NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Boston Celtics	109		Excitement	6.0 [720]		MVP	Malcolm Brogdon (BOS): +16.6%
Brooklyn Nets	98		Comeback	2.2 [621]		LVP	Ben Simmons (BKN): -13.2%

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malcolm Brogdon	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.00	13	62%	0.19	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Payton Pritchard	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.05	0.00	7	64%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Luke Kornet	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.10	-0.01	0.01	5	110%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Grant Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.03	0.02	8	60%	0.09	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.04
Derrick White	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.06	-0.02	0.03	10	68%	0.08	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Sam Hauser	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Smart	0.00	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	12	52%	0.08	4	-0.08	7	86%	0.02
Robert Williams III	-0.01	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.01	0.01	7	57%	0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jayson Tatum	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.06	-0.03	0.01	22	42%	-0.04	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.01

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joe Harris	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.03	0.05	11	82%	0.15	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
T.J. Warren	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.01	-0.03	18	56%	0.12	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.00	0.05	7	65%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.00
Edmond Sumner	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.03	0.02	-0.00	7	56%	0.10	3	-0.10	2	50%	-0.01
Yuta Watanabe	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	24	46%	0.03	2	-0.05	4	75%	0.00
Seth Curry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ben Simmons	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	3	0%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.8	27.1	15.6	27.7	2.8	32.5	131.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +7.3%

BOS +12.3%

BOS +24.1%

BOS +3.9%

BOS +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BOS	BKN	NBA	BOS	BKN	NBA
this game	16.3	14.1	14.4	114.7	104.3	113.4
season	14.5	14.4		116.3	113.7
opponent	14.8	14.6		113.0	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BOS	15.5	14.0	16.9	19.0	16.3
BKN	15.2	16.0	12.6	12.9	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Grant Williams	85	83	0.51	-0.01	0.52	0.22	10	1	9	16.6	13.8	2.82	13.7	17.2	-3.45
Derrick White	72	72	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.15	12	-1	13	17.1	13.9	3.24	14.0	14.7	-0.71
Payton Pritchard	29	29	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.11	13	-2	15	14.3	17.2	-2.95	16.4	13.1	3.24
Malcolm Brogdon	41	41	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.15	8	3	5	14.4	17.8	-3.45	15.5	13.1	2.35
Robert Williams III	59	58	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.00	9	2	7	16.1	16.7	-0.64	14.4	13.7	0.67
Luke Kornet	32	32	0.12	0.38	-0.25	0.12	0	11	-11	17.4	15.8	1.58	13.6	14.4	-0.78
Marcus Smart	72	71	0.12	0.38	-0.27	0.12	0	11	-11	16.7	15.1	1.64	13.1	17.4	-4.31
Jayson Tatum	75	73	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.05	2	9	-7	16.8	14.5	2.25	13.7	15.6	-1.91
Sam Hauser	10	11	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.04	1	10	-9	13.8	16.6	-2.82	17.2	13.7	3.45

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ben Simmons	51	56	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.19	10	-21	31	12.2	16.5	-4.33	16.8	15.7	1.08
Edmond Sumner	4	4	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.01	-4	-7	3	23.2	13.7	9.52	10.0	16.6	-6.60
Seth Curry	49	50	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.05	-6	-5	-1	13.9	14.4	-0.42	15.6	17.1	-1.49
Nic Claxton	63	61	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	-0.06	-6	-5	-1	14.5	13.3	1.22	17.5	14.1	3.39
Royce O'Neale	74	74	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.15	-3	-8	5	14.2	14.0	0.18	17.3	12.9	4.45
Joe Harris	59	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.19	-7	-4	-3	13.4	15.4	-2.06	15.7	17.4	-1.70
T.J. Warren	53	55	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.09	-12	1	-13	14.5	13.6	0.94	15.8	17.1	-1.34
Yuta Watanabe	41	41	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	0.00	-16	5	-21	15.9	12.8	3.04	14.2	17.9	-3.75
Kyrie Irving	76	74	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.15	-11	0	-11	14.1	14.2	-0.04	16.9	14.2	2.74

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.49,0.45,0.54,0.55,0.6,0.66,0.62,0.54,0.58,0.53,0.64,0.61,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.4,0.52,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.13,0.15,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 90, SAS 85	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.57,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.65,0.67,0.63,0.6,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.52,0.53,0.51,0.6,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.5,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.3,0.29,0.11,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.15,0	93.7%
DET 106, IND 91	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.52,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.71,0.65,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.64,0.58,0.49,0.54,0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.48,0.55,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.3,0.34,0.21,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.6%
HOU 95, DEN 88	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.53,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.42,0.33,0.41,0.43,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.58,0.68,0.62,0.59,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.13,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.06,0,0	93.4%