NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	128		Excitement	5.6 [680]		MVP	Jalen Brunson (NYK): +32.7%
Chicago Bulls	117		Comeback	1.1 [1020]		LVP	Adama Sanogo (CHI): -4.0%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Brunson	0.33	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.22,0.19,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.23,0.3,0.3,0.32,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33,0.33	0.32	0.07	0.06	24	75%	0.36	1	-0.03	12	100%	0.08
Donte DiVincenzo	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.07	0.09	-0.03	15	66%	0.22	3	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
OG Anunoby	0.17	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.11	0.05	-0.00	18	67%	0.19	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.14	0.05	0.04	7	94%	0.17	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.10	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.05	0.04	-0.01	5	92%	0.15	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Miles McBride	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.03	0.04	-0.02	10	35%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mitchell Robinson	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	37%	-0.00	1	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.26,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.21	0.05	0.02	16	81%	0.24	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.19,0.17,0.16,0.14,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.10	0.06	0.02	22	62%	0.21	4	-0.08	11	82%	0.03
Coby White	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.02	0.07	-0.03	22	52%	0.19	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.04
Andre Drummond	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	0.00	0.01	2	100%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	3	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Javonte Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	8	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.03	0.02	7	64%	0.03	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Dalen Terry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Adama Sanogo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.2	27.5	14.3	27.6	2.5	32.4	131.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NYK +33.4%

NYK +5.7%

CHI -2.0%

NYK +9.8%

NYK +3.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	CHI	NBA	NYK	CHI	NBA
this game	16.8	13.2	14.5	134.7	120.6	113.9
season	15.6	14.5		116.8	113.4
opponent	15.0	14.4		115.1	113.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	14.7	16.4	18.5	18.0	16.8
CHI	14.1	12.4	13.7	12.8	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Hart	91	93	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.10	17	-6	23	16.6	21.5	-4.88	13.3	10.5	2.83
OG Anunoby	70	72	0.50	0.00	0.49	0.15	12	-1	13	16.6	17.3	-0.68	13.4	12.8	0.62
Jalen Brunson	84	87	0.44	0.06	0.39	0.18	9	2	7	16.8	16.9	-0.10	13.0	14.8	-1.77
Isaiah Hartenstein	57	59	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.14	9	2	7	15.6	18.7	-3.11	13.8	12.4	1.39
Donte DiVincenzo	76	79	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.05	7	4	3	15.8	20.8	-4.96	13.2	13.2	0.06
Miles McBride	42	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.22	-2	13	-15	19.0	15.1	3.95	12.9	13.4	-0.54
Mitchell Robinson	38	38	0.10	0.40	-0.30	0.04	2	9	-7	18.7	15.6	3.11	12.4	13.8	-1.39
Bojan Bogdanovic	17	16	0.04	0.46	-0.43	0.01	1	10	-9	17.7	16.6	1.08	13.6	13.1	0.41

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andre Drummond	9	9	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.03	1	-12	13	12.9	13.2	-0.36	19.2	16.6	2.65
Adama Sanogo	8	8	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.08	2	-13	15	13.4	13.2	0.17	22.2	16.3	5.93
Torrey Craig	26	26	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.05	0	-11	11	13.5	13.1	0.44	19.8	15.7	4.16
Jevon Carter	11	12	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	0.06	-6	-5	-1	14.0	13.1	0.88	16.9	16.8	0.11
Dalen Terry	37	35	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.16	-1	-10	9	13.1	13.3	-0.13	19.8	15.1	4.67
DeMar DeRozan	86	85	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.17	-6	-5	-1	13.3	12.7	0.55	16.5	19.2	-2.66
Javonte Green	66	64	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	0	-11	12.9	13.8	-0.91	15.2	20.1	-4.81
Alex Caruso	76	75	-0.44	-0.06	-0.37	-0.14	-10	-1	-9	13.1	13.7	-0.57	16.4	18.5	-2.13
Coby White	86	83	-0.47	-0.03	-0.44	-0.18	-10	-1	-9	13.3	12.4	0.96	16.5	18.9	-2.40
Nikola Vucevic	80	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.45	-0.07	-14	3	-17	13.2	13.1	0.12	16.0	20.6	-4.66

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.41,0.41,0.32,0.31,0.32,0.3,0.32,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.2,0.1,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.23,0.1,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
SAC 124, OKC 115	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.28,0.24,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.29,0.31,0.27,0.28,0.25,0.29,0.31,0.33,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.16,0.2,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.14,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.22,0.17,0.15,0.08,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.01,0,0	94.6%
MIA 110, LAL 96	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.31,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.28,0.31,0.24,0.26,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.18,0.27,0.29,0.32,0.3,0.26,0.25,0.24,0.1,0.14,0.05,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	94.5%
SAS 108, SAC 102	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.35,0.34,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.16,0.2,0.12,0.14,0.11,0.17,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.15,0.11,0.18,0.29,0.12,0.1,0.11,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0	94.5%