NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	138		Excitement	7.7 [342]		MVP	Payton Pritchard (BOS): +63.1%
Chicago Bulls	129		Comeback	2.8 [790]		LVP	Jaylen Brown (BOS): -11.5%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Payton Pritchard	0.63	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.3,0.3,0.41,0.48,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.63	0.27	0.36	0.00	16	85%	0.63	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jayson Tatum	0.40	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.16,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.32,0.4,0.4,0.4	0.23	0.16	-0.01	18	76%	0.48	3	-0.08	10	70%	-0.00
Kristaps Porzingis	0.18	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18	0.16	0.04	0.03	11	72%	0.18	0	0.00	7	71%	-0.01
Derrick White	0.13	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.14	0.01	0.02	10	80%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Neemias Queta	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jrue Holiday	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	11	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Al Horford	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.01	6	17%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sam Hauser	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	0.03	5	30%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jaylen Brown	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	21	46%	0.02	3	-0.13	4	75%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.21,0.21,0.23,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.3,0.3,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.28	0.10	0.01	16	84%	0.37	0	0.00	6	67%	-0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.15,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.16	0.14	0.00	7	114%	0.33	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.22,0.16,0.16,0.17	0.17	0.17	0.07	0.07	22	62%	0.17	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.03	0.00	6	92%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.02	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.11	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonzo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	11	54%	0.00	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	25%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.09	0.01	-0.01	6	33%	-0.01	3	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	11	41%	-0.03	2	-0.06	5	80%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.5	2.5	25.4	15.3	25.4	0.3	34.1	125.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.1	134.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +18.1%

BOS +9.1%

BOS +28.9%

CHI -5.3%

CHI -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	CHI	NBA	BOS	CHI	NBA
this game	14.9	12.4	14.4	131.4	121.7	113.1
season	15.2	13.2		118.8	112.4
opponent	14.5	14.4		114.2	109.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	12.6	16.2	14.9	16.2	14.9
CHI	12.7	13.3	13.9	10.1	12.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Payton Pritchard	63	63	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.31	11	-2	13	15.2	14.4	0.87	11.4	14.0	-2.63
Jaylen Brown	80	82	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.18	7	2	5	15.0	14.6	0.42	12.5	12.1	0.40
Neemias Queta	14	15	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.16	7	2	5	17.6	14.5	3.11	10.6	12.7	-2.14
Jayson Tatum	80	80	0.36	0.14	0.21	-0.03	13	-4	17	14.0	17.7	-3.68	12.5	12.1	0.42
Sam Hauser	46	47	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.22	3	6	-3	16.2	13.8	2.39	12.2	12.6	-0.40
Al Horford	55	54	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	13	-17	15.5	14.2	1.29	12.4	12.4	0.02
Kristaps Porzingis	56	56	0.19	0.31	-0.12	-0.01	7	2	5	14.2	15.6	-1.38	12.9	11.9	1.01
Jrue Holiday	79	80	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.01	6	3	3	14.7	15.5	-0.88	12.4	12.7	-0.29
Derrick White	52	53	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.01	-5	14	-19	14.1	15.6	-1.51	13.7	11.2	2.57

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Giddey	52	52	0.29	-0.79	1.09	-0.12	14	-23	37	12.3	12.6	-0.25	15.7	14.1	1.58
Dalen Terry	17	17	0.25	-0.75	1.00	-0.07	11	-20	31	12.6	12.4	0.18	15.8	14.7	1.13
Jalen Smith	28	28	0.16	-0.66	0.82	-0.14	10	-19	29	12.5	12.4	0.14	16.9	14.1	2.80
Talen Horton-Tucker	29	29	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.05	0	-9	9	12.0	12.6	-0.64	16.0	14.4	1.55
Coby White	74	71	-0.07	-0.43	0.37	-0.27	7	-16	23	11.7	14.1	-2.33	15.4	13.8	1.56
Torrey Craig	26	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.02	-4	-5	1	13.6	12.1	1.51	16.2	14.5	1.68
Matas Buzelis	11	12	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	0.06	-7	-2	-5	16.3	12.0	4.28	11.1	15.4	-4.28
Julian Phillips	15	14	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.16	-7	-2	-5	10.6	12.7	-2.14	17.6	14.5	3.11
Ayo Dosunmu	72	72	-0.43	-0.07	-0.37	0.01	-15	6	-21	12.7	11.9	0.73	14.0	16.8	-2.79
Nikola Vucevic	78	77	-0.66	0.16	-0.82	-0.10	-19	10	-29	12.4	12.5	-0.14	14.1	16.9	-2.80
Zach LaVine	80	79	-0.67	0.17	-0.83	-0.11	-19	10	-29	12.4	12.4	0.07	14.2	16.8	-2.62
Lonzo Ball	48	49	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.22	-16	7	-23	12.6	12.3	0.27	14.1	15.5	-1.38

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.4,0.35,0.33,0.35,0.27,0.26,0.32,0.32,0.42,0.38,0.45,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.7,0.61,0.51,0.39,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.52,0.67,0.73,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.52,0.54,0.44,0.47,0.36,0.35,0.22,0.03,0.21,0.02,0.01,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 103, UTA 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.4,0.38,0.33,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.61,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.53,0.43,0.42,0.31,0.29,0.1,0.19,0.15,0.04,0.01,0	92.6%
LAC 96, CHI 86	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.5,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.65,0.55,0.44,0.59,0.6,0.58,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.53,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.22,0.25,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.0%
MIA 100, CLE 96	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.46,0.45,0.33,0.34,0.32,0.3,0.31,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.26,0.3,0.36,0.32,0.38,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.37,0.45,0.54,0.61,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.48,0.62,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.25,0.21,0.14,0.04,0	91.5%