NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	93		Excitement	5.3 [248]		MVP	Tyus Jones (PHX): +16.9%
Phoenix Suns	104		Comeback	1.0 [343]		LVP	Harrison Barnes (SAS): -13.5%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Devin Vassell	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.22	0.01	0.12	14	86%	0.12	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Jeremy Sochan	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.04	-0.00	0.02	10	50%	0.02	0	0.00	8	50%	-0.04
Stephon Castle	0.02	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.05	14	47%	0.08	3	-0.06	6	83%	0.01
Keldon Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.04	10	48%	-0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	10	41%	0.03	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Victor Wembanyama	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.07,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.09	0.01	-0.04	18	39%	0.04	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Chris Paul	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.15	-0.01	-0.05	9	11%	-0.06	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.13	-0.02	-0.03	7	0%	-0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	8	12%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.12	0.04	-0.01	10	73%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.00	4	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.04	-0.02	21	62%	0.20	5	-0.09	5	100%	0.02
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.01	5	57%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.03
Kevin Durant	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	8	72%	0.10	3	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Oso Ighodaro	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.00	5	58%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Ryan Dunn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	0.01	2	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	0.01	0.03	12	42%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	8	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	75%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.3	1.7	28.2	15.6	28.2	2.3	37.3	134.7
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +68.9%

SAS -8.9%

SAS -14.0%

PHX +2.9%

PHX +1.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	PHX	NBA	SAS	PHX	NBA
this game	14.4	14.6	14.3	93.0	105.1	111.9
season	14.4	14.8		111.0	114.0
opponent	14.3	14.3		114.6	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	17.0	13.1	13.4	14.1	14.4
PHX	13.5	16.3	14.3	14.1	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zach Collins	28	27	0.09	-0.59	0.68	-0.03	4	-15	19	14.8	14.2	0.56	15.0	14.4	0.55
Stephon Castle	72	70	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.25	5	-16	21	14.6	13.8	0.78	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Keldon Johnson	48	49	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.05	-2	-9	7	14.0	14.8	-0.81	15.4	13.7	1.67
Devin Vassell	56	56	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.12	-2	-9	7	13.8	15.1	-1.31	15.1	13.9	1.12
Julian Champagnie	57	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.00	-0.07	-6	-5	-1	15.0	13.6	1.36	14.2	15.1	-0.87
Harrison Barnes	53	51	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.15	-6	-5	-1	14.7	14.0	0.68	14.3	14.8	-0.52
Jeremy Sochan	47	45	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.07	-13	2	-15	14.0	14.8	-0.80	15.0	14.2	0.80
Chris Paul	67	67	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	0.01	-20	9	-29	14.5	14.2	0.30	14.0	15.7	-1.75
Victor Wembanyama	72	72	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.15	-15	4	-19	14.2	14.8	-0.56	14.4	15.0	-0.55

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mason Plumlee	39	39	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.11	18	-7	25	15.1	14.2	0.89	14.8	14.1	0.64
Royce O'Neale	61	60	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.20	12	-1	13	15.5	13.1	2.33	14.3	14.5	-0.20
Devin Booker	80	82	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-1	13	14.2	16.2	-1.97	14.7	13.1	1.55
Monte Morris	18	17	0.33	0.17	0.16	-0.05	13	-2	15	12.4	15.0	-2.59	14.1	14.4	-0.39
Ryan Dunn	28	25	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.02	9	2	7	13.6	14.9	-1.29	14.2	14.5	-0.29
Bradley Beal	62	63	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.04	6	5	1	14.7	14.3	0.47	14.7	13.8	0.99
Tyus Jones	68	69	0.09	0.41	-0.33	0.09	0	11	-11	14.6	14.5	0.07	14.6	13.9	0.69
Kevin Durant	34	36	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.07	0	11	-11	14.6	14.6	-0.01	13.9	14.6	-0.68
Grayson Allen	47	50	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.12	-7	18	-25	15.3	13.9	1.39	13.5	15.3	-1.84
Oso Ighodaro	58	59	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.14	-8	19	-27	14.1	15.2	-1.16	14.4	14.3	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.61,0.6,0.53,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.69,0.76,0.76,0.66,0.69,0.71,0.77,0.83,0.84,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.7,0.55,0.67,0.78,0.83,0.66,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.9,0.9,0.91,0.94,1,0.98,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 83, ORL 91	0.5,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.65,0.66,0.63,0.62,0.61,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.72,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.74,0.81,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.77,0.8,0.81,0.76,0.74,0.77,0.69,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.87,0.87,0.9,0.86,0.91,0.92,0.91,0.95,0.92,0.97,1,0.99,1	93.7%
IND 96, CHI 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.79,0.73,0.72,0.76,0.73,0.74,0.78,0.83,0.78,0.78,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.61,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.74,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.88,0.86,0.93,0.89,0.98,0.97,0.98,1,1,0.99,1	93.3%
WAS 101, SEA 111	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.62,0.6,0.64,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.65,0.63,0.64,0.69,0.74,0.75,0.84,0.82,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.81,0.81,0.8,0.88,0.81,0.7,0.67,0.78,0.78,0.82,0.88,0.91,0.93,0.98,0.95,0.96,0.9,0.95,1,1,1	93.3%