inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 102 Excitement4.9 [10] MVPAaron Wiggins (OKC): +12.3%
Denver Nuggets 87 Comeback1.9 [4] LVPJamal Murray (DEN): -13.2%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Aaron Wiggins0.120,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.02-0.00983%0.141-0.0200%0.00
Chet Holmgren0.120,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.120.110.020.001861%0.172-0.04560%-0.02
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0.080,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.040.02-0.012453%0.102-0.02580%0.00
Ousmane Dieng0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.050.00-0.01475%0.0600.0000%0.00
Luguentz Dort0.000,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0-0.02-0.00-0.02733%0.0000.001100%0.00
Alex Ducas0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Adam Flagler0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dillon Jones0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Isaiah Joe-0.030,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.01-0.011035%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Cason Wallace-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.040.010.01729%-0.0400.0000%0.00
Alex Caruso-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.00-0.0120%-0.031-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Williams-0.050,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.14-0.00-0.091636%-0.015-0.0510%-0.01
Ajay Mitchell-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.07-0.00-0.0230%-0.031-0.0200%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.02-0.02-0.041353%0.033-0.02475%0.00
Dario Saric0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.010.000.00-0.00250%0.0100.0000%0.00
Vlatko Cancar00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Hunter Tyson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jalen Pickett0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Zeke Nnaji0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Trey Alexander00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Julian Strawther0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.00-0.010.00-0.00650%0.001-0.0100%0.00
Michael Porter Jr.0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.021742%0.001-0.022100%0.01
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.03-0.01-0.021246%-0.002-0.022100%0.01
Christian Braun0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.001553%0.043-0.0700%0.00
Peyton Watson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.07-0.01-0.02714%-0.0600.0000%0.00
Russell Westbrook0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.130.01-0.011025%-0.062-0.04425%-0.03
Jamal Murray0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13-0.13-0.06-0.050.021343%-0.063-0.072100%0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game27.82.727.015.629.33.524.6130.5
league avg25.72.328.014.928.42.332.1134.7
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +38.7%
OKC +4.2%
DEN -6.7%
OKC +10.4%
OKC +3.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCDENNBAOKCDENNBA
this game14.614.514.2103.087.9111.5
season14.614.5103.087.9
opponent14.614.5103.087.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC13.815.213.116.214.6
DEN13.913.617.413.114.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cason Wallace44450.55-0.050.600.0218-32115.713.91.8415.613.52.10
Alex Caruso36400.460.040.42-0.0919-42314.914.60.2614.814.20.60
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander76750.350.150.200.1287114.415.9-1.4814.315.0-0.62
Chet Holmgren75740.340.160.180.0896314.416.0-1.5714.314.9-0.58
Ousmane Dieng23250.340.160.18-0.071411315.514.51.0415.414.11.30
Jalen Williams69690.190.31-0.120.19015-1515.014.10.9114.514.40.11
Aaron Wiggins39400.170.33-0.15-0.0069-315.614.21.4114.614.40.26
Isaiah Joe44440.100.40-0.300.01312-913.415.9-2.4814.114.8-0.62
Ajay Mitchell12120.020.48-0.470.05-116-1715.214.70.5014.214.5-0.26
Alex Ducas320.000.50-0.500.00015-1510.714.7-4.0615.014.50.53
Luguentz Dort6261-0.030.53-0.550.00-116-1714.515.2-0.6913.516.1-2.60

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Christian Braun6062-0.02-0.480.47-0.258-233113.915.5-1.5714.714.9-0.19
Dario Saric2321-0.16-0.340.180.02-6-9314.914.40.5616.014.41.57
Jamal Murray8081-0.20-0.290.09-0.15-2-131114.215.7-1.5115.013.31.73
Michael Porter Jr.6569-0.21-0.290.07-0.15-2-131114.314.9-0.6614.615.0-0.38
Aaron Gordon6769-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.14-4-11714.314.9-0.5314.415.6-1.25
Peyton Watson3228-0.31-0.19-0.120.07-13-2-1115.114.20.8615.114.60.58
Nikola Jokic7275-0.36-0.14-0.22-0.09-9-6-314.614.30.2614.416.0-1.57
Julian Strawther3634-0.48-0.02-0.470.19-238-3115.513.91.5714.914.70.19
Russell Westbrook4541-0.50-0.00-0.500.21-249-3314.814.30.5014.714.8-0.08


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.59,0.53,0.49,0.44,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.31,0.27,0.3,0.31,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.24,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.23,0.22,0.13,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
BOS 118, POR 1060.5,0.51,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.53,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.38,0.4,0.38,0.29,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.36,0.25,0.25,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.2,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.11,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,095.0%
CHI 96, CLE 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.35,0.36,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.42,0.3,0.44,0.37,0.29,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.26,0.22,0.28,0.23,0.11,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,094.7%
HOU 119, MEM 950.5,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.25,0.18,0.28,0.36,0.39,0.36,0.26,0.2,0.19,0.18,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,094.7%