NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	108		Excitement	8.2 [240]		MVP	Bradley Beal (PHX): +29.5%
Sacramento Kings	107		Comeback	22.1 [91]		LVP	De'Aaron Fox (SAC): -35.9%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.29	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.29	0.09	0.20	-0.00	13	74%	0.36	3	-0.07	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Durant	0.23	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.23	0.11	0.10	-0.02	20	65%	0.31	3	-0.08	3	100%	0.07
Jusuf Nurkic	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.1	-0.02	0.12	0.00	5	67%	0.19	4	-0.09	5	80%	-0.05
Devin Booker	0.10	0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.01	-0.01	12	72%	0.17	4	-0.07	5	100%	0.03
Royce O'Neale	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.04	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,-0.04	0.08	-0.11	0.01	12	70%	0.07	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	3	33%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	20%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Keegan Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.23,0.23	0.23	0.12	0.09	-0.02	19	61%	0.23	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Keon Ellis	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.14	0.07	0.01	11	74%	0.19	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Harrison Barnes	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.12	-0.01	10	48%	0.16	0	0.00	5	100%	0.05
Domantas Sabonis	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.13,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.02	-0.01	18	60%	0.12	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.01	-0.00	2	75%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Alex Len	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Davion Mitchell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.10	-0.01	-0.03	7	14%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Aaron Fox	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,-0.36	-0.36	-0.00	-0.37	-0.01	23	48%	-0.05	2	-0.30	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	1.8	28.7	14.8	26.0	2.7	33.3	134.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +10.1%

PHX +28.1%

PHX +11.3%

SAC -2.3%

PHX +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	SAC	NBA	PHX	SAC	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	14.5	114.9	113.8	113.9
season	14.6	14.0		116.1	115.6
opponent	14.8	14.4		113.6	113.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	15.8	15.0	13.8	15.9	15.1
SAC	13.6	14.4	15.6	19.3	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bradley Beal	68	69	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.50	8	-7	15	14.4	16.9	-2.54	15.8	14.8	1.08
Grayson Allen	76	75	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.50	3	-2	5	15.3	14.2	1.14	15.5	15.9	-0.49
Devin Booker	80	82	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.52	-1	2	-3	14.7	17.1	-2.33	15.4	16.4	-0.99
Kevin Durant	82	83	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.45	-4	5	-9	14.9	16.1	-1.14	15.4	17.0	-1.64
Jusuf Nurkic	61	61	0.33	0.17	0.16	0.36	-1	2	-3	15.3	14.8	0.50	16.4	13.9	2.53
Royce O'Neale	47	46	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.13	-1	2	-3	15.4	14.8	0.55	15.2	15.9	-0.74
Eric Gordon	33	31	0.03	0.47	-0.45	0.03	0	1	-1	16.5	14.3	2.11	15.2	15.7	-0.54
Drew Eubanks	23	23	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.13	1	0	1	15.2	15.1	0.12	15.0	15.7	-0.67

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Davion Mitchell	40	39	0.29	-0.79	1.09	0.09	7	-8	15	14.8	16.1	-1.22	14.6	15.5	-0.89
Alex Len	9	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.17	-0.02	-5	4	-9	17.6	15.3	2.21	16.4	14.9	1.47
Harrison Barnes	81	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.40	7	-8	15	15.4	16.5	-1.14	15.0	15.8	-0.88
Domantas Sabonis	84	83	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.49	7	-8	15	15.4	16.5	-1.06	14.8	17.2	-2.37
Trey Lyles	27	29	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.04	-9	8	-17	15.9	15.4	0.47	15.7	14.8	0.87
De'Aaron Fox	80	82	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.52	3	-4	7	15.5	16.0	-0.52	15.3	13.7	1.63
Keegan Murray	84	83	-0.55	0.05	-0.61	-0.50	-2	1	-3	15.7	14.1	1.63	15.1	14.7	0.41
Keon Ellis	65	63	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.48	-13	12	-25	15.8	15.0	0.75	15.1	15.0	0.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.75,0.77,0.84,0.78,0.87,0.84,0.87,0.88,0.76,0.88,0.77,0.87,0.78,0.74,0.75,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.81,0.84,0.76,0.85,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 87, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.85,0.73,0	92.3%
POR 101, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.58,0	91.5%
PHI 129, POR 128	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.62,0.66,0.58,0.53,0.58,0.52,0.61,0.74,0.81,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.79,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.84,0.91,0.97,0.96,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.87,0.78,0.71,0.67,0.77,0.79,0.76,0.9,0.85,0.96,0.84,0.84,0	91.4%