NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Portland Trail Blazers	101		Excitement	7.6 [291]		MVP	Danny Manning (UTA): +38.3%
Utah Jazz	99		Comeback	12.5 [65]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -15.4%

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Scottie Pippen	0.37	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.06,0.14,0.37	0.08	0.28	-0.01	15	71%	0.61	3	-0.24	5	80%	0.00
Bonzi Wells	0.17	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.09	0.07	-0.01	14	71%	0.22	2	-0.05	3	67%	-0.00
Steven Smith	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	-0.00	10	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Dale Davis	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.00	0.03	0.00	3	70%	0.06	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.03
Rasheed Wallace	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.00	14	68%	0.10	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.02
Rod Strickland	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	60%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Detlef Schrempf	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Arvydas Sabonis	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	5	57%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.02
Damon Stoudamire	-0.08	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Danny Manning	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.38	0.38	0.11	0.27	-0.00	13	74%	0.41	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.02
Karl Malone	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	16	65%	0.16	2	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Jacque Vaughn	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.01	-0.00	4	87%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Bryon Russell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	9	56%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donyell Marshall	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	10	50%	0.02	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Olden Polynice	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.01	0.01	8	40%	-0.06	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
John Starks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.12	-0.02	-0.01	5	0%	-0.09	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
John Stockton	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.15	-0.15	-0.00	-0.15	0.01	8	55%	-0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.2	2.7	26.3	18.4	25.0	1.7	36.6	137.8
league avg	28.8	2.2	28.9	16.6	26.2	2.2	33.1	139.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

POR +55.7%

POR +22.1%

UTA -3.1%

UTA -25.1%

POR +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	POR	UTA	NBA	POR	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	18.0	15.5	117.4	116.5	100.9
season	15.8	16.0		103.9	105.3
opponent	15.5	15.8		100.5	100.3

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
POR	15.5	15.3	14.2	17.9	15.7
UTA	17.3	16.7	18.5	20.0	18.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dale Davis	46	43	0.77	-0.27	1.04	0.45	11	-9	20	14.8	16.6	-1.77	19.8	16.3	3.48
Rasheed Wallace	81	80	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.43	5	-3	8	15.8	13.2	2.60	17.9	20.2	-2.29
Scottie Pippen	61	60	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.45	4	-2	6	15.4	16.2	-0.72	18.1	17.8	0.35
Steven Smith	56	55	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	0	2	15.3	16.3	-0.95	18.2	17.8	0.43
Bonzi Wells	66	66	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	-1	4	16.3	13.6	2.67	18.2	17.6	0.60
Rod Strickland	41	38	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.10	3	-1	4	14.3	16.8	-2.50	19.1	17.2	1.87
Detlef Schrempf	6	7	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.04	-5	7	-12	13.5	15.8	-2.31	17.7	18.1	-0.36
Damon Stoudamire	34	36	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	8	-14	16.9	14.8	2.13	16.3	19.3	-3.02
Arvydas Sabonis	39	40	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.04	-7	9	-16	16.6	14.8	1.81	16.5	19.4	-2.87

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Olden Polynice	48	49	0.21	-0.71	0.92	0.09	4	-6	10	17.5	18.8	-1.30	15.0	16.5	-1.47
Scott Padgett	7	6	0.11	-0.61	0.71	-0.04	5	-7	12	17.7	18.1	-0.36	13.5	15.8	-2.31
John Starks	40	42	0.06	-0.56	0.63	0.00	2	-4	6	18.0	18.0	0.01	16.5	14.8	1.66
Jacque Vaughn	26	29	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.07	-3	1	-4	19.6	17.4	2.20	13.8	16.6	-2.75
Karl Malone	66	66	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.44	4	-6	10	18.0	18.3	-0.35	16.3	13.5	2.80
Greg Ostertag	22	21	-0.36	-0.14	-0.23	-0.30	-2	0	-2	17.3	18.3	-1.04	16.0	15.5	0.52
Danny Manning	34	36	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.15	-10	8	-18	19.5	17.1	2.42	15.1	16.1	-0.98
John Stockton	59	57	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.51	1	-3	4	17.4	19.6	-2.20	16.6	13.8	2.75
Bryon Russell	53	53	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.51	-3	1	-4	18.2	17.8	0.43	15.0	16.6	-1.60
Donyell Marshall	70	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.80	-0.42	-8	6	-14	18.0	18.5	-0.51	15.8	15.0	0.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIA 101, NJN 98	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.78,0.71,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.58,0	92.4%
BOS 83, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.66,0.42,0	91.8%
PHI 87, WAS 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.5,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.68,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.75,0.83,0.84,0.82,0.85,0.86,0.82,0.77,0.72,0.8,0.8,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.76,0.81,0.74,0.71,0.67,0.75,0.64,0.85,0.73,0	91.2%