NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	101		Excitement	7.3 [292]		MVP	LeBron James (MIA): +48.8%
New Jersey Nets	98		Comeback	30.6 [53]		LVP	Sundiata Gaines (NJN): -18.6%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LeBron James	0.49	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.18,0.49	0.17	0.34	0.03	19	70%	0.60	4	-0.11	15	93%	0.06
Chris Bosh	0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	16	58%	0.13	2	-0.06	6	100%	0.05
Joel Anthony	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	4	80%	0.11	1	-0.07	2	100%	0.03
Terrel Harris	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udonis Haslem	0.01	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Norris Cole	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.04,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	50%	0.03	1	-0.03	4	25%	-0.07
Mike Miller	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	-0.00	9	44%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
James Jones	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mario Chalmers	-0.14	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.09	0.00	3	50%	-0.02	3	-0.12	0	0%	0.00

New Jersey Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kris Humphries	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.19	0.05	0.04	16	72%	0.20	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.03
MarShon Brooks	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.03	0.03	17	63%	0.23	5	-0.18	4	100%	0.03
Armon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	5	60%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeShawn Stevenson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Johan Petro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shelden Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Gerald Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,-0.02,-0.05,0,0.01,0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,0.04,0.1,0.06,0.06,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.08	-0.02	-0.07	17	44%	0.14	4	-0.17	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Morrow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.03	-0.00	8	37%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.09	-0.04	0.00	5	20%	-0.06	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Sundiata Gaines	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.19	-0.19	-0.01	-0.16	0.02	10	46%	-0.16	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.4	2.6	28.4	15.4	28.3	2.6	36.7	137.3
league avg	25.5	2.3	29.8	14.2	26.9	2.3	33.6	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +28.3%

MIA +19.5%

NJN -5.8%

MIA +8.4%

NJN -0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	NJN	NBA	MIA	NJN	NBA
this game	14.3	17.4	15.6	109.8	108.9	102.8
season	15.5	16.2		105.6	101.3
opponent	15.2	15.8		107.6	98.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	14.7	16.1	14.3	12.3	14.3
NJN	17.3	19.9	15.7	17.2	17.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joel Anthony	48	46	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.44	18	-15	33	12.9	15.8	-2.96	18.4	16.4	2.00
Chris Bosh	66	65	0.83	-0.33	1.16	0.68	5	-2	7	14.7	13.3	1.40	17.5	17.2	0.35
Mario Chalmers	46	45	0.75	-0.25	1.00	0.66	3	0	3	14.2	14.3	-0.07	16.1	18.7	-2.64
Mike Miller	52	48	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.38	5	-2	7	13.2	15.6	-2.39	16.8	18.1	-1.28
LeBron James	70	68	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.35	-4	7	-11	14.0	15.0	-1.02	16.5	20.3	-3.79
James Jones	55	54	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	-0.22	6	-3	9	14.0	14.6	-0.59	18.8	15.4	3.42
Norris Cole	40	40	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.17	3	0	3	13.4	14.9	-1.54	18.4	16.6	1.87
Terrel Harris	41	43	-0.24	0.74	-0.98	-0.09	-5	8	-13	16.2	12.7	3.56	18.2	16.7	1.57
Udonis Haslem	42	41	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	0.03	-16	19	-35	16.2	12.6	3.57	16.2	18.4	-2.28

New Jersey Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Shelden Williams	21	24	0.32	-0.82	1.13	0.29	1	-4	5	16.4	17.7	-1.28	14.0	14.4	-0.37
Jordan Williams	59	58	0.08	-0.58	0.65	0.02	2	-5	7	18.0	16.4	1.61	14.8	13.4	1.41
Armon Johnson	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.02	-1	-2	1	19.0	17.0	2.01	14.8	14.1	0.65
Johan Petro	9	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	0.01	-1	-2	1	21.8	16.9	4.85	15.9	14.1	1.76
DeShawn Stevenson	20	20	-0.11	-0.39	0.27	-0.06	-2	-1	-1	19.2	16.9	2.30	13.1	14.6	-1.43
Gerald Green	65	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-10	17	16.1	20.7	-4.58	14.1	14.9	-0.76
MarShon Brooks	73	74	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.40	4	-7	11	16.7	20.6	-3.99	14.2	14.7	-0.56
Sundiata Gaines	65	65	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.40	-2	-1	-1	16.7	19.2	-2.42	14.3	14.3	-0.03
Kris Humphries	75	76	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.45	-4	1	-5	17.0	19.3	-2.31	14.8	11.9	2.90
Anthony Morrow	44	45	-1.29	0.79	-2.09	-0.74	-19	16	-35	19.5	15.4	4.13	13.4	15.1	-1.79

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.6,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.56,0.59,0.54,0.62,0.66,0.61,0.7,0.73,0.71,0.77,0.82,0.89,0.78,0.71,0.85,0.78,0.82,0.79,0.63,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.86,0.95,0.94,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
POR 101, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.57,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.54,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.59,0.67,0.75,0.66,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.73,0.75,0.82,0.81,0.85,0.84,0.87,0.78,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.81,0.84,0.84,0.58,0	92.4%
BOS 83, IND 81	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.6,0.66,0.68,0.59,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.76,0.87,0.88,0.79,0.79,0.86,0.82,0.87,0.84,0.79,0.72,0.73,0.69,0.6,0.83,0.93,0.9,0.66,0.42,0	91.8%
TOR 103, OKC 98	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.7,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.7,0.7,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.6,0.64,0.61,0.64,0.68,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.72,0.77,0.7,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.84,0.9,0.58,0	91.1%