NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	111		Excitement	3.8 [1029]		MVP	Michael Finley (DAL): +9.6%
Golden State Warriors	82		Comeback	1.7 [756]		LVP	Adonal Foyle (GSW): -18.9%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Michael Finley	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.04	0.02	-0.03	12	58%	0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Adrian Griffin	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.01	7	57%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dirk Nowitzki	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	18	55%	0.06	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Danny Manning	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.08	-0.00	0.08	6	83%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donnell Harvey	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eduardo Najera	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	6	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steve Nash	-0.00	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.05	-0.01	0.04	6	68%	-0.00	0	0.00	7	86%	0.01
Shawn Bradley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.00	0.02	4	60%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.00
Juwan Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.07	0.00	-0.05	12	39%	0.01	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Tim Hardaway	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	7	71%	0.01	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Johnny Newman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	-0.00	-0.04	4	40%	0.00	2	-0.02	2	0%	0.00
Evan Eschmeyer	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	4	60%	-0.01	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Mills	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.06	-0.00	-0.09	9	44%	0.02	1	0.00	7	43%	0.00
Larry Hughes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.04	-0.01	-0.05	11	45%	0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Cedric Henderson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marc Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	75%	-0.00	2	0.00	6	83%	-0.00
Troy Murphy	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	6	67%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Mookie Blaylock	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.05	-0.00	-0.04	2	0%	-0.02	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Fortson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	-0.00	-0.02	12	57%	0.02	4	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Bob Sura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	10	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.05
Erick Dampier	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	0.02	0.00	7	57%	0.03	4	-0.10	7	29%	-0.06
Jason Richardson	0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.11	-0.02	-0.02	6	14%	-0.09	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.04
Antawn Jamison	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.19	-0.02	-0.03	11	0%	-0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Adonal Foyle	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19	-0.19	-0.15	-0.04	-0.00	2	8%	-0.16	1	-0.03	8	12%	-0.13

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.3	34.4	16.6	26.0	0.8	30.2	133.8
league avg	46.4	2.2	28.5	14.6	24.5	2.3	30.0	149.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DAL +28.4%

DAL +17.3%

GSW -11.0%

DAL +17.9%

GSW -2.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	GSW	NBA	DAL	GSW	NBA
this game	14.6	14.8	15.6	113.3	83.7	102.3
season	14.8	14.7		109.6	100.7
opponent	15.1	15.5		106.2	105.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	14.0	15.4	13.7	15.3	14.6
GSW	15.5	14.0	15.6	14.1	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Michael Finley	62	63	0.60	-0.10	0.70	-0.37	33	-4	37	13.9	15.8	-1.89	15.1	14.2	0.94
Steve Nash	56	57	0.56	-0.06	0.63	-0.38	32	-3	35	14.1	15.2	-1.11	15.2	14.3	0.84
Adrian Griffin	62	63	0.54	-0.04	0.58	-0.37	31	-2	33	13.8	15.9	-2.07	15.1	14.3	0.81
Dirk Nowitzki	48	50	0.33	0.17	0.17	-0.08	14	15	-1	14.3	14.8	-0.49	16.5	13.1	3.42
Shawn Bradley	34	35	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.20	17	12	5	14.3	14.7	-0.44	15.1	14.7	0.43
Juwan Howard	45	43	0.26	0.24	0.02	-0.12	13	16	-3	14.5	14.6	-0.09	13.6	15.7	-2.14
Evan Eschmeyer	28	29	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	27	-25	15.4	14.3	1.09	16.3	14.2	2.09
Eduardo Najera	20	20	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.09	3	26	-23	15.6	14.3	1.28	13.5	15.1	-1.58
Donnell Harvey	16	16	0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.12	4	25	-21	14.7	14.5	0.20	12.9	15.2	-2.23
Tim Hardaway	45	43	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.12	2	27	-25	14.8	14.4	0.40	14.0	15.5	-1.48
Danny Manning	33	32	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	-0.01	-2	31	-33	16.3	13.7	2.60	13.8	15.3	-1.43
Johnny Newman	41	39	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.05	-4	33	-37	15.3	14.1	1.22	14.2	15.2	-0.96

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Mills	40	42	0.04	-0.54	0.57	0.24	-7	-22	15	15.0	14.7	0.33	14.4	14.7	-0.31
Cedric Henderson	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-26	23	13.7	15.0	-1.33	14.9	14.5	0.38
Marc Jackson	18	18	-0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-26	23	13.7	15.0	-1.33	14.9	14.5	0.38
Erick Dampier	37	36	-0.07	-0.43	0.35	0.04	-4	-25	21	16.4	13.9	2.53	15.2	14.2	0.92
Troy Murphy	41	42	-0.10	-0.40	0.30	0.16	-9	-20	11	11.8	17.0	-5.24	14.5	14.6	-0.14
Bob Sura	46	48	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.09	-7	-22	15	14.4	15.2	-0.74	14.2	14.9	-0.69
Larry Hughes	66	67	-0.21	-0.29	0.09	0.26	-16	-13	-3	15.3	13.7	1.61	14.6	14.5	0.05
Mookie Blaylock	38	38	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.00	-10	-19	9	13.9	15.3	-1.40	14.9	14.4	0.47
Adonal Foyle	21	21	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.01	-12	-17	5	14.0	15.0	-1.09	13.7	14.8	-1.10
Jason Richardson	52	50	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.26	-22	-7	-15	15.2	14.4	0.74	14.9	14.2	0.69
Danny Fortson	64	63	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	0.28	-26	-3	-23	15.9	12.8	3.08	14.4	14.9	-0.43
Antawn Jamison	49	47	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	0.23	-26	-3	-23	15.7	13.9	1.86	14.5	14.7	-0.22

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.44,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.56,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.39,0.27,0.32,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 139, PHI 105	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.54,0.47,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.3,0.34,0.28,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.6%
TOR 123, PHI 114	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.5,0.56,0.58,0.55,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.53,0.61,0.52,0.46,0.46,0.39,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.22,0.24,0.16,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0	95.4%
DEN 117, WAS 87	0.5,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.39,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.09,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	95.4%