NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	122		Excitement	4.7 [280]		MVP	Ayo Dosunmu (CHI): +18.1%
Chicago Bulls	136		Comeback	1.4 [196]		LVP	Dyson Daniels (ATL): -15.5%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Clint Capela	0.10	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.12	0.00	0.02	14	66%	0.10	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.01
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.10	0.01	0.02	11	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Johnson	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.02	19	60%	0.10	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.01
Garrison Mathews	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Vit Krejci	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	2	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.02	0.04	12	56%	0.02	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Zaccharie Risacher	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.01	4	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	9	35%	-0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Trae Young	-0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.02	0.06	18	57%	0.01	4	-0.07	8	100%	0.02
Kobe Bufkin	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.02	0.00	4	25%	-0.04	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Dyson Daniels	-0.15	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.09	-0.01	0.05	14	29%	-0.14	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.14	0.03	-0.01	10	91%	0.21	2	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Giddey	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.12	0.02	0.03	10	86%	0.16	2	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Coby White	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	0.02	0.03	16	53%	0.06	0	0.00	6	83%	0.01
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	0.02	-0.04	14	60%	0.11	4	-0.05	2	100%	0.00
Jalen Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.14	-0.00	0.09	5	108%	0.06	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.07	-0.00	0.04	4	86%	0.07	2	-0.05	6	100%	0.02
Matas Buzelis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	8	50%	0.03	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Julian Phillips	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.06	0.00	0.08	18	72%	0.08	6	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.0	1.8	26.3	15.4	27.5	2.4	31.2	129.6
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.1	14.9	28.5	2.3	32.3	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +56.4%

CHI +9.7%

ATL -9.8%

ATL -8.1%

CHI +1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHI	NBA	ATL	CHI	NBA
this game	13.4	12.9	14.3	110.9	124.8	111.9
season	13.2	13.1		110.2	112.7
opponent	14.2	14.3		115.4	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	13.9	14.3	13.3	12.0	13.4
CHI	13.2	11.9	13.8	12.8	12.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	2	3	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	0.02	-1	-13	12	11.0	13.4	-2.42	8.7	13.0	-4.38
Bogdan Bogdanovic	58	57	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-14	14	14.7	11.9	2.82	12.7	13.1	-0.40
Vit Krejci	7	7	-0.03	-0.47	0.44	0.06	-3	-11	8	16.7	13.1	3.57	10.0	13.1	-3.13
Kobe Bufkin	21	21	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.01	-5	-9	4	14.4	13.1	1.30	14.2	12.6	1.57
Zaccharie Risacher	39	38	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.09	-9	-5	-4	13.9	13.1	0.89	11.9	13.5	-1.58
Onyeka Okongwu	47	47	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	0.06	-8	-6	-2	14.9	12.2	2.69	12.1	13.5	-1.44
De'Andre Hunter	64	64	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.24	-2	-12	10	12.7	14.4	-1.71	13.9	11.6	2.26
Dyson Daniels	75	75	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.15	-6	-8	2	12.6	15.0	-2.39	13.1	12.6	0.41
Clint Capela	63	62	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.15	-6	-8	2	12.2	14.9	-2.69	13.5	12.1	1.44
Trae Young	89	88	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.08	-9	-5	-4	13.1	14.4	-1.30	12.6	14.2	-1.57
Jalen Johnson	85	83	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.03	-21	7	-28	13.2	14.0	-0.81	13.1	12.4	0.71

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Giddey	74	77	0.61	-0.11	0.72	0.05	19	-5	24	13.2	12.3	0.86	13.0	14.2	-1.16
Coby White	85	86	0.56	-0.06	0.61	0.03	18	-4	22	13.0	12.5	0.49	13.2	14.2	-1.02
Nikola Vucevic	78	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	9	-4	13.0	12.7	0.35	12.7	15.1	-2.38
Zach LaVine	78	78	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.18	5	9	-4	13.0	12.7	0.35	12.7	15.1	-2.38
Dalen Terry	48	48	0.22	0.28	-0.06	-0.04	9	5	4	13.2	12.7	0.43	14.8	12.3	2.55
Matas Buzelis	46	46	0.18	0.32	-0.15	-0.03	7	7	0	11.9	13.7	-1.75	14.3	12.7	1.64
Jalen Smith	31	32	0.17	0.33	-0.15	-0.09	9	5	4	12.7	13.0	-0.35	15.1	12.7	2.38
Ayo Dosunmu	90	90	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.14	1	13	-12	12.7	13.9	-1.24	12.8	15.7	-2.91
Julian Phillips	15	15	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.03	-3	17	-20	14.1	12.7	1.32	15.7	13.0	2.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.51,0.44,0.56,0.58,0.56,0.48,0.52,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.75,0.7,0.74,0.84,0.85,0.83,0.86,0.85,0.86,0.95,0.95,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
LAC 86, MIN 113	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.64,0.64,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.84,0.89,0.91,0.93,0.92,0.93,0.95,0.94,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	96.0%
NYK 103, IND 116	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.47,0.49,0.55,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.61,0.69,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.81,0.83,0.83,0.82,0.9,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.9%
HOU 85, UTA 98	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.57,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.49,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.64,0.64,0.63,0.68,0.74,0.82,0.81,0.88,0.84,0.88,0.91,0.94,0.98,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	95.8%