NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Philadelphia 76ers	110		Excitement	7.4 [154]		MVP	Brandon Miller (CHA): +42.9%
Charlotte Hornets	104		Comeback	1.3 [290]		LVP	Josh Green (CHA): -16.6%

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0.39	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,0.09,0.39	0.01	0.38	-0.01	16	49%	0.41	1	-0.02	11	91%	0.08
Paul George	0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.36,0.44,0.35,0.35	0.22	0.14	0.01	16	83%	0.46	2	-0.11	3	100%	0.03
Jared McCain	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.11	0.01	-0.00	10	85%	0.16	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.13	-0.01	0.02	8	87%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adem Bona	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	-0.01	2	100%	0.06	2	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Caleb Martin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.05	0.02	-0.04	9	28%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Council IV	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Lowry	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
KJ Martin	-0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	8	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Guerschon Yabusele	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.11	0.05	-0.01	10	32%	0.05	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Miller	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.26,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.62,0.43	0.43	0.18	0.23	-0.02	25	62%	0.43	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.01
KJ Simpson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.1	0.10	-0.06	0.15	-0.00	8	40%	0.15	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.11
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	0.00	8	75%	0.14	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Nick Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	0.00	0.01	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	0.00	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Moussa Diabate	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tidjane Salaun	0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.04	10	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mark Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	40%	-0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nick Richards	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,-0.06,-0.03	-0.03	0.11	-0.12	0.02	9	71%	0.14	2	-0.17	13	77%	0.05
Vasilije Micic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.02	4	50%	0.02	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Josh Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.09,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.07	-0.10	-0.01	3	0%	-0.10	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.6	28.2	15.4	25.6	2.5	39.3	137.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.4	2.3	32.3	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +53.4%

CHA -5.1%

CHA -23.6%

PHI +23.3%

PHI +2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHI	CHA	NBA	PHI	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	15.3	14.3	117.0	111.8	112.0
season	15.2	15.0		107.7	107.0
opponent	14.2	14.2		113.1	112.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHI	13.5	16.3	16.2	16.2	15.5
CHA	17.3	15.0	14.5	14.4	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Guerschon Yabusele	66	63	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.38	6	0	6	16.2	13.9	2.37	14.4	17.2	-2.79
Caleb Martin	49	48	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.21	11	-5	16	14.2	17.0	-2.75	15.8	14.7	1.10
Tyrese Maxey	73	73	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.24	5	1	4	15.2	16.6	-1.41	15.0	16.3	-1.36
Paul George	71	71	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	6	-6	16.1	13.7	2.42	15.0	16.3	-1.30
Jared McCain	41	41	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.07	7	-1	8	15.1	15.9	-0.79	16.7	14.2	2.47
Kelly Oubre Jr.	58	57	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.29	-2	8	-10	15.7	15.2	0.48	14.2	16.9	-2.72
Adem Bona	26	27	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	2	2	13.5	16.3	-2.74	16.9	14.6	2.27
Kyle Lowry	23	22	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	8	-10	18.3	14.6	3.63	15.4	15.3	0.11
Ricky Council IV	17	19	0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.15	-5	11	-16	16.5	15.3	1.16	16.9	14.9	2.10
KJ Martin	46	44	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	-0.18	6	0	6	15.1	16.0	-0.89	15.3	15.3	0.03

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nick Richards	56	56	0.18	-0.69	0.87	-0.08	9	-15	24	15.0	15.6	-0.61	17.2	13.0	4.19
Nick Smith Jr.	19	20	-0.04	-0.46	0.43	-0.15	4	-10	14	17.1	14.8	2.23	17.3	15.0	2.26
Seth Curry	10	10	-0.12	-0.38	0.27	0.00	-4	-2	-2	17.0	15.1	1.93	16.5	15.4	1.10
Vasilije Micic	37	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	2	-10	14.5	15.8	-1.27	17.0	14.6	2.44
Moussa Diabate	20	19	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.24	0	-6	6	14.9	15.4	-0.42	15.6	15.5	0.14
Mark Williams	16	17	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	0.07	-11	5	-16	17.4	14.8	2.53	11.4	16.4	-5.02
Cody Martin	59	60	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.36	3	-9	12	15.5	14.9	0.58	15.5	15.6	-0.06
KJ Simpson	55	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-8	10	15.7	14.6	1.10	14.5	17.0	-2.53
Josh Green	71	72	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.28	-1	-5	4	14.6	17.4	-2.73	15.2	16.6	-1.40
Brandon Miller	72	74	-0.53	0.03	-0.57	-0.09	-15	9	-24	15.1	16.0	-0.93	14.6	19.0	-4.48
Tidjane Salaun	51	51	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.29	-11	5	-16	14.8	15.8	-0.97	16.0	14.9	1.09

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.41,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.2,0.2,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.19,0.33,0.25,0.45,0.33,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
SEA 86, IND 83	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.24,0.1,0	94.0%
MIL 92, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.16,0	92.7%
MEM 116, CHI 110	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.41,0.08,0	92.4%