NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Indiana Pacers	115		Excitement	7.8 [65]		MVP	Bennedict Mathurin (IND): +31.1%
Detroit Pistons	109		Comeback	4.4 [89]		LVP	Simone Fontecchio (DET): -11.2%

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bennedict Mathurin	0.31	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.27,0.31,0.31	0.08	0.23	-0.00	8	76%	0.37	3	-0.06	9	78%	0.00
T.J. McConnell	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.10	0.09	0.00	8	87%	0.21	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.14	0.09	0.05	-0.00	15	58%	0.14	0	0.00	3	67%	0.00
Aaron Nesmith	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.00	0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
James Wiseman	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	4	60%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jarace Walker	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Myles Turner	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.1,-0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.04	-0.00	14	65%	0.17	4	-0.16	3	100%	0.02
Obi Toppin	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ben Sheppard	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Enrique Freeman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0	100%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
Andrew Nembhard	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	8	44%	-0.00	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Tyrese Haliburton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	18	39%	0.02	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Duren	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.06	0.01	4	93%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Cade Cunningham	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.02	-0.05	23	54%	0.17	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.04
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.10	0.01	0.02	9	70%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jaden Ivey	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.05	-0.01	13	49%	0.10	1	-0.02	9	78%	0.00
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.02	13	48%	0.02	1	-0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Marcus Sasser	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ronald Holland II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	43%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	2	50%	-0.02	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.01	-0.10	-0.02	13	50%	-0.00	2	-0.10	0	0%	0.00
Simone Fontecchio	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.00	4	0%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.3	29.5	14.5	28.3	2.5	38.4	143.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND +63.1%

DET -5.4%

DET -3.6%

DET -11.5%

IND +7.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	IND	DET	NBA	IND	DET	NBA
this game	13.4	15.4	14.4	113.9	110.1	112.0
season	13.6	14.6		111.7	110.0
opponent	14.6	15.0		111.1	116.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
IND	12.2	14.8	12.3	14.4	13.4
DET	13.5	15.9	17.2	15.6	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Myles Turner	75	74	0.86	-0.36	1.21	0.27	20	-14	34	14.3	11.0	3.37	15.8	14.4	1.40
Pascal Siakam	62	63	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.30	16	-10	26	14.5	11.8	2.74	16.1	14.3	1.83
Tyrese Haliburton	69	70	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.29	16	-10	26	13.9	12.7	1.18	15.9	14.3	1.60
Bennedict Mathurin	60	57	0.62	-0.12	0.73	0.38	8	-2	10	13.0	14.1	-1.10	15.7	15.1	0.52
Andrew Nembhard	68	68	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.25	7	-1	8	14.0	12.3	1.73	15.8	14.7	1.07
Aaron Nesmith	38	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.04	-1	7	-8	13.6	13.4	0.23	15.4	15.4	0.00
Ben Sheppard	13	13	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	-0.02	0	6	-6	13.8	13.4	0.41	14.7	15.6	-0.87
James Wiseman	11	11	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	10	-14	10.6	13.8	-3.21	13.2	15.7	-2.55
Jarace Walker	16	15	-0.11	0.61	-0.72	0.04	-5	11	-16	11.8	13.8	-2.00	14.3	15.6	-1.31
Enrique Freeman	12	14	-0.20	0.70	-0.90	-0.06	-5	11	-16	13.0	13.4	-0.43	15.4	15.5	-0.10
Obi Toppin	38	36	-0.27	0.77	-1.03	0.03	-10	16	-26	11.8	14.5	-2.74	14.3	16.1	-1.83
T.J. McConnell	38	36	-0.30	0.80	-1.10	0.05	-12	18	-30	12.3	14.2	-1.94	14.3	16.1	-1.83

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marcus Sasser	9	9	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.07	9	-15	24	11.0	15.9	-4.89	10.1	13.8	-3.71
Simone Fontecchio	33	35	0.13	-0.63	0.76	0.01	4	-10	14	15.0	15.7	-0.71	11.8	14.4	-2.64
Ronald Holland II	34	34	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-4	2	14.6	15.9	-1.26	11.8	14.4	-2.57
Isaiah Stewart	36	39	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-10	14	15.8	15.3	0.52	11.9	14.5	-2.61
Jaden Ivey	62	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-6	6	15.4	15.5	-0.02	14.1	12.5	1.55
Malik Beasley	59	61	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.12	-5	-1	-4	15.1	15.9	-0.81	12.9	14.4	-1.55
Tim Hardaway Jr.	56	58	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.39	-3	-3	0	16.2	14.5	1.73	14.7	11.9	2.77
Jalen Duren	63	58	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	9	-24	15.3	15.8	-0.52	15.2	11.2	4.01
Cade Cunningham	72	72	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.30	-10	4	-14	16.0	13.9	2.19	13.8	12.7	1.08
Tobias Harris	71	72	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.27	-12	6	-18	15.7	14.8	0.92	13.8	12.6	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.58,0.65,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.67,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.65,0.55,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.78,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.11,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 91, IND 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.61,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.58,0.6,0.65,0.7,0.65,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.6,0.67,0.63,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.59,0.75,0.67,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.56,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.57,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.22,0.03,0.01,0	92.5%
POR 96, DAL 88	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.59,0.64,0.63,0.63,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.67,0.65,0.71,0.66,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.47,0.31,0.28,0.06,0.01,0	91.4%
MIN 94, SAC 86	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.66,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.8,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.74,0.75,0.81,0.7,0.57,0.62,0.53,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.24,0.02,0	91.3%