NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Seattle SuperSonics	86		Excitement	5.2 [747]		MVP	Rashard Lewis (SEA): +23.0%
Indiana Pacers	83		Comeback	1.1 [261]		LVP	Ruben Patterson (SEA): -9.7%

Seattle SuperSonics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rashard Lewis	0.23	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.23,0.23	0.06	0.16	-0.02	15	56%	0.23	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jelani McCoy	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	4	70%	0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Desmond Mason	0.03	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.01	7	57%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shammond Williams	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	5	57%	0.03	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.02
Ruben Wolkowyski	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton	-0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09	-0.05	-0.07	-0.03	27	45%	-0.08	2	-0.01	4	75%	-0.01
Patrick Ewing	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.02	-0.03	12	36%	-0.06	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Ruben Patterson	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.1	-0.09	-0.05	-0.03	9	37%	-0.09	1	-0.00	6	50%	-0.02

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Derrick McKey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	-0.02	2	75%	0.04	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.03	-0.02	12	52%	0.00	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Sam Perkins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zan Tabak	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	-0.00	5	42%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04	-0.04	0.02	-0.06	0.01	14	59%	0.00	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
Austin Croshere	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,-0.06	-0.06	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	8	50%	0.07	1	-0.13	4	50%	-0.06
Jalen Rose	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.03	0.02	23	48%	-0.03	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.07
Al Harrington	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	3	33%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	28.3	15.8	26.0	1.8	36.1	133.5
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SEA +12.1%

IND -3.9%

SEA +17.4%

SEA +23.2%

SEA +1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SEA	IND	NBA	SEA	IND	NBA
this game	17.9	18.3	15.5	108.9	103.8	100.9
season	15.2	15.9		103.8	99.3
opponent	15.6	15.7		99.9	103.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SEA	14.5	20.3	17.5	19.6	17.9
IND	20.5	17.6	19.5	15.7	18.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Seattle SuperSonics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Payton	77	77	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.28	8	-5	13	17.9	19.5	-1.62	18.3	18.0	0.31
Patrick Ewing	60	60	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.07	13	-10	23	17.7	18.5	-0.79	18.5	17.5	1.00
Rashard Lewis	71	72	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.38	1	2	-1	17.7	19.9	-2.17	18.2	18.7	-0.50
Jelani McCoy	39	40	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.04	15	-12	27	16.2	19.6	-3.50	20.5	16.0	4.50
Shammond Williams	29	30	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.49	-4	7	-11	19.0	17.3	1.70	16.3	19.5	-3.20
Desmond Mason	61	63	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	-4	11	17.5	19.5	-2.04	19.0	15.8	3.22
Ruben Patterson	41	42	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.60	-20	23	-43	20.1	15.6	4.47	16.5	20.3	-3.89
Ruben Wolkowyski	17	16	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	8	-13	18.4	17.8	0.62	17.8	18.4	-0.61

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Sam Perkins	10	12	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.11	-1	-2	1	16.3	18.6	-2.29	14.7	18.5	-3.74
Jeff Foster	11	12	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	0.08	-8	5	-13	15.1	18.8	-3.72	17.3	18.0	-0.70
Derrick McKey	53	52	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.46	9	-12	21	17.1	20.7	-3.68	18.2	17.4	0.73
Jermaine O'Neal	64	62	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.42	6	-9	15	18.5	17.3	1.23	19.1	13.5	5.67
Austin Croshere	35	34	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.56	9	-12	21	16.9	19.4	-2.57	18.8	17.3	1.53
Zan Tabak	34	34	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.21	-18	15	-33	20.8	16.5	4.29	15.4	19.8	-4.46
Al Harrington	40	40	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	0.05	-13	10	-23	20.1	16.5	3.65	17.5	18.3	-0.81
Reggie Miller	75	72	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.40	1	-4	5	18.4	16.4	2.03	18.1	16.6	1.48
Jalen Rose	78	77	-0.45	-0.05	-0.41	-0.45	0	-3	3	18.2	23.5	-5.33	18.2	8.0	10.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.4,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.2,0.13,0.19,0.2,0.14,0.17,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.26,0.25,0.19,0.16,0.13,0.1,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.19,0.11,0.12,0.22,0.25,0.45,0.24,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 92, DET 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.35,0.36,0.32,0.33,0.34,0.27,0.26,0.26,0.32,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.14,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.19,0.25,0.2,0.19,0.26,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.07,0.08,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.38,0.21,0.1,0.16,0	93.5%
PHX 95, LAL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.09,0.28,0	92.6%
DEN 108, MEM 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.45,0.43,0.39,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.28,0.36,0.21,0.23,0.29,0.25,0.16,0.17,0.2,0.19,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.26,0.2,0.17,0.19,0.23,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.12,0.21,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.07,0.19,0.17,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.28,0.09,0.17,0	92.4%