NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	116		Excitement	5.6 [683]		MVP	Austin Reaves (LAL): +26.3%
Los Angeles Lakers	123		Comeback	11.2 [183]		LVP	Jusuf Nurkic (PHX): -8.2%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Durant	0.14	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.16	0.02	0.04	17	73%	0.21	3	-0.07	7	86%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0.11	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	0.00	8	78%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Monte Morris	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	0.01	3	100%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mason Plumlee	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	4	75%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ryan Dunn	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.09	-0.01	0.03	5	90%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Oso Ighodaro	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.03	-0.03	0.03	21	52%	0.01	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Royce O'Neale	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	0.04	5	58%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Bradley Beal	-0.07	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	0.01	-0.03	0.05	14	54%	-0.04	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.11	0.00	-0.02	5	33%	-0.01	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Austin Reaves	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.16	0.12	0.01	12	87%	0.33	4	-0.07	6	83%	0.02
Anthony Davis	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.18	0.05	0.04	18	66%	0.22	1	-0.03	17	76%	-0.00
LeBron James	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	0.01	13	62%	0.18	2	-0.05	8	62%	-0.03
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.04	0.03	0.00	3	100%	0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.04	-0.01	5	50%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dalton Knecht	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.05	-0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Max Christie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.01	-0.00	0.05	12	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.06	-0.00	-0.00	6	36%	-0.02	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	3.4	25.3	14.6	30.3	2.7	35.2	137.1
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +36.7%

LAL +3.4%

LAL +3.3%

LAL +6.9%

PHX -0.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	14.6	13.8	14.4	113.7	121.8	113.1
season	15.0	15.0		114.3	114.1
opponent	14.3	14.2		113.3	117.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.5	16.3	16.1	12.4	14.6
LAL	13.7	12.5	11.6	17.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	40	39	0.38	-0.85	1.23	-0.03	14	-26	40	16.3	14.7	1.60	13.5	12.6	0.88
Ryan Dunn	29	27	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.22	8	-15	23	15.4	14.3	1.15	13.7	13.8	-0.06
Royce O'Neale	46	44	-0.04	-0.43	0.39	-0.31	9	-21	30	16.2	14.7	1.47	12.9	13.2	-0.27
Oso Ighodaro	12	13	-0.18	-0.29	0.11	0.08	-9	-3	-6	13.0	15.8	-2.81	15.5	12.6	2.95
Monte Morris	28	27	-0.24	-0.23	-0.02	-0.36	4	-16	20	15.8	15.3	0.51	12.9	13.1	-0.25
Tyus Jones	58	57	-0.25	-0.22	-0.04	0.24	-17	5	-22	15.3	15.7	-0.49	12.9	13.3	-0.46
Devin Booker	63	63	-0.38	-0.09	-0.29	0.06	-15	3	-18	15.1	16.1	-1.02	13.1	12.9	0.14
Kevin Durant	68	68	-0.44	-0.03	-0.41	0.09	-18	6	-24	15.7	14.5	1.18	13.2	12.3	0.87
Jusuf Nurkic	42	41	-0.54	0.07	-0.61	0.02	-19	7	-26	14.2	16.5	-2.37	11.8	14.1	-2.37
Bradley Beal	64	61	-0.66	0.19	-0.85	-0.16	-17	5	-22	15.7	14.9	0.77	12.8	13.6	-0.82

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LeBron James	61	66	0.56	-0.12	0.68	0.15	14	-7	21	12.6	16.0	-3.33	15.7	13.8	1.90
Austin Reaves	70	69	0.46	-0.02	0.48	0.08	13	-6	19	14.8	10.3	4.42	14.6	16.5	-1.90
Gabe Vincent	32	35	0.46	-0.01	0.47	0.19	9	-2	11	13.1	14.1	-0.94	14.2	15.7	-1.44
Jaxson Hayes	35	37	0.41	0.03	0.38	0.26	5	2	3	14.2	13.4	0.75	16.5	14.2	2.25
Dalton Knecht	28	29	0.30	0.15	0.15	-0.09	13	-6	19	11.3	14.8	-3.49	16.5	14.5	2.02
Anthony Davis	70	71	0.24	0.20	0.04	0.12	4	3	1	14.0	12.9	1.08	14.4	17.5	-3.11
Rui Hachimura	74	73	0.20	0.25	-0.05	0.20	0	7	-7	14.2	11.7	2.50	15.2	14.7	0.55
D'Angelo Russell	61	62	-0.05	0.50	-0.55	0.12	-6	13	-19	13.8	13.6	0.15	15.3	14.9	0.39
Max Christie	24	23	-0.35	0.80	-1.15	0.15	-17	24	-41	14.2	13.6	0.64	14.0	15.5	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.47,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.29,0.24,0.22,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.23,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.37,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.27,0.37,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.81,0.91,0.97,0.99,0.98,0.99,0.97,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 81, OKC 98	0.5,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.6%
MIN 97, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.2%
CLE 91, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	91.7%