NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	114		Excitement	8.7 [191]		MVP	Joel Embiid (PHI): +27.6%
Philadelphia 76ers	125		Comeback	2.8 [620]		LVP	Dejounte Murray (ATL): -12.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.07	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.00	18	63%	0.19	3	-0.12	2	100%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17,0.17,0.12,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.02	0.04	-0.03	20	39%	0.05	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Onyeka Okongwu	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	7	44%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.09,0.14,0.12,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.16,0.16,0.1,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.07	-0.02	17	54%	0.16	2	-0.16	3	100%	0.04
Garrison Mathews	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Wesley Matthews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	-0.01	0.01	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Trent Forrest	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Patty Mills	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0.06,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	0.00	-0.06	-0.01	12	54%	0.04	2	-0.09	4	75%	0.02
Dejounte Murray	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.01	-0.09	0.02	17	53%	-0.00	4	-0.12	4	100%	0.03

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Joel Embiid	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.03,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.12,0.07,0.14,0.23,0.28,0.28	0.28	0.15	0.11	-0.02	24	60%	0.37	2	-0.10	15	87%	0.07
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.18	0.11	0.09	18	62%	0.20	0	0.00	12	83%	0.01
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.06	-0.01	9	50%	0.09	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.08	0.01	0.01	4	100%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.01	9	62%	0.09	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.02	0.02	13	54%	0.06	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.00	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	38%	-0.05	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.1	1.8	22.6	15.5	26.2	1.8	36.2	133.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI +45.8%

ATL -0.0%

ATL -27.9%

PHI +32.2%

ATL -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	PHI	NBA	ATL	PHI	NBA
this game	14.9	13.9	14.5	112.9	126.3	113.9
season	14.2	14.9		115.7	115.6
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.6	118.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	15.5	13.3	17.3	14.0	14.9
PHI	14.5	13.4	14.6	13.1	13.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	38	36	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.02	-1	-10	9	14.9	14.9	0.03	13.6	14.0	-0.39
Patty Mills	37	35	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.11	1	-12	13	14.3	15.3	-1.04	13.6	14.0	-0.36
Garrison Mathews	5	6	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.10	-8	-3	-5	19.0	14.7	4.28	12.3	14.0	-1.62
Trent Forrest	26	25	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	-0.07	-3	-8	5	16.2	14.5	1.70	13.7	13.9	-0.24
Saddiq Bey	80	77	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-13	15	14.8	15.2	-0.39	14.2	12.7	1.45
Wesley Matthews	21	22	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.12	-13	2	-15	15.2	14.8	0.39	12.7	14.2	-1.45
Dejounte Murray	76	75	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	-0.09	-7	-4	-3	14.5	16.1	-1.58	13.9	13.6	0.36
Bogdan Bogdanovic	82	81	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.33	-3	-8	5	14.8	15.4	-0.54	13.8	14.2	-0.38
De'Andre Hunter	77	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.04	-13	2	-15	15.1	14.5	0.51	14.1	13.0	1.13
Clint Capela	63	63	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.20	-10	-1	-9	14.9	14.9	-0.03	14.0	13.6	0.39

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
De'Anthony Melton	69	72	0.80	-0.30	1.10	0.07	25	-14	39	13.8	14.0	-0.16	15.3	14.0	1.35
Joel Embiid	73	74	0.55	-0.05	0.59	0.08	16	-5	21	13.8	14.2	-0.40	15.4	13.6	1.83
Kelly Oubre Jr.	50	51	0.37	0.13	0.23	0.34	1	10	-9	13.1	14.6	-1.49	14.3	15.6	-1.25
Tobias Harris	70	72	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.06	8	3	5	13.9	13.7	0.19	14.7	15.4	-0.73
Nicolas Batum	59	58	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	8	-5	14.2	13.3	0.85	15.5	14.1	1.38
Marcus Morris Sr.	32	34	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.10	3	8	-5	13.5	14.0	-0.53	14.8	15.0	-0.25
Patrick Beverley	36	37	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.01	4	7	-3	13.9	13.8	0.05	15.6	14.6	1.01
Mo Bamba	10	10	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	0.02	-1	12	-13	16.9	13.5	3.38	15.0	14.9	0.08
Paul Reed	14	15	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	14	-17	12.6	14.1	-1.50	13.5	15.2	-1.64
Tyrese Maxey	82	82	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	12	-13	14.1	12.6	1.53	14.3	17.5	-3.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.71,0.74,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.55,0.33,0.29,0.34,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.55,0.59,0.48,0.4,0.52,0.57,0.73,0.66,0.62,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.33,0.36,0.63,0.91,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 103, NOP 112	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.54,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.94,1,1	91.5%
DET 109, IND 115	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.59,0.58,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.71,0.58,0.61,0.59,0.64,0.61,0.62,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.32,0.35,0.48,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.58,0.62,0.7,0.62,0.63,0.66,0.46,0.33,0.53,0.89,0.98,0.95,1	91.4%
NOP 98, HOU 107	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.62,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.56,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.63,0.7,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.5,0.52,0.46,0.55,0.58,0.64,0.62,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.44,0.48,0.54,0.66,0.62,0.53,0.68,0.7,0.47,0.33,0.38,0.71,0.94,0.96,1	90.1%