.8	14.9		115.2	112.6
opponent	14.4	15.0		114.8	109.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	13.3	13.7	13.4	13.9	13.6
PHX	15.5	17.0	14.3	16.8	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Naji Marshall	29	30	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-12	12	13.4	13.8	-0.36	17.3	15.0	2.33
Daniel Gafford	39	38	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.03	-1	-11	10	13.9	13.5	0.48	14.8	16.3	-1.42
Jaden Hardy	25	26	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.06	-1	-11	10	12.6	14.0	-1.44	15.3	15.8	-0.48
Maxi Kleber	33	32	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.01	-4	-8	4	14.5	13.3	1.20	15.1	16.0	-0.91
Quentin Grimes	9	9	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.07	-9	-3	-6	14.6	13.6	0.98	17.1	15.6	1.56
Klay Thompson	71	70	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.19	-1	-11	10	13.3	14.8	-1.48	15.6	16.0	-0.41
P.J. Washington	71	72	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.21	-3	-9	6	13.3	14.8	-1.59	16.2	14.3	1.82
Luka Doncic	81	81	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.12	-12	0	-12	13.5	14.5	-1.03	15.6	16.0	-0.36
Kyrie Irving	81	79	-0.52	0.02	-0.53	-0.14	-13	1	-14	14.1	11.3	2.77	15.3	17.5	-2.23
Dereck Lively II	41	43	-0.59	0.09	-0.69	-0.12	-16	4	-20	14.2	13.2	1.01	16.0	15.5	0.46

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Royce O'Neale	53	53	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.12	17	-5	22	16.3	14.9	1.43	13.3	14.2	-0.86
Kevin Durant	77	79	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.13	11	1	10	16.2	13.7	2.51	13.4	14.9	-1.54
Tyus Jones	63	64	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.14	6	6	0	16.1	15.0	1.06	13.2	14.6	-1.34
Devin Booker	77	79	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.05	8	4	4	15.6	15.9	-0.31	13.5	14.5	-0.99
Jusuf Nurkic	62	62	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.27	0	12	-12	16.1	14.9	1.22	13.5	14.0	-0.48
Oso Ighodaro	13	14	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.05	9	3	6	14.8	15.8	-1.07	13.4	13.7	-0.31
Monte Morris	33	33	0.18	0.32	-0.13	0.01	6	6	0	15.0	16.1	-1.06	14.6	13.2	1.34
Ryan Dunn	40	46	0.13	0.37	-0.23	-0.01	5	7	-2	14.5	16.8	-2.33	14.4	12.8	1.54
Mason Plumlee	21	21	0.02	0.47	-0.45	-0.00	1	11	-10	14.1	16.1	-2.05	13.9	13.6	0.27
Collin Gillespie	7	4	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.01	0	12	-12	13.6	15.9	-2.29	14.2	13.7	0.58
Damion Lee	35	32	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.08	-3	15	-18	16.5	15.2	1.33	14.3	13.4	0.97

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.75,0.77,0.78,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.67,0.72,0.8,0.89,0.85,0.83,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.86,0.76,0.77,0.96,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAL 101, MIN 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.55,0.66,0.64,0.59,0.62,0.6,0.72,0.78,0.73,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.78,0.84,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.84,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.85,0.94,0.97,0.97,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
DET 85, SAC 100	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.61,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.71,0.79,0.83,0.78,0.8,0.79,0.85,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.55,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.9,0.87,0.9,0.83,0.73,0.9,0.91,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.2%
PHX 97, LAL 109	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.68,0.71,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.67,0.69,0.72,0.64,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.88,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.83,0.95,0.92,0.95,0.95,0.97,1,1,1,1	94.2%