inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Orlando Magic 116 Excitement4.2 [175] MVPGary Harris (ORL): +18.7%
Miami Heat 97 Comeback1.8 [98] LVPJimmy Butler (MIA): -9.4%


Orlando Magic
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Gary Harris0.190,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.170.030.019100%0.201-0.0100%0.00
Paolo Banchero0.110,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.170.020.072461%0.1100.00683%0.00
Jalen Suggs0.070,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.080.030.04492%0.111-0.044100%0.02
Franz Wagner0.070,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.160.010.111672%0.0700.0000%0.00
Tristan da Silva0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Goga Bitadze0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.060.00-0.0610%0.0020.0000%0.00
Cory Joseph0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.00-0.0320%0.0000.0000%0.00
Caleb Houstan0.0000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Jett Howard0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.050.00-0.0530%0.0000.0000%0.00
Wendell Carter Jr.-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.00-0.000.00750%0.021-0.03250%-0.01
Jonathan Isaac-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.03-0.00-0.01430%-0.0100.0020%-0.03
Anthony Black-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.02-0.020.03948%-0.0200.00333%-0.01
Moritz Wagner-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.040.03-0.010.06470%-0.011-0.032100%0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.09-0.00-0.04523%-0.042-0.023100%0.02
Cole Anthony-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.15-0.00-0.0970%-0.072-0.0000%0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.060.06-0.00-0.011064%0.091-0.022100%0.01
Thomas Bryant0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.060.000.042117%0.021-0.002100%0.01
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.00-0.00-0.00743%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kel'el Ware0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.00-0.0410%0.0010.0000%0.00
Pelle Larsson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.000.020.000.021100%0.0000.0000%0.00
Dru Smith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Terry Rozier0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.00-0.02-0.011551%0.063-0.067100%0.03
Bam Adebayo0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.01-0.000.00545%-0.0100.001070%-0.01
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.04856%-0.0310.0000%0.00
Jaime Jaquez Jr.0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.02-0.000.05957%-0.032-0.00560%-0.03
Nikola Jovic0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.080.01-0.030.061548%-0.061-0.0210%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.11-0.00-0.02817%-0.081-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game30.12.432.430.526.62.527.2151.7
league avg25.82.328.014.928.52.332.3135.0
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
ORL +42.4%
MIA -4.4%
ORL +13.6%
MIA -3.5%
ORL +1.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsORLMIANBAORLMIANBA
this game14.914.314.4118.498.0112.0
season15.114.8108.2111.3
opponent14.414.2110.8103.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
ORL14.715.213.716.014.9
MIA12.513.617.614.014.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Orlando Magic
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Paolo Banchero64660.61-0.110.71-0.6342-105213.617.0-3.4015.312.62.71
Wendell Carter Jr.55560.60-0.100.71-0.333203213.915.6-1.7215.014.00.93
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope52530.450.050.40-0.252481614.215.1-0.9114.714.40.29
Franz Wagner48490.420.080.34-0.493113012.816.6-3.8115.913.02.94
Jalen Suggs26270.390.110.29-0.131814413.115.1-2.0315.914.11.77
Gary Harris43450.110.39-0.280.02329-2616.013.12.9813.316.0-2.69
Anthony Black57570.080.42-0.34-0.271220-815.512.72.7613.915.8-1.87
Cole Anthony35360.050.45-0.40-0.19824-1615.114.20.9114.414.7-0.29
Moritz Wagner3233-0.100.60-0.71-0.10032-3215.613.91.7214.015.0-0.93
Jonathan Isaac2323-0.110.61-0.710.19-1042-5217.013.63.4012.615.3-2.71

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Thomas Bryant34320.08-0.580.660.14-2-302814.114.9-0.7815.713.81.85
Duncan Robinson42410.04-0.540.580.10-2-302814.015.1-1.0914.614.50.12
Kel'el Ware11120.00-0.500.50-0.3813-324512.414.6-2.2017.714.53.23
Haywood Highsmith5148-0.11-0.390.270.41-18-14-414.414.8-0.3315.014.00.98
Jaime Jaquez Jr.4038-0.22-0.280.060.45-23-9-1415.413.81.6214.714.40.29
Terry Rozier6768-0.29-0.21-0.080.12-14-18413.916.7-2.7614.913.01.93
Nikola Jovic3738-0.39-0.11-0.270.02-14-18414.814.40.3314.015.0-0.98
Tyler Herro6159-0.48-0.02-0.460.31-27-5-2214.514.7-0.1414.115.4-1.34
Jimmy Butler5553-0.560.06-0.620.32-30-2-2814.913.91.0114.115.2-1.12
Bam Adebayo5353-0.560.06-0.630.32-30-2-2815.213.71.4714.015.3-1.27


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.63,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.5,0.53,0.47,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.23,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.08,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
GameSimilarity Score
MIL 103, NYK 890.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.53,0.57,0.61,0.59,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.6,0.69,0.65,0.66,0.56,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.29,0.23,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,095.8%
DEN 117, WAS 870.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%
DAL 111, GSW 820.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,094.8%