NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	126		Excitement	7.1 [443]		MVP	Coby White (CHI): +21.3%
Cleveland Cavaliers	144		Comeback	1.2 [1033]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -13.8%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0.21	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.19,0.17,0.24,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.17	0.07	0.03	15	78%	0.33	4	-0.12	7	100%	0.04
Jalen Smith	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.04	0.05	0.01	3	75%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Matas Buzelis	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.12	0.00	0.05	3	150%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	9	75%	0.14	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.02
Nikola Vucevic	0.06	0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.16	-0.03	0.06	16	76%	0.13	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	-0.01	0.04	7	94%	0.17	3	-0.12	4	75%	0.00
Chris Duarte	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.02	0.00	0.02	1	100%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
E.J. Liddell	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Giddey	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	0.00	9	28%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Julian Phillips	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Dalen Terry	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	4	60%	0.00	4	-0.09	2	50%	-0.01
Zach LaVine	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.17,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.04	-0.03	16	25%	-0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Donovan Mitchell	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.12,0.17,0.19,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.25	0.10	0.15	23	70%	0.21	1	-0.02	7	86%	0.03
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.15	0.04	0.04	15	75%	0.21	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.00	8	87%	0.18	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.17	0.03	0.08	10	88%	0.15	2	-0.03	5	80%	-0.01
Darius Garland	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.09	0.01	0.02	18	67%	0.21	5	-0.12	7	100%	0.05
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	1	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01
Ty Jerome	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.02	-0.02	8	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Craig Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.01	4	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.4	27.8	14.8	31.9	2.0	28.0	131.0
league avg	25.9	2.3	28.2	14.9	28.6	2.3	32.2	135.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +8.7%

CLE +14.5%

CLE +2.8%

CLE +22.8%

CLE +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	CLE	NBA	CHI	CLE	NBA
this game	13.0	13.2	14.4	114.5	130.9	113.0
season	13.2	13.7		112.4	120.5
opponent	14.9	14.5		110.8	114.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	12.8	14.3	12.5	12.5	13.0
CLE	12.1	13.9	13.2	13.7	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matas Buzelis	20	21	0.20	-0.70	0.90	-0.04	8	-26	34	12.8	13.0	-0.22	11.9	13.5	-1.60
Chris Duarte	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	7.0	13.2	-6.21	6.0	13.4	-7.40
E.J. Liddell	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	7.0	13.2	-6.21	6.0	13.4	-7.40
Talen Horton-Tucker	4	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	0.09	-3	-15	12	7.0	13.2	-6.21	6.0	13.4	-7.40
Patrick Williams	78	77	-0.03	-0.47	0.43	0.08	-4	-14	10	13.3	12.1	1.21	13.6	12.4	1.19
Jalen Smith	34	33	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.11	0	-18	18	12.6	13.2	-0.57	12.5	13.5	-0.98
Zach LaVine	80	84	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.04	-5	-13	8	13.5	11.6	1.85	13.7	11.6	2.13
Dalen Terry	43	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.06	-6	-12	6	13.2	12.8	0.37	13.4	13.1	0.27
Coby White	69	70	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.06	-11	-7	-4	12.3	14.1	-1.82	13.3	13.1	0.16
Julian Phillips	46	48	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.16	-6	-12	6	13.3	12.8	0.52	13.5	13.0	0.46
Nikola Vucevic	71	73	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	0.01	-13	-5	-8	13.7	11.7	2.00	13.9	11.8	2.05
Ayo Dosunmu	62	62	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.05	-17	-1	-16	12.5	13.6	-1.14	13.1	13.4	-0.31
Josh Giddey	35	33	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	0.09	-27	9	-36	13.7	12.7	1.03	12.6	13.5	-0.89

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ty Jerome	44	43	0.52	-0.02	0.53	0.19	11	7	4	13.2	13.2	0.08	13.1	12.9	0.14
Dean Wade	69	68	0.44	0.06	0.37	-0.15	20	-2	22	12.9	13.7	-0.77	12.3	14.1	-1.88
Caris LeVert	62	63	0.43	0.07	0.36	-0.10	18	0	18	12.6	14.0	-1.46	11.9	14.5	-2.63
Darius Garland	78	77	0.40	0.10	0.29	-0.13	18	0	18	13.5	12.4	1.08	13.0	12.9	0.15
Georges Niang	56	55	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.15	7	11	-4	13.4	13.0	0.39	13.3	12.7	0.58
Donovan Mitchell	79	80	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.13	11	7	4	13.1	13.5	-0.35	12.5	14.3	-1.77
Jarrett Allen	82	82	0.16	0.34	-0.17	-0.10	9	9	0	13.5	12.4	1.08	13.4	11.9	1.46
Isaac Okoro	57	58	0.10	0.40	-0.29	0.02	3	15	-12	13.4	12.9	0.50	14.4	11.3	3.10
Tristan Thompson	11	12	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.05	-2	20	-22	12.1	13.3	-1.23	12.9	13.0	-0.07
Craig Porter Jr.	12	12	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	0.06	-5	23	-28	13.7	13.1	0.52	14.7	12.8	1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.81,0.74,0.7,0.66,0.71,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.75,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.45,0.62,0.67,0.84,0.85,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.72,0.83,0.91,0.91,0.9,0.89,0.99,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 86, POR 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.72,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.66,0.64,0.71,0.74,0.77,0.71,0.73,0.73,0.74,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.55,0.66,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.66,0.52,0.57,0.67,0.77,0.87,0.91,0.86,0.97,0.99,0.95,0.96,1	92.8%
ORL 90, DEN 93	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.59,0.59,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.65,0.66,0.73,0.73,0.75,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.61,0.61,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.49,0.6,0.69,0.67,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.62,0.72,0.83,0.82,0.7,0.72,0.71,0.67,0.68,0.83,0.88,0.94,0.94,0.97,0.99,0.98,1	92.7%
MEM 97, UTA 107	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.57,0.54,0.54,0.58,0.59,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.73,0.78,0.78,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.74,0.65,0.66,0.66,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.67,0.61,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.79,0.76,0.87,0.89,0.97,1,1,1	92.4%