NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	112		Excitement	6.7 [448]		MVP	Markieff Morris (LAL): +15.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves	104		Comeback	2.5 [679]		LVP	Malik Beasley (MIN): -21.1%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Markieff Morris	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.07	0.07	-0.02	5	90%	0.17	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.05	0.00	7	81%	0.21	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.04
LeBron James	0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.09	0.05	0.01	20	68%	0.25	5	-0.12	4	75%	-0.01
Marc Gasol	0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	0.01	0.03	7	79%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alex Caruso	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.03	0.04	0.00	2	67%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dennis Schroder	0.03	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.02	0.01	15	63%	0.16	5	-0.13	8	75%	0.02
Kyle Kuzma	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	6	58%	0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	0.00	-0.02	0.02	2	75%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.03	0.00	11	32%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan McLaughlin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.09	-0.01	12	54%	0.17	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Josh Okogie	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.00	3	100%	0.08	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	-0.01	-0.02	10	75%	0.12	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.06	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.10	-0.00	0.04	20	64%	0.16	3	-0.10	4	75%	0.01
Jaylen Nowell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	0.00	-0.02	5	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Ricky Rubio	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.03	-0.05	0.01	12	46%	-0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
Malik Beasley	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.17,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.12	-0.06	0.04	15	37%	-0.09	4	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.3	1.7	29.2	15.4	27.5	2.5	29.6	133.2
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +39.4%

LAL +11.7%

LAL +1.0%

MIN -4.4%

LAL +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	MIN	NBA	LAL	MIN	NBA
this game	14.6	14.7	14.4	115.5	105.1	111.3
season	14.6	14.1		108.6	108.7
opponent	14.0	14.5		113.9	106.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	13.3	15.2	13.4	17.0	14.6
MIN	13.3	14.8	14.3	17.2	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Montrezl Harrell	39	40	0.53	-0.03	0.55	0.14	13	-5	18	13.6	15.3	-1.67	14.6	14.9	-0.29
Alex Caruso	38	41	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.07	14	-6	20	13.5	15.4	-1.83	14.4	15.0	-0.57
Wesley Matthews	45	47	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.21	9	-1	10	14.2	15.1	-0.90	14.5	15.0	-0.53
Markieff Morris	38	38	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.25	6	2	4	14.4	14.8	-0.36	14.6	14.8	-0.19
LeBron James	75	76	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.30	4	4	0	14.7	14.4	0.30	15.2	13.2	2.05
Dennis Schroder	64	66	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.07	4	4	0	14.6	14.8	-0.18	14.9	14.5	0.35
Kyle Kuzma	52	54	0.15	0.35	-0.21	-0.00	5	3	2	14.8	14.4	0.36	14.9	14.6	0.23
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	63	62	0.04	0.46	-0.42	0.10	-2	10	-12	14.9	14.2	0.67	15.0	14.4	0.63
Marc Gasol	58	59	-0.03	0.53	-0.55	0.12	-5	13	-18	15.3	13.6	1.67	14.9	14.6	0.29
Talen Horton-Tucker	13	12	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	0.06	-8	16	-24	18.3	14.1	4.24	12.0	15.1	-3.13

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	64	64	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-10	12	14.9	14.5	0.32	15.4	13.2	2.12
Anthony Edwards	68	68	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.08	0	-8	8	14.6	15.0	-0.37	15.0	13.7	1.35
Ricky Rubio	58	59	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.14	2	-10	12	15.3	14.0	1.23	15.0	14.0	1.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	58	58	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	-7	6	15.3	14.0	1.36	14.9	14.3	0.60
Jaylen Nowell	24	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.10	-1	-7	6	13.3	15.2	-1.87	12.4	15.3	-2.89
Malik Beasley	72	70	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.21	0	-8	8	15.3	13.3	1.94	15.8	11.6	4.27
Josh Okogie	35	33	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.15	-8	0	-8	14.4	14.9	-0.54	13.4	15.3	-1.84
Naz Reid	35	33	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.20	-10	2	-12	14.5	14.9	-0.32	13.2	15.4	-2.12
Jaden McDaniels	38	37	-0.50	0.00	-0.50	-0.24	-9	1	-10	14.1	15.2	-1.13	14.2	14.9	-0.73
Jordan McLaughlin	43	40	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.07	-15	7	-22	14.3	15.1	-0.83	13.6	15.4	-1.73

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.52,0.5,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.44,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.49,0.42,0.3,0.29,0.36,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.16,0.03,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 98, BOS 88	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.54,0.49,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.47,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.61,0.7,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.55,0.59,0.59,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.33,0.33,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0	92.6%
NJN 95, CHA 91	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.59,0.59,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.63,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.6,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.29,0.16,0.31,0.15,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.08,0	92.4%
MIN 105, SEA 92	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.5,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.62,0.64,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.68,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.21,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0	92.3%