inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Boston Celtics 124 Excitement9.2 [36] MVPMalik Beasley (DET): +35.1%
Detroit Pistons 118 Comeback8.9 [73] LVPCade Cunningham (DET): -33.5%


Boston Celtics
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jayson Tatum0.300,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.22,0.30.160.180.042661%0.321-0.02978%0.07
Payton Pritchard0.240,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.240.200.040.01895%0.2400.004100%0.02
Jrue Holiday0.110,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11-0.030.13-0.01558%0.203-0.09250%-0.01
Al Horford0.100,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.16-0.020.041085%0.1000.0000%0.00
Derrick White0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.04,0.060.030.02-0.011452%0.121-0.065100%0.07
Jaylen Brown0.020,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02-0.060.03-0.052441%0.092-0.071090%0.11
Xavier Tillman0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.000.010.00275%0.051-0.0400%0.00
Luke Kornet-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.0010%-0.022-0.0500%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.09,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.350.350.120.230.001077%0.391-0.042100%0.01
Simone Fontecchio0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.20.200.090.11-0.00679%0.2000.002100%0.02
Jaden Ivey0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.090.090.13-0.020.031863%0.111-0.02580%0.00
Jalen Duren0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.090.010.04794%0.122-0.05250%-0.01
Isaiah Stewart0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.040.030.003100%0.091-0.0200%0.00
Ronald Holland II0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.00-0.00462%0.0300.0000%0.00
Tim Hardaway Jr.0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.02-0.060.00750%-0.0400.004100%0.03
Tobias Harris0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.10-0.14-0.071131%-0.2120.034100%0.02
Cade Cunningham0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.33-0.33-0.15-0.20-0.012245%-0.137-0.20333%-0.07
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game29.42.324.715.327.02.037.3137.9
league avg25.82.328.014.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
BOS +5.4%
BOS +50.4%
DET -18.2%
BOS +8.9%
BOS +3.5%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsBOSDETNBABOSDETNBA
this game15.514.214.4127.8121.6112.0
season15.014.6120.9110.0
opponent14.614.4111.1111.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
BOS14.716.017.414.115.5
DET14.112.813.915.914.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Al Horford58570.17-0.560.73-0.099-152415.317.6-2.2613.614.7-1.10
Xavier Tillman3637-0.01-0.380.37-0.072-81015.016.8-1.8414.313.80.54
Payton Pritchard3839-0.23-0.16-0.07-0.09-5-1-415.616.4-0.8014.014.00.03
Luke Kornet3635-0.24-0.15-0.09-0.09-5-1-417.914.83.1814.913.41.56
Jaylen Brown6969-0.26-0.13-0.12-0.23-1-5415.617.8-2.1413.914.3-0.34
Derrick White7171-0.30-0.09-0.21-0.15-5-1-416.016.3-0.2813.815.1-1.36
Jayson Tatum6666-0.510.12-0.63-0.19-115-1616.714.12.6214.113.80.27
Jrue Holiday6161-0.580.19-0.77-0.17-148-2216.515.11.3813.914.2-0.26

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Simone Fontecchio37360.37-0.871.250.148-142214.414.20.1115.815.40.44
Malik Beasley42420.25-0.751.000.221-7814.214.3-0.0815.015.9-0.84
Isaiah Stewart40380.23-0.730.970.26-1-5414.514.10.4215.215.8-0.60
Ronald Holland II1412-0.19-0.310.130.11-104-1415.513.91.5613.615.8-2.22
Cade Cunningham8283-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.373-91214.015.9-1.8415.714.61.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.7174-0.41-0.09-0.31-0.431-7814.214.6-0.3816.113.82.23
Jalen Duren5557-0.740.24-0.98-0.60-5-1-414.214.3-0.1116.214.51.70
Tobias Harris6365-0.850.35-1.20-0.50-126-1814.214.5-0.2615.216.3-1.13
Jaden Ivey7678-0.890.39-1.29-0.45-159-2414.413.80.6115.316.6-1.31


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.15,0.19,0.12,0.16,0.2,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.17,0.24,0.31,0.38,0.38,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.46,0.26,0.38,0.47,0.58,0.71,0.76,0.82,0.9,0.72,0.33,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIN 140, NYK 1340.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.54,0.46,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.28,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.2,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.58,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.66,0.75,0.55,0.31,0.01,090.8%
MIA 102, LAL 960.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.38,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.17,0.1,0.11,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.22,0.18,0.25,0.19,0.24,0.32,0.38,0.38,0.34,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.6,0.67,0.81,0.83,0.68,0.15,089.7%
DEN 99, OKC 950.5,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.26,0.26,0.24,0.28,0.3,0.23,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.22,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.26,0.2,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.45,0.31,0.44,0.52,0.48,0.42,0.22,0.33,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.54,0.61,0.84,0.72,0.22,0.27,089.5%