NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

San Antonio Spurs	128		Excitement	6.8 [162]		MVP	Victor Wembanyama (SAS): +24.6%
Utah Jazz	115		Comeback	2.3 [193]		LVP	Lauri Markkanen (UTA): -9.8%

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Victor Wembanyama	0.25	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.27,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.20	0.05	0.00	23	71%	0.32	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Sandro Mamukelashvili	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.07	0.00	4	112%	0.17	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Champagnie	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.01	9	71%	0.15	2	-0.06	3	100%	0.02
Blake Wesley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	5	79%	0.12	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.04
Chris Paul	0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06	0.09	0.03	0.06	7	78%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	-0.00	6	47%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	0.00
Charles Bassey	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	9	45%	0.01	1	-0.03	4	75%	0.01
Stephon Castle	-0.05	0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.05	-0.03	0.07	20	52%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02
Tre Jones	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Collin Sexton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.09	0.07	0.02	16	59%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	-0.00
Keyonte George	0,0,0,0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	-0.00	16	76%	0.23	6	-0.14	2	100%	0.01
John Collins	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02	0.02	0.09	-0.02	0.04	10	71%	0.12	3	-0.10	8	75%	0.00
Walker Kessler	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	4	75%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brice Sensabaugh	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.13,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0	0.00	0.06	-0.06	-0.00	11	73%	0.12	3	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	0.01	5	75%	0.08	4	-0.10	2	50%	-0.02
Isaiah Collier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Johnny Juzang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	6	25%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.01	0.02	14	44%	-0.01	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.0	30.4	15.3	31.4	2.5	33.5	139.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +14.2%

SAS +2.9%

SAS +9.8%

SAS +27.6%

UTA -4.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAS	UTA	NBA	SAS	UTA	NBA
this game	13.5	14.9	14.3	125.5	113.9	111.9
season	14.4	15.0		111.0	109.6
opponent	13.6	14.3		119.4	112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAS	11.6	12.4	13.0	18.0	13.5
UTA	15.0	13.8	14.7	16.3	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Blake Wesley	48	47	1.07	-0.57	1.63	0.07	34	-21	55	12.3	14.6	-2.26	16.1	13.8	2.27
Julian Champagnie	74	73	0.60	-0.10	0.71	0.22	13	0	13	14.3	11.4	2.89	14.9	14.9	0.05
Victor Wembanyama	78	75	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.02	17	-4	21	13.6	13.2	0.37	15.1	14.4	0.68
Sandro Mamukelashvili	25	24	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.12	10	3	7	14.7	13.1	1.63	16.9	14.3	2.60
Keldon Johnson	44	43	0.23	0.27	-0.03	-0.03	9	4	5	11.5	15.0	-3.58	14.4	15.3	-0.86
Charles Bassey	10	11	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.14	0	13	-13	15.7	13.2	2.45	15.7	14.8	0.94
Chris Paul	57	59	0.06	0.44	-0.39	0.03	1	12	-11	13.8	13.1	0.68	14.7	15.1	-0.39
Tre Jones	43	42	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.15	-7	20	-27	13.5	13.5	-0.04	13.6	15.8	-2.22
Harrison Barnes	57	57	-0.08	0.58	-0.65	-0.08	0	13	-13	13.4	13.6	-0.28	14.8	15.1	-0.31
Zach Collins	14	15	-0.16	0.66	-0.81	-0.04	-4	17	-21	11.4	13.8	-2.39	13.4	15.2	-1.75
Stephon Castle	60	59	-0.25	0.75	-0.99	-0.01	-8	21	-29	14.3	12.3	1.97	14.7	15.2	-0.51

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Collins	68	70	0.19	-0.69	0.88	-0.01	7	-20	27	14.6	15.5	-0.84	13.8	12.8	1.03
Keyonte George	71	72	0.07	-0.57	0.64	0.04	1	-14	15	14.7	15.4	-0.72	13.7	13.0	0.65
Drew Eubanks	32	32	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.07	3	-16	19	14.0	15.3	-1.26	11.8	14.3	-2.44
Isaiah Collier	37	39	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-15	17	13.9	15.5	-1.62	12.2	14.3	-2.08
Walker Kessler	61	61	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	0.02	-13	0	-13	14.9	14.9	-0.10	13.1	14.1	-1.02
Collin Sexton	64	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.05	-15	2	-17	15.5	13.9	1.62	14.3	12.2	2.08
Brice Sensabaugh	54	54	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.14	-15	2	-17	14.7	15.1	-0.48	14.5	12.3	2.22
Johnny Juzang	49	50	-0.62	0.12	-0.73	-0.12	-17	4	-21	15.3	14.5	0.81	12.2	14.7	-2.57
Lauri Markkanen	69	69	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.19	-18	5	-23	15.7	13.2	2.54	14.2	11.9	2.29

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.5,0.56,0.63,0.61,0.65,0.65,0.62,0.68,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.48,0.58,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.5,0.43,0.28,0.31,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.44,0.44,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.24,0.27,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.15,0	92.0%
BOS 109, BKN 98	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0	91.2%
LAL 112, MIN 104	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.16,0.03,0,0	91.2%