inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Sacramento Kings 105 Excitement9.4 [108] MVPIsaiah Joe (OKC): +14.1%
Oklahoma City Thunder 112 Comeback15.6 [194] LVPJalen Williams (OKC): -20.1%


Sacramento Kings
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Keon Ellis0.100,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.12,0.12,0.10.110.010.021776%0.295-0.1900%0.00
Colby Jones-0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.030.03-0.01233%0.021-0.022100%0.02
Alex Len-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.010.0000%0.001-0.0300%0.00
Davion Mitchell-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.03-0.06-0.041038%-0.051-0.011100%0.00
Harrison Barnes-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.00-0.00838%-0.041-0.021080%0.02
De'Aaron Fox-0.080,0,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.11,0.11,0,-0.080.07-0.150.002953%0.002-0.08450%-0.06
Trey Lyles-0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.07-0.04-0.01721%-0.071-0.0300%0.00
Keegan Murray-0.130,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.13,-0.13,-0.130.01-0.130.011644%-0.1300.002100%0.01
Domantas Sabonis-0.150,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15-0.12-0.05-0.01738%-0.065-0.10757%-0.04

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.140.140.050.090.00771%0.161-0.0200%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.130.130.120.030.021169%0.1300.00475%-0.00
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.110.110.060.060.01478%0.1100.001100%0.01
Chet Holmgren0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.080.080.080.000.00962%0.0800.00650%-0.11
Jaylin Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.04-0.00367%0.071-0.0200%0.00
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.05,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,-0.12,-0.12,-0.01,0.040.040.12-0.050.032165%0.305-0.272080%0.00
Cason Wallace0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.04-0.020.05-0.01530%0.0400.0000%0.00
Mike Muscala00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18-0.18-0.12-0.06-0.00729%-0.044-0.1300%0.00
Jalen Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.18,-0.1,-0.1,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.02-0.160.031150%-0.062-0.1400%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.91.828.515.330.20.733.3134.7
league avg25.82.328.015.028.22.332.4135.1
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +72.8%
OKC +6.9%
SAC -16.6%
SAC -11.8%
SAC -1.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsSACOKCNBASACOKCNBA
this game14.513.714.5102.9109.8113.9
season14.013.8115.6117.6
opponent14.714.8109.5113.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
SAC14.513.015.914.614.5
OKC13.715.212.913.113.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Alex Len21230.20-0.700.89-0.017-142113.014.9-1.8315.113.31.80
Trey Lyles49460.03-0.530.56-0.063-101314.614.40.1412.614.7-2.09
Colby Jones1919-0.13-0.370.25-0.04-3-4114.514.50.0312.414.0-1.62
Harrison Barnes5656-0.15-0.350.21-0.06-3-4114.914.00.9913.813.60.23
Keon Ellis7778-0.37-0.13-0.25-0.26-4-3-114.315.2-0.9313.713.8-0.07
De'Aaron Fox9092-0.39-0.11-0.28-0.30-3-4114.415.4-1.0414.011.22.81
Davion Mitchell4444-0.42-0.08-0.34-0.24-6-1-514.714.30.4413.713.7-0.01
Keegan Murray8181-0.47-0.03-0.45-0.24-81-914.414.7-0.2714.112.21.95
Domantas Sabonis7371-0.800.30-1.10-0.27-1811-2914.813.71.1313.514.3-0.75

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Cason Wallace40410.68-0.180.850.419-21113.214.1-0.8814.514.50.02
Chet Holmgren72720.63-0.130.760.3111-41513.414.6-1.2215.312.72.60
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander91900.59-0.090.680.3010-31313.416.5-3.1514.613.70.94
Luguentz Dort65640.430.070.370.2661514.013.20.8114.514.5-0.04
Aaron Wiggins39410.430.070.36-0.0115-82312.414.6-2.1915.413.91.49
Jalen Williams76760.390.110.280.3034-114.112.71.3514.414.8-0.46
Isaiah Joe43430.100.40-0.29-0.1070713.214.2-0.9914.214.7-0.46
Mike Muscala220.030.47-0.440.0016-510.513.8-3.3012.514.5-2.04
Josh Giddey42430.010.49-0.48-0.0525-314.413.31.0615.413.81.55
Kenrich Williams1414-0.290.79-1.080.12-1421-3516.413.33.0411.415.0-3.56
Jaylin Williams3433-0.300.80-1.110.02-1118-2915.013.11.9412.715.4-2.71


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.34,0.35,0.39,0.36,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.2,0.12,0.15,0.17,0.13,0.08,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.27,0.42,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.21,0.38,0.46,0.53,0.52,0.58,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.53,0.63,0.53,0.83,1
GameSimilarity Score
DET 96, LAC 1010.5,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.32,0.29,0.32,0.38,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.15,0.16,0.19,0.22,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.2,0.19,0.14,0.16,0.22,0.24,0.27,0.3,0.44,0.54,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.58,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.87,191.6%
DET 87, NOH 950.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.43,0.49,0.36,0.28,0.35,0.26,0.21,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.22,0.24,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.35,0.27,0.19,0.32,0.38,0.34,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.47,0.35,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.57,0.92,191.5%
PHX 102, DET 1090.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.2,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.11,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.36,0.38,0.34,0.48,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.41,0.54,0.47,0.71,0.85,0.87,190.9%