NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	95		Excitement	6.7 [488]		MVP	Lou Williams (LAL): +34.7%
Los Angeles Lakers	90		Comeback	1.1 [553]		LVP	Ryan Kelly (LAL): -24.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Brandon Knight	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0,0.14,0.22,0.11,0.27	0.06	0.19	-0.02	20	49%	0.27	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
John Jenkins	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.01	0.01	2	112%	0.10	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Jon Leuer	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	62%	0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Chase Budinger	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyson Chandler	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	10	57%	0.05	3	-0.06	1	0%	-0.01
Ronnie Price	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.05	0.00	-0.03	8	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
PJ Tucker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.02	-0.04	0.01	11	54%	-0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Mirza Teletovic	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	0.00	-0.01	7	36%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12	-0.03	-0.11	-0.01	18	46%	-0.04	2	-0.08	10	100%	0.05
Alex Len	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.17	-0.00	-0.04	9	11%	-0.08	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.3,0.24,0.4,0.35	0.35	0.23	0.13	0.01	17	75%	0.41	1	-0.06	6	100%	0.03
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Brandon Bass	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	11	45%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tarik Black	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	6	43%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	0.00	-0.01	10	35%	-0.04	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	13	28%	-0.08	1	-0.01	3	100%	0.01
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	8	37%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Julius Randle	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.13	-0.00	-0.03	9	11%	-0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Marcelo Huertas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.07	-0.04	0.00	5	45%	-0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Ryan Kelly	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.08,-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.23	0.01	5	50%	-0.08	1	-0.17	6	67%	-0.19

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.8	1.8	25.2	15.0	26.6	1.0	41.2	133.7
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL -5.2%

PHX +19.2%

PHX +16.2%

PHX +19.0%

PHX +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	LAL	NBA	PHX	LAL	NBA
this game	15.2	14.7	14.9	97.9	93.8	105.1
season	14.4	15.2		100.9	100.1
opponent	14.5	14.4		109.9	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	13.9	14.7	14.7	17.0	15.2
LAL	15.5	20.3	15.3	9.0	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Booker	72	73	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.19	9	-4	13	14.7	16.5	-1.81	15.3	12.8	2.48
Mirza Teletovic	40	39	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-2	9	14.4	15.7	-1.23	14.5	14.8	-0.22
Ronnie Price	41	40	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.12	6	-1	7	15.0	15.3	-0.26	16.4	13.4	3.01
Tyson Chandler	69	69	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	4	-3	15.4	14.5	0.95	13.5	17.6	-4.07
Brandon Knight	69	69	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	4	-3	15.4	14.5	0.95	13.5	17.6	-4.07
PJ Tucker	69	69	0.27	0.23	0.05	0.24	1	4	-3	15.4	14.5	0.95	13.5	17.6	-4.07
Chase Budinger	30	28	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.12	4	1	3	13.6	15.9	-2.23	17.1	13.6	3.50
Jon Leuer	28	27	0.23	0.27	-0.05	0.11	4	1	3	14.5	15.4	-0.95	17.6	13.5	4.07
Alex Len	55	56	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.11	-2	7	-9	16.2	13.8	2.37	14.9	14.3	0.63
John Jenkins	12	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.16	-6	11	-17	16.9	14.9	1.99	11.2	15.1	-3.87

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tarik Black	8	8	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.03	-3	-2	-1	16.7	14.5	2.27	18.2	14.9	3.35
Roy Hibbert	37	38	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	15.7	14.0	1.64	14.8	15.4	-0.68
Marcelo Huertas	43	44	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	-0.32	5	-10	15	12.0	16.8	-4.87	15.8	14.6	1.22
Lou Williams	59	61	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.36	5	-10	15	13.0	17.4	-4.37	15.9	14.0	1.87
Metta World Peace	42	41	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	1	-7	16.3	13.4	2.88	15.8	14.7	1.05
D'Angelo Russell	41	41	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	1	-7	17.2	12.8	4.41	14.4	15.7	-1.28
Ryan Kelly	45	45	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.26	1	-6	7	12.4	16.7	-4.31	15.5	14.9	0.59
Larry Nance Jr.	56	58	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	-0.34	3	-8	11	13.6	16.1	-2.54	14.8	15.7	-0.86
Brandon Bass	51	51	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.29	1	-6	7	13.6	15.9	-2.26	15.0	15.4	-0.37
Julius Randle	49	50	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.06	-8	3	-11	16.6	12.7	3.93	14.8	15.6	-0.77
Jordan Clarkson	49	48	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	0.03	-14	9	-23	16.9	12.3	4.64	14.3	16.0	-1.71

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.37,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.29,0.29,0.22,0.23,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.2,0.22,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.04,0.13,0.25,0.29,0.09,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 105, BKN 100	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.37,0.37,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.38,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.16,0.13,0.07,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.25,0.22,0.1,0.04,0	93.4%
HOU 95, MIN 90	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.2,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.08,0	93.2%
POR 94, WAS 83	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.4,0.45,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.23,0.19,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.03,0.17,0.31,0.12,0.09,0,0	93.1%