NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Dallas Mavericks	103		Excitement	6.9 [415]		MVP	Zion Williamson (NOP): +31.9%
New Orleans Pelicans	112		Comeback	2.6 [322]		LVP	Josh Richardson (DAL): -24.8%

Dallas Mavericks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Trey Burke	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.08	0.12	-0.00	7	62%	0.21	0	0.00	7	86%	0.03
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.21	0.01	0.02	19	71%	0.20	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jalen Brunson	0.12	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.12,0.12	0.14	0.03	0.06	15	69%	0.14	1	-0.02	5	60%	-0.03
Boban Marjanovic	0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.00	11	54%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Maxi Kleber	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.00	-0.06	-0.02	13	46%	0.04	1	-0.08	2	100%	0.01
Dwight Powell	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dorian Finney-Smith	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.03	-0.00	5	50%	-0.02	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Josh Richardson	-0.25	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.12,-0.15,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25,-0.25	-0.18	-0.07	-0.00	11	17%	-0.14	3	-0.11	2	100%	0.01

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.28,0.32,0.32	0.32	0.15	0.19	0.02	20	66%	0.41	4	-0.09	18	67%	-0.02
Kira Lewis Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.12	0.04	0.00	7	93%	0.16	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.10	0.02	15	58%	0.18	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.10	0.01	0.04	17	59%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	2	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Bledsoe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.03	-0.02	9	55%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.04
Naji Marshall	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Willy Hernangomez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	25%	-0.08
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.09	-0.03	-0.01	7	12%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	0.8	29.0	15.3	30.9	1.8	34.4	138.5
league avg	25.6	2.4	28.1	14.8	28.0	2.3	32.7	135.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +39.4%

DAL -7.1%

NOP +1.5%

NOP +10.7%

NOP +5.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DAL	NOP	NBA	DAL	NOP	NBA
this game	16.1	15.4	14.4	113.2	121.7	111.3
season	15.0	14.0		114.3	112.4
opponent	14.4	14.4		112.5	112.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DAL	18.0	15.0	16.8	14.4	16.1
NOP	14.0	17.8	13.7	16.2	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Dallas Mavericks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Burke	33	34	0.24	-0.74	0.98	0.30	-2	-7	5	14.0	17.2	-3.27	15.0	15.7	-0.63
Josh Richardson	65	64	0.07	-0.57	0.63	0.01	2	-11	13	16.3	15.4	0.88	15.8	14.5	1.28
Boban Marjanovic	53	53	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.15	2	-11	13	17.3	14.3	3.03	15.7	15.0	0.74
Jalen Brunson	72	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.34	1	-10	11	16.2	15.3	0.93	16.3	11.9	4.39
Dwight Powell	32	33	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.09	-10	1	-11	15.8	16.2	-0.33	15.0	15.7	-0.71
Dorian Finney-Smith	71	70	-0.55	0.05	-0.59	-0.25	-10	1	-11	16.4	14.9	1.48	15.8	14.1	1.69
Maxi Kleber	62	64	-0.58	0.08	-0.66	-0.28	-10	1	-11	15.9	16.4	-0.58	14.0	18.8	-4.83
Tim Hardaway Jr.	67	68	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.37	-18	9	-27	15.6	17.5	-1.91	15.3	15.9	-0.61

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Zion Williamson	70	68	0.84	-0.34	1.19	0.37	16	-7	23	14.1	19.6	-5.54	15.9	16.7	-0.80
Kira Lewis Jr.	47	45	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.04	15	-6	21	15.7	15.1	0.61	16.8	15.3	1.56
Eric Bledsoe	70	69	0.33	0.17	0.15	0.24	3	6	-3	15.2	16.0	-0.76	15.8	16.9	-1.13
Steven Adams	57	57	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.19	4	5	-1	15.2	15.9	-0.70	16.4	15.5	0.84
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	60	60	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.17	4	5	-1	15.5	15.3	0.22	15.9	16.4	-0.55
Brandon Ingram	64	65	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.16	4	5	-1	15.8	14.5	1.38	16.4	15.1	1.37
Willy Hernangomez	35	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.05	5	4	1	15.9	15.2	0.70	15.5	16.4	-0.84
Naji Marshall	5	6	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	0.08	-6	15	-21	16.0	15.4	0.61	18.3	15.9	2.44
Josh Hart	52	51	-0.12	0.62	-0.75	-0.12	0	9	-9	16.5	14.0	2.52	15.5	16.8	-1.37

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.71,0.78,0.74,0.76,0.69,0.71,0.76,0.68,0.61,0.59,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.36,0.33,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.55,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.58,0.7,0.75,0.83,0.77,0.7,0.54,0.4,0.53,0.79,0.94,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 65, NYK 72	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.63,0.65,0.65,0.64,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.53,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.58,0.52,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.32,0.3,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.58,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.72,0.83,0.76,0.66,0.71,0.84,0.86,0.92,1	90.2%
LAL 108, POR 112	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.59,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.65,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.67,0.69,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.54,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.45,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.57,0.62,0.57,0.68,0.64,0.66,0.6,0.54,0.72,0.9,0.96,1	90.2%
POR 71, IND 80	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.68,0.7,0.77,0.75,0.75,0.66,0.64,0.68,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.54,0.49,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.38,0.48,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.52,0.47,0.62,0.6,0.74,0.71,0.47,0.69,0.78,0.87,0.99,1	90.1%