NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	106		Excitement	6.3 [188]		MVP	Victor Wembanyama (SAS): +16.6%
San Antonio Spurs	109		Comeback	1.2 [199]		LVP	Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU): -19.8%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	12	67%	0.12	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jock Landale	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	0.01	0.05	7	72%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Cam Whitmore	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	-0.00	10	43%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Jalen Green	0.01	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.01	0.11	-0.07	0.03	22	58%	0.23	2	-0.22	6	100%	0.03
Tari Eason	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	-0.00	-0.02	8	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Reed Sheppard	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amen Thompson	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.08	0.01	-0.02	3	12%	-0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	0.00
Fred VanVleet	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06	0.08	-0.08	0.06	12	64%	-0.02	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Jabari Smith Jr.	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.2	-0.05	-0.13	0.01	10	35%	-0.18	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.17	0.17	0.14	0.08	0.06	17	69%	0.32	3	-0.15	8	87%	0.08
Harrison Barnes	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	0.00	0.01	6	85%	0.09	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.08	0.08	0.09	-0.00	0.00	11	57%	0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	0.02
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.00	0.05	-0.02	14	57%	0.12	3	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Julian Champagnie	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	5	64%	0.04	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Blake Wesley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	4	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Stephon Castle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.1	-0.10	-0.10	-0.02	-0.03	8	36%	-0.04	3	-0.05	6	67%	-0.02
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.08	-0.05	-0.01	3	50%	-0.04	4	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	2.0	28.1	14.7	33.0	0.2	41.4	143.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +31.0%

SAS +16.1%

HOU -11.6%

SAS +11.2%

SAS +3.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	SAS	NBA	HOU	SAS	NBA
this game	15.6	14.3	14.3	110.4	112.4	111.9
season	14.5	14.4		111.3	111.0
opponent	14.3	14.2		112.8	105.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.8	16.9	14.7	13.9	15.6
SAS	13.2	13.1	14.7	16.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Whitmore	40	41	-0.16	-0.32	0.16	-0.33	6	-10	16	14.8	16.6	-1.78	15.7	13.7	1.92
Reed Sheppard	12	13	-0.16	-0.32	0.16	0.05	-7	3	-10	16.7	15.7	1.09	14.9	14.5	0.41
Tari Eason	38	38	-0.17	-0.31	0.14	-0.14	-1	-3	2	15.9	15.7	0.21	13.3	15.4	-2.09
Jock Landale	28	28	-0.19	-0.29	0.10	-0.07	-4	0	-4	15.2	16.0	-0.78	14.2	14.7	-0.45
Alperen Sengun	43	44	-0.24	-0.24	-0.01	-0.04	-7	3	-10	16.5	15.2	1.23	14.1	15.0	-0.85
Dillon Brooks	68	70	-0.25	-0.23	-0.02	-0.48	8	-12	20	15.4	16.9	-1.50	15.2	12.8	2.35
Jalen Green	64	65	-0.26	-0.22	-0.04	-0.32	2	-6	8	15.9	15.5	0.44	14.8	14.0	0.83
Amen Thompson	41	40	-0.27	-0.21	-0.07	0.08	-12	8	-20	16.5	15.2	1.27	12.6	16.0	-3.36
Fred VanVleet	75	75	-0.33	-0.14	-0.19	-0.30	-1	-3	2	15.6	16.7	-1.18	14.9	13.5	1.35
Jabari Smith Jr.	61	61	-0.36	-0.12	-0.24	-0.24	-4	0	-4	16.1	15.2	0.90	15.0	13.9	1.07

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Keldon Johnson	58	58	0.45	0.02	0.43	0.31	5	-1	6	13.8	15.8	-1.99	15.7	15.9	-0.24
Stephon Castle	55	54	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.27	5	-2	7	13.1	15.8	-2.74	16.3	14.7	1.61
Victor Wembanyama	60	61	0.32	0.16	0.17	0.29	1	3	-2	15.1	13.6	1.49	14.9	17.5	-2.60
Jeremy Sochan	72	70	0.32	0.16	0.16	0.32	0	4	-4	14.6	14.4	0.18	16.2	14.7	1.46
Julian Champagnie	51	51	0.21	0.27	-0.06	0.15	2	2	0	14.9	14.2	0.64	15.3	16.4	-1.19
Malaki Branham	29	29	0.17	0.30	-0.13	0.06	4	0	4	13.3	15.1	-1.81	15.6	15.9	-0.36
Chris Paul	52	53	0.17	0.31	-0.14	0.29	-4	8	-12	16.2	12.6	3.59	14.5	17.4	-2.87
Harrison Barnes	53	52	0.16	0.32	-0.15	0.07	3	1	2	15.7	13.2	2.47	16.1	15.5	0.58
Zach Collins	35	33	0.16	0.32	-0.17	0.07	3	1	2	13.6	15.1	-1.49	17.5	14.9	2.60
Blake Wesley	12	11	0.03	0.44	-0.41	0.03	0	4	-4	12.4	14.9	-2.46	17.5	15.6	1.98

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.62,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.77,0.83,0.87,0.91,0.94,0.96,0.92,0.88,0.9,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.93,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.98,0.91,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.77,1
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 85, MIN 86	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.65,0.65,0.66,0.71,0.72,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.73,0.76,0.81,0.85,0.91,0.91,0.89,0.94,0.95,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.93,0.95,0.9,0.91,0.87,0.87,0.93,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.9,0.81,0.83,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.84,1	94.5%
MIA 104, NOP 110	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.47,0.52,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.6,0.64,0.63,0.64,0.72,0.81,0.76,0.84,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.92,0.86,0.8,0.93,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.91,0.91,0.87,0.89,0.96,0.93,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.92,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.64,0.77,0.98,1	94.1%
POR 98, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.61,0.63,0.62,0.65,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.77,0.87,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.93,0.93,0.94,0.93,0.94,0.9,0.84,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.81,0.84,0.88,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.84,0.78,0.8,0.78,0.84,0.85,1	94.0%