NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	95		Excitement	5.7 [408]		MVP	Sam Mack (HOU): +20.0%
Minnesota Timberwolves	90		Comeback	1.1 [523]		LVP	James Robinson (MIN): -25.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mack	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.2,0.2	0.12	0.08	-0.00	8	94%	0.27	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Cuttino Mobley	0.06	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	6	78%	0.07	1	-0.01	6	100%	0.03
Michael Dickerson	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	6	46%	0.02	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Matt Bullard	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bryce Drew	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	8	44%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Hakeem Olajuwon	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.03	-0.02	0.02	14	65%	0.08	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.03
Antoine Carr	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	2	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Othella Harrington	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Scottie Pippen	-0.11	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.03	-0.04	6	50%	0.03	5	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Charles Barkley	-0.23	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.21,-0.23	-0.21	-0.07	-0.05	12	39%	-0.05	5	-0.18	12	67%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Sam Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.02	-0.00	11	81%	0.17	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Joe Smith	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	0.00	12	62%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Dennis Scott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Reggie Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bill Curley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Dean Garrett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	-0.01	6	54%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Tom Hammonds	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	1	100%	0.04	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bobby Jackson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.01	0.02	8	67%	0.04	5	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Malik Sealy	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Kevin Garnett	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.17,-0.17,-0.21,-0.21,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.10	-0.06	-0.01	24	40%	-0.11	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.01
James Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.22,-0.26	-0.26	-0.12	-0.14	-0.01	9	20%	-0.22	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	1.8	29.2	17.7	24.3	2.7	40.2	139.1
league avg	26.9	3.0	42.0	16.0	26.3	2.2	45.7	163.5

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +48.3%

HOU +13.0%

HOU +9.6%

MIN -25.9%

HOU +4.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	MIN	NBA	HOU	MIN	NBA
this game	16.4	14.9	15.8	103.3	97.8	99.6
season	16.0	15.0		103.1	98.6
opponent	15.9	15.6		98.6	100.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	16.0	19.0	17.0	14.2	16.4
MIN	16.0	14.6	14.3	14.7	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Hakeem Olajuwon	76	75	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.40	1	4	-3	15.7	19.6	-3.83	14.7	15.6	-0.84
Charles Barkley	70	71	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.33	3	2	1	16.2	17.1	-0.96	15.0	14.5	0.49
Sam Mack	44	43	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.21	7	-2	9	16.1	16.7	-0.60	15.0	14.8	0.27
Scottie Pippen	61	61	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.34	-2	7	-9	15.0	19.3	-4.31	15.2	14.3	0.92
Cuttino Mobley	59	59	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.32	-2	7	-9	15.1	18.7	-3.53	15.1	14.5	0.56
Bryce Drew	33	33	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.03	7	-2	9	18.7	15.1	3.53	14.5	15.1	-0.56
Matt Bullard	31	31	0.22	0.28	-0.05	0.02	7	-2	9	19.3	15.0	4.31	14.3	15.2	-0.92
Antoine Carr	7	7	0.11	0.39	-0.28	-0.01	4	1	3	15.9	16.4	-0.59	15.4	14.9	0.57
Michael Dickerson	48	49	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.14	-2	7	-9	16.7	16.1	0.60	14.8	15.0	-0.27
Othella Harrington	31	31	0.05	0.45	-0.41	-0.01	2	3	-1	18.7	15.2	3.43	14.9	14.9	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jordan	4	3	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	0.02	-4	-1	-3	13.7	15.0	-1.20	16.3	16.4	-0.07
Malik Sealy	43	42	-0.12	-0.38	0.25	-0.12	0	-5	5	14.6	15.2	-0.56	16.7	16.2	0.49
Dean Garrett	35	34	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-1	-3	15.0	14.8	0.20	15.7	16.8	-1.15
Bill Curley	16	16	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.01	-5	0	-5	14.6	15.0	-0.34	20.2	15.6	4.58
Tom Hammonds	37	39	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.31	5	-10	15	15.7	14.4	1.29	16.4	16.4	-0.03
James Robinson	33	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-7	9	15.1	14.8	0.34	13.6	18.0	-4.37
Dennis Scott	39	36	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.06	-4	-1	-3	14.8	15.0	-0.19	16.5	16.4	0.12
Bobby Jackson	55	55	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.15	-3	-2	-1	14.9	15.0	-0.12	18.1	13.9	4.24
Sam Mitchell	45	48	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.26	-1	-4	3	14.9	14.9	0.06	16.2	16.6	-0.32
Kevin Garnett	77	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.42	-2	-3	1	14.4	17.5	-3.06	16.3	17.0	-0.71
Joe Smith	76	75	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.22	-9	4	-13	15.2	13.3	1.92	16.0	18.4	-2.39

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.34,0.31,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.17,0.25,0.18,0.16,0.19,0.1,0.2,0.19,0.12,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.2,0.1,0.14,0.11,0.16,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NYK 93, POR 89	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.29,0.28,0.25,0.22,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.16,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.08,0.13,0.24,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.16,0	94.8%
SAC 96, MEM 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.45,0.36,0.37,0.38,0.38,0.31,0.35,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.36,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.1,0.13,0.1,0.16,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.02,0.05,0.1,0.02,0	94.7%
NJN 94, CHA 89	0.5,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.27,0.21,0.25,0.18,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.16,0.01,0,0	94.2%