NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	81		Excitement	5.1 [818]		MVP	Darius Bazley (OKC): +13.2%
Oklahoma City Thunder	98		Comeback	6.5 [140]		LVP	Robert Covington (POR): -19.9%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trendon Watford	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.03	0.02	0.00	3	71%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0.04	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.03	0.01	12	58%	0.07	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
CJ McCollum	0.03	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	0.00	0.03	17	62%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ben McLemore	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	40%	0.00	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Tony Snell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keljin Blevins	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norman Powell	-0.01	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.03	15	52%	0.03	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	4	75%	0.06	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Greg Brown III	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anfernee Simons	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.14	-0.02	-0.07	16	25%	-0.10	2	-0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2	-0.14	-0.06	-0.00	5	17%	-0.09	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Oklahoma City Thunder
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Darius Bazley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.13	0.06	0.05	7	94%	0.15	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.02
Mike Muscala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.02	5	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	-0.01	0.06	-0.02	10	45%	0.11	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mamadi Diakite	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	1	75%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Derrick Favors	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	43%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Aaron Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tre Mann	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	10	57%	0.04	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.01
Theo Maledon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	12	50%	0.05	4	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Luguentz Dort	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	0.03	16	50%	0.05	3	-0.10	4	100%	0.01
Kenrich Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	0.02	9	44%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.5	24.6	13.7	24.0	1.8	26.4	119.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

OKC +25.7%

OKC +10.0%

OKC +17.8%

POR -1.2%

POR -2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	OKC	NBA	POR	OKC	NBA
this game	15.3	15.2	14.5	87.1	102.1	110.8
season	14.6	14.4		106.9	103.2
opponent	14.4	14.5		111.2	115.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	16.3	15.4	15.0	14.5	15.3
OKC	15.7	14.0	15.0	16.2	15.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Greg Brown III	18	20	0.08	-0.58	0.66	-0.07	5	-22	27	12.4	15.9	-3.50	15.8	15.1	0.75
Keljin Blevins	5	5	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.00	0	-17	17	9.6	15.6	-5.99	19.4	15.0	4.42
Trendon Watford	16	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.03	-1	-16	15	13.4	15.6	-2.21	16.9	14.9	1.97
Dennis Smith Jr.	38	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.16	0	-17	17	13.4	16.6	-3.21	15.4	15.1	0.25
Ben McLemore	23	23	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.00	-6	-11	5	14.3	15.6	-1.28	14.6	15.4	-0.79
Tony Snell	29	28	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-13	9	13.5	16.1	-2.60	14.8	15.4	-0.55
Robert Covington	64	68	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.06	-13	-4	-9	16.1	13.5	2.60	15.4	14.8	0.55
Anfernee Simons	65	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.17	-18	1	-19	15.7	14.4	1.30	15.3	15.0	0.35
CJ McCollum	76	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.03	-12	-5	-7	15.8	12.8	3.06	14.5	18.7	-4.17
Norman Powell	72	74	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.02	-14	-3	-11	16.1	12.4	3.73	15.5	14.3	1.15
Jusuf Nurkic	59	61	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.13	-22	5	-27	16.5	13.1	3.44	14.9	15.8	-0.93

Oklahoma City Thunder
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Jerome	41	40	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.07	12	5	7	15.0	15.3	-0.28	15.1	15.4	-0.30
Josh Giddey	65	64	0.40	0.10	0.30	-0.04	15	2	13	15.1	15.4	-0.31	15.9	13.9	1.94
Darius Bazley	52	52	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.05	12	5	7	15.9	14.4	1.43	14.1	16.8	-2.66
Kenrich Williams	48	48	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.12	9	8	1	15.1	15.3	-0.17	15.4	15.2	0.22
Luguentz Dort	69	65	0.29	0.21	0.08	-0.03	11	6	5	15.1	15.4	-0.28	15.4	15.0	0.38
Mike Muscala	27	26	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	8	1	15.5	15.1	0.43	15.2	15.3	-0.11
Mamadi Diakite	17	17	0.15	0.35	-0.21	0.12	1	16	-15	16.0	15.0	0.96	14.5	15.4	-0.90
Aaron Wiggins	57	55	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.11	8	9	-1	15.1	15.4	-0.34	15.3	15.3	0.01
Derrick Favors	44	41	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	11	-5	14.3	16.0	-1.69	16.5	14.3	2.22
Tre Mann	49	47	0.12	0.38	-0.27	-0.12	8	9	-1	15.5	14.9	0.57	14.9	15.7	-0.84
Theo Maledon	11	10	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	23	-29	15.3	15.2	0.07	15.2	15.3	-0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.42,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.2,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.14,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.23,0.22,0.27,0.37,0.34,0.33,0.42,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.48,0.6,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.82,0.94,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 97, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.36,0.37,0.39,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.3,0.24,0.21,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.22,0.27,0.23,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.48,0.59,0.66,0.82,0.71,0.79,0.81,0.92,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1	92.8%
CLE 91, WAS 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.24,0.23,0.2,0.16,0.18,0.23,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.41,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.66,0.8,0.88,0.97,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%
CHI 93, DEN 112	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.49,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.59,0.48,0.52,0.6,0.52,0.66,0.66,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.96,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1	92.7%