NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Chicago Bulls	121		Excitement	8.1 [258]		MVP	Torrey Craig (CHI): +43.8%
San Antonio Spurs	112		Comeback	5.3 [312]		LVP	Jeremy Sochan (SAS): -17.4%

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Torrey Craig	0.44	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44	0.16	0.28	-0.00	8	89%	0.44	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Coby White	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.14	0.14	-0.00	15	77%	0.34	3	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0.16	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.01	0.01	11	77%	0.16	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Julian Phillips	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ayo Dosunmu	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	40%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	22	45%	0.01	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Jevon Carter	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Drummond	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.00	7	39%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.07
Alex Caruso	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	5	40%	0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.15,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.10	0.00	0.01	24	34%	-0.06	2	-0.04	10	60%	-0.05

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.16	0.03	0.00	7	100%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Doug McDermott	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.12,0.09,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.13	-0.00	6	75%	0.23	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.00	5	92%	0.22	1	-0.04	3	67%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.18	0.00	0.05	11	83%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.03
Victor Wembanyama	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.07	-0.02	20	46%	0.10	1	-0.02	6	83%	-0.02
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Malaki Branham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.01	6	71%	0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Julian Champagnie	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Vassell	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.04	15	33%	-0.03	3	-0.09	3	67%	-0.01
Jeremy Sochan	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.17	-0.13	-0.04	0.00	6	33%	-0.04	5	-0.14	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.5	2.5	26.5	15.3	31.6	2.4	28.6	132.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +11.0%

SAS -9.0%

CHI +28.1%

CHI +21.7%

SAS -1.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CHI	SAS	NBA	CHI	SAS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.1	14.5	127.4	117.9	113.9
season	14.5	13.9		113.4	108.6
opponent	14.3	15.0		115.2	115.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CHI	14.6	17.2	13.1	16.3	15.2
SAS	11.6	15.5	17.7	16.5	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Williams	68	67	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.17	20	-11	31	15.1	15.3	-0.19	15.4	14.5	0.82
Nikola Vucevic	71	70	0.65	-0.15	0.80	0.21	15	-6	21	15.0	15.8	-0.85	15.4	14.4	0.92
Coby White	76	77	0.64	-0.14	0.79	0.12	18	-9	27	15.2	15.3	-0.08	15.6	13.1	2.47
DeMar DeRozan	78	78	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-4	17	15.2	15.1	0.17	15.2	14.9	0.21
Torrey Craig	42	42	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.17	1	8	-7	15.3	15.1	0.15	15.8	14.5	1.29
Ayo Dosunmu	50	50	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.23	-2	11	-13	15.3	15.1	0.21	15.1	15.1	0.01
Julian Phillips	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.63	0.05	-4	13	-17	13.0	15.4	-2.43	13.8	15.3	-1.48
Alex Caruso	39	39	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.03	-3	12	-15	15.9	14.7	1.23	14.2	15.8	-1.63
Jevon Carter	18	18	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	0.08	-7	16	-23	14.4	15.4	-1.00	13.1	15.6	-2.47
Andre Drummond	24	25	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.03	-6	15	-21	15.8	15.0	0.85	14.4	15.4	-0.92

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Doug McDermott	30	29	0.12	-0.62	0.74	-0.17	10	-19	29	15.1	15.1	-0.07	14.9	15.3	-0.49
Tre Jones	55	56	0.12	-0.62	0.73	-0.24	12	-21	33	15.1	15.2	-0.15	15.6	14.6	1.08
Zach Collins	45	44	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.31	13	-22	35	15.4	14.8	0.58	15.1	15.3	-0.25
Cedi Osman	18	20	-0.10	-0.40	0.31	-0.13	1	-10	11	14.0	15.4	-1.38	16.4	14.9	1.58
Julian Champagnie	11	11	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	0.10	-12	3	-15	15.2	15.1	0.07	15.5	15.2	0.29
Jeremy Sochan	69	67	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.10	-9	0	-9	15.4	14.4	1.01	15.4	14.8	0.54
Keldon Johnson	70	70	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.24	-7	-2	-5	14.9	15.6	-0.71	14.5	17.1	-2.55
Malaki Branham	47	47	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	0.02	-17	8	-25	15.2	15.0	0.15	14.7	15.7	-0.94
Devin Vassell	67	67	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.08	-14	5	-19	15.4	14.5	0.87	15.4	14.8	0.54
Victor Wembanyama	63	64	-0.68	0.18	-0.86	-0.03	-22	13	-35	14.9	15.6	-0.77	15.4	14.8	0.54

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.53,0.53,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.72,0.76,0.66,0.58,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.64,0.74,0.77,0.84,0.8,0.77,0.72,0.73,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.19,0.11,0.01,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 107, PHI 106	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.57,0.53,0.58,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.59,0.68,0.74,0.69,0.75,0.75,0.73,0.71,0.63,0.72,0.73,0.64,0.58,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.3,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.07,0.14,0.16,0	93.0%
WAS 107, MIL 101	0.5,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.5,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.68,0.58,0.65,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.69,0.77,0.78,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.7,0.58,0.55,0.52,0.41,0.34,0.36,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.25,0.33,0.15,0.11,0.19,0.22,0.19,0.1,0.06,0.08,0	92.5%
NJN 101, TOR 90	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.46,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.59,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.63,0.66,0.7,0.7,0.66,0.69,0.67,0.71,0.68,0.75,0.75,0.8,0.8,0.84,0.86,0.81,0.76,0.78,0.73,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.53,0.54,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.16,0.01,0	92.5%