NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New Orleans Pelicans	113		Excitement	7.6 [351]		MVP	Bradley Beal (PHX): +37.0%
Phoenix Suns	105		Comeback	3.2 [178]		LVP	Grayson Allen (PHX): -14.2%

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Zion Williamson	0.18	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18	0.03	0.12	-0.02	21	58%	0.26	4	-0.08	8	87%	0.04
CJ McCollum	0.17	0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.19,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17	0.16	0.00	-0.01	22	70%	0.25	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.12	0.02	0.01	10	75%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.03	0.04	-0.01	6	60%	0.12	1	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Dyson Daniels	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	-0.00	8	56%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Trey Murphy III	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.02	-0.00	-0.03	13	46%	0.05	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Herbert Jones	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	0.01	0.02	2	50%	0.01	3	-0.07	4	100%	0.03

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.26,0.35,0.36,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.37,0.37	0.37	0.24	0.12	-0.01	19	87%	0.50	3	-0.13	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.00	-0.00	16	62%	0.21	4	-0.14	8	87%	0.02
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.06	-0.01	22	48%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	7	37%	-0.01	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Grayson Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.03	-0.12	-0.01	11	50%	-0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	24.6	16.3	31.6	2.7	32.2	132.2
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.0	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

NOP +24.3%

NOP +10.3%

NOP +2.4%

NOP +10.3%

NOP +2.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NOP	PHX	NBA	NOP	PHX	NBA
this game	13.9	15.5	14.5	115.3	107.1	113.9
season	14.4	14.6		114.8	116.1
opponent	14.4	14.7		113.5	111.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NOP	13.4	12.6	14.2	15.5	13.9
PHX	15.4	16.2	15.2	15.1	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
CJ McCollum	83	84	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.17	19	-11	30	13.7	14.7	-0.99	16.2	11.4	4.74
Zion Williamson	83	82	0.61	-0.11	0.73	0.41	7	1	6	13.8	14.3	-0.44	15.4	16.1	-0.68
Larry Nance Jr.	62	65	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.08	17	-9	26	14.0	13.8	0.19	16.0	14.6	1.38
Herbert Jones	68	68	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.16	13	-5	18	13.9	13.9	-0.05	16.1	14.1	1.95
Trey Murphy III	82	82	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.16	0	8	-8	14.0	13.4	0.55	15.1	17.6	-2.48
Dyson Daniels	57	57	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	0.16	-6	14	-20	13.6	14.4	-0.80	14.6	16.8	-2.18
Jose Alvarado	46	44	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.10	-5	13	-18	14.2	13.7	0.48	15.0	15.9	-0.97
Jonas Valanciunas	9	8	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.07	-5	13	-18	15.6	13.7	1.83	14.2	15.6	-1.35

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Gordon	39	38	0.18	-0.68	0.87	0.01	6	-14	20	14.8	16.0	-1.20	14.0	13.8	0.17
Royce O'Neale	27	29	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-9	10	16.5	15.1	1.42	13.5	14.1	-0.54
Jusuf Nurkic	66	66	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.06	2	-10	12	14.9	16.7	-1.73	14.0	13.7	0.36
Bol Bol	16	15	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	0	-8	15.6	15.5	0.16	13.4	14.0	-0.59
Grayson Allen	77	77	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-4	0	15.1	16.8	-1.68	14.0	13.5	0.48
Drew Eubanks	32	32	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	2	-12	16.7	14.9	1.73	13.7	14.0	-0.36
Bradley Beal	79	78	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	1	-10	15.7	14.8	0.87	13.9	13.9	-0.07
Devin Booker	77	78	-0.56	0.06	-0.63	-0.39	-6	-2	-4	15.6	15.2	0.32	13.9	13.9	-0.00
Kevin Durant	77	77	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.34	-12	4	-16	15.6	15.1	0.44	14.0	13.5	0.48

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.57,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.68,0.65,0.68,0.76,0.73,0.67,0.6,0.48,0.53,0.44,0.49,0.44,0.3,0.33,0.35,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.26,0.32,0.22,0.19,0.29,0.41,0.42,0.41,0.24,0.33,0.31,0.11,0.1,0.02,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 99, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.61,0.6,0.56,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.7,0.71,0.71,0.65,0.58,0.59,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.37,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.29,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.32,0.26,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.28,0.31,0.35,0.23,0.31,0.04,0.01,0,0	92.8%
DAL 115, CHA 111	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.63,0.72,0.69,0.68,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.64,0.62,0.58,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.27,0.25,0.3,0.32,0.26,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.35,0.33,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.28,0.16,0.01,0	92.4%
DAL 123, NOP 116	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.75,0.77,0.76,0.72,0.71,0.77,0.67,0.61,0.59,0.51,0.42,0.39,0.36,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.3,0.22,0.3,0.29,0.38,0.31,0.24,0.2,0.36,0.42,0.26,0.1,0.2,0.37,0.3,0.29,0.46,0.25,0.07,0.23,0.04,0	92.0%